A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia

This study links a multisectoral, regionalized, dynamic, computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of Ethiopia with a system country-specific hydrology, crop, road, and hydropower engineering models to simulate the economic impacts of climate change scenarios from global circulation models (GCMs) t...

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Main Authors: Robinson, Sherman, Willenbockel, Dirk, Strzepek, Kenneth M.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Wiley 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/42063
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author Robinson, Sherman
Willenbockel, Dirk
Strzepek, Kenneth M.
author_browse Robinson, Sherman
Strzepek, Kenneth M.
Willenbockel, Dirk
author_facet Robinson, Sherman
Willenbockel, Dirk
Strzepek, Kenneth M.
author_sort Robinson, Sherman
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This study links a multisectoral, regionalized, dynamic, computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of Ethiopia with a system country-specific hydrology, crop, road, and hydropower engineering models to simulate the economic impacts of climate change scenarios from global circulation models (GCMs) to 2050. In the absence of externally funded, policy-driven adaptation investments, Ethiopia's GDP in 2050 will be up to 10% below the counterfactual no climate change (historical climate) baseline. Suitably designed adaptation investments could restore aggregate welfare to baseline levels at a cost that is substantially lower than the welfare losses as a result of climate change. Such investments, even if funded from domestic resources, have benefits that greatly exceed their costs, and are largely consistent with Ethiopia's long-run development strategy.
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spelling CGSpace420632025-07-30T18:21:28Z A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia Robinson, Sherman Willenbockel, Dirk Strzepek, Kenneth M. agriculture climate equilibrium theory economy This study links a multisectoral, regionalized, dynamic, computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of Ethiopia with a system country-specific hydrology, crop, road, and hydropower engineering models to simulate the economic impacts of climate change scenarios from global circulation models (GCMs) to 2050. In the absence of externally funded, policy-driven adaptation investments, Ethiopia's GDP in 2050 will be up to 10% below the counterfactual no climate change (historical climate) baseline. Suitably designed adaptation investments could restore aggregate welfare to baseline levels at a cost that is substantially lower than the welfare losses as a result of climate change. Such investments, even if funded from domestic resources, have benefits that greatly exceed their costs, and are largely consistent with Ethiopia's long-run development strategy. 2012-08 2014-08-15T12:13:21Z 2014-08-15T12:13:21Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/42063 en Limited Access Wiley Robinson S, Willenbockel D, Strzepek K. 2012. A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia. Review of Development Economics 16(3):489-502.
spellingShingle agriculture
climate
equilibrium theory
economy
Robinson, Sherman
Willenbockel, Dirk
Strzepek, Kenneth M.
A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia
title A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia
title_full A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia
title_fullStr A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia
title_short A dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia
title_sort dynamic general equilibrium analysis of adaptation to climate change in ethiopia
topic agriculture
climate
equilibrium theory
economy
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/42063
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