Genesis reversed: climate change impacts on agriculture and livelihoods in mixed crop-livestock systems of East Africa

Climate-induced livelihood transitons in the agricultural systems of Africa are increasingly likely. There has been only limited study on what such transitons might look like, but it is clear that the implicatons could be profound in relaton to social, environmental, economic and politcal efects at...

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Autores principales: Thornton, Philip K., Rufino, Mariana C., Karanja, S., Jones, Peter G., Mutie, Ianetta, Herrero, Mario
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Livestock Research Institute 2011
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/42106
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author Thornton, Philip K.
Rufino, Mariana C.
Karanja, S.
Jones, Peter G.
Mutie, Ianetta
Herrero, Mario
author_browse Herrero, Mario
Jones, Peter G.
Karanja, S.
Mutie, Ianetta
Rufino, Mariana C.
Thornton, Philip K.
author_facet Thornton, Philip K.
Rufino, Mariana C.
Karanja, S.
Jones, Peter G.
Mutie, Ianetta
Herrero, Mario
author_sort Thornton, Philip K.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Climate-induced livelihood transitons in the agricultural systems of Africa are increasingly likely. There has been only limited study on what such transitons might look like, but it is clear that the implicatons could be profound in relaton to social, environmental, economic and politcal efects at local and natonal levels. The work here was set up to test the hypothesis that sedentary farmers who currently keep livestock in transiton zones that may become warmer and possibly drier in the future may ultmately be forced to increase their reliance on livestock vis-a?-vis cropping in the future. We carried out feldwork in 12 sites in Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda to understand how farming systems have been changing in the recent past. We then evaluated what the impacts of these changes, and further changes in the same directon, may be on household incomes and food security in the coming decades, using crop and household modelling. We found no direct evidence for the hypothesised extensifcaton of agricultural producton in the study sites. Indeed, the processes of farming systems evoluton in East Africa are substantally conditoned by powerful socio-cultural processes, it appears.
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spelling CGSpace421062024-01-22T09:44:16Z Genesis reversed: climate change impacts on agriculture and livelihoods in mixed crop-livestock systems of East Africa Thornton, Philip K. Rufino, Mariana C. Karanja, S. Jones, Peter G. Mutie, Ianetta Herrero, Mario agriculture climate crops livestock Climate-induced livelihood transitons in the agricultural systems of Africa are increasingly likely. There has been only limited study on what such transitons might look like, but it is clear that the implicatons could be profound in relaton to social, environmental, economic and politcal efects at local and natonal levels. The work here was set up to test the hypothesis that sedentary farmers who currently keep livestock in transiton zones that may become warmer and possibly drier in the future may ultmately be forced to increase their reliance on livestock vis-a?-vis cropping in the future. We carried out feldwork in 12 sites in Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda to understand how farming systems have been changing in the recent past. We then evaluated what the impacts of these changes, and further changes in the same directon, may be on household incomes and food security in the coming decades, using crop and household modelling. We found no direct evidence for the hypothesised extensifcaton of agricultural producton in the study sites. Indeed, the processes of farming systems evoluton in East Africa are substantally conditoned by powerful socio-cultural processes, it appears. 2011 2014-08-15T12:13:25Z 2014-08-15T12:13:25Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/42106 en Open Access application/pdf application/pdf application/pdf International Livestock Research Institute Thornton PK, Rufino MC, Karanja S, Jones PG, Mutie I, Herrero M. 2011. Genesis reversed: climate change impacts on agriculture and livelihoods in mixed crop-livestock systems of East Africa. Final report to the World Bank. Nairobi, Kenya: International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI).
spellingShingle agriculture
climate
crops
livestock
Thornton, Philip K.
Rufino, Mariana C.
Karanja, S.
Jones, Peter G.
Mutie, Ianetta
Herrero, Mario
Genesis reversed: climate change impacts on agriculture and livelihoods in mixed crop-livestock systems of East Africa
title Genesis reversed: climate change impacts on agriculture and livelihoods in mixed crop-livestock systems of East Africa
title_full Genesis reversed: climate change impacts on agriculture and livelihoods in mixed crop-livestock systems of East Africa
title_fullStr Genesis reversed: climate change impacts on agriculture and livelihoods in mixed crop-livestock systems of East Africa
title_full_unstemmed Genesis reversed: climate change impacts on agriculture and livelihoods in mixed crop-livestock systems of East Africa
title_short Genesis reversed: climate change impacts on agriculture and livelihoods in mixed crop-livestock systems of East Africa
title_sort genesis reversed climate change impacts on agriculture and livelihoods in mixed crop livestock systems of east africa
topic agriculture
climate
crops
livestock
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/42106
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