Carbon sequestration potential of parkland agroforestry in the Sahel

Establishing parkland agroforestry on currently treeless cropland in the West African Sahel may help mitigate climate change. To evaluate its potential, we used climatically suitable ranges for parklands for 19 climate scenarios, derived by ecological niche modeling, for estimating potential carbon...

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Autores principales: Luedeling, Eike, Neufeldt, Henry
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Springer 2012
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/41996
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author Luedeling, Eike
Neufeldt, Henry
author_browse Luedeling, Eike
Neufeldt, Henry
author_facet Luedeling, Eike
Neufeldt, Henry
author_sort Luedeling, Eike
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Establishing parkland agroforestry on currently treeless cropland in the West African Sahel may help mitigate climate change. To evaluate its potential, we used climatically suitable ranges for parklands for 19 climate scenarios, derived by ecological niche modeling, for estimating potential carbon stocks in parkland and treeless cropland. A biocarbon business model was used to evaluate profitability of hypothetical Terrestrial Carbon Projects (TCPs), across a range of farm sizes, farm numbers, carbon prices and benefit sharing mechanisms. Using climate analogues, we explored potential climate change trajectories for selected locations. If mature parklands covered their maximum range, carbon stocks in Sahelian productive land would be about 1,284 Tg, compared to 725 Tg in a treeless scenario. Due to slow increase rates of total system carbon by 0.4 Mg C ha?1 a?1, most TCPs at carbon prices that seem realistic today were not feasible, or required the participation of large numbers of farmers. For small farms, few TCP scenarios were feasible, and low Net Present Values for farmers made it unlikely that carbon payments would motivate many to participate in TCPs, unless additional benefits were provided. Climate analogue locations indicated an uncertain climate trajectory for the Sahel, but most scenarios projected increasing aridity and reduced suitability for parklands. The potentially severe impacts of climate change on Sahelian ecosystems and the uncertain profitability of TCPs make the Sahel highly risky for carbon investments. Given the likelihood of degrading environmental conditions, the search for appropriate adaptation strategies should take precedence over promoting mitigation activities.
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spelling CGSpace419962025-02-19T14:32:18Z Carbon sequestration potential of parkland agroforestry in the Sahel Luedeling, Eike Neufeldt, Henry agriculture climate agroforestry carbon sequestration Establishing parkland agroforestry on currently treeless cropland in the West African Sahel may help mitigate climate change. To evaluate its potential, we used climatically suitable ranges for parklands for 19 climate scenarios, derived by ecological niche modeling, for estimating potential carbon stocks in parkland and treeless cropland. A biocarbon business model was used to evaluate profitability of hypothetical Terrestrial Carbon Projects (TCPs), across a range of farm sizes, farm numbers, carbon prices and benefit sharing mechanisms. Using climate analogues, we explored potential climate change trajectories for selected locations. If mature parklands covered their maximum range, carbon stocks in Sahelian productive land would be about 1,284 Tg, compared to 725 Tg in a treeless scenario. Due to slow increase rates of total system carbon by 0.4 Mg C ha?1 a?1, most TCPs at carbon prices that seem realistic today were not feasible, or required the participation of large numbers of farmers. For small farms, few TCP scenarios were feasible, and low Net Present Values for farmers made it unlikely that carbon payments would motivate many to participate in TCPs, unless additional benefits were provided. Climate analogue locations indicated an uncertain climate trajectory for the Sahel, but most scenarios projected increasing aridity and reduced suitability for parklands. The potentially severe impacts of climate change on Sahelian ecosystems and the uncertain profitability of TCPs make the Sahel highly risky for carbon investments. Given the likelihood of degrading environmental conditions, the search for appropriate adaptation strategies should take precedence over promoting mitigation activities. 2012-12 2014-08-15T12:13:15Z 2014-08-15T12:13:15Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/41996 en Open Access Springer Luedeling E, Neufeldt H. 2012. Carbon sequestration potential of parkland agroforestry in the Sahel. Climatic Change 115:443-461.
spellingShingle agriculture
climate
agroforestry
carbon sequestration
Luedeling, Eike
Neufeldt, Henry
Carbon sequestration potential of parkland agroforestry in the Sahel
title Carbon sequestration potential of parkland agroforestry in the Sahel
title_full Carbon sequestration potential of parkland agroforestry in the Sahel
title_fullStr Carbon sequestration potential of parkland agroforestry in the Sahel
title_full_unstemmed Carbon sequestration potential of parkland agroforestry in the Sahel
title_short Carbon sequestration potential of parkland agroforestry in the Sahel
title_sort carbon sequestration potential of parkland agroforestry in the sahel
topic agriculture
climate
agroforestry
carbon sequestration
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/41996
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