A global analysis of the comparability of winter chill models for fruit and nut trees

Many fruit and nut trees must fulfill a chilling requirement to break their winter dormancy and resume normal growth in spring. Several models exist for quantifying winter chill, and growers and researchers often tacitly assume that the choice of model is not important and estimates of species chill...

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Main Authors: Luedeling, Eike, Brown, P.H.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Springer 2011
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/41995
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author Luedeling, Eike
Brown, P.H.
author_browse Brown, P.H.
Luedeling, Eike
author_facet Luedeling, Eike
Brown, P.H.
author_sort Luedeling, Eike
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Many fruit and nut trees must fulfill a chilling requirement to break their winter dormancy and resume normal growth in spring. Several models exist for quantifying winter chill, and growers and researchers often tacitly assume that the choice of model is not important and estimates of species chilling requirements are valid across growing regions. To test this assumption, Safe Winter Chill (the amount of winter chill that is exceeded in 90% of years) was calculated for 5,078 weather stations around the world, using the Dynamic Model [in Chill Portions (CP)], the Chilling Hours (CH) Model and the Utah Model [Utah Chill Units (UCU)]. Distributions of the ratios between different winter chill metrics were mapped on a global scale. These ratios should be constant if the models were strictly proportional. Ratios between winter chill metrics varied substantially, with the CH/CP ratio ranging between 0 and 34, the UCU/CP ratio between ?155 and +20 and the UCU/CH ratio between ?10 and +5. The models are thus not proportional, and chilling requirements determined in a given location may not be valid elsewhere. The Utah Model produced negative winter chill totals in many Subtropical regions, where it does not seem to be useful. Mean annual temperature and daily temperature range influenced all winter chill ratios, but explained only between 12 and 27% of the variation. Data on chilling requirements should always be amended with information on the location and experimental conditions of the study in which they were determined, ideally including site-specific conversion factors between winter chill models. This would greatly facilitate the transfer of such information across growing regions, and help prepare growers for the impact of climate change.
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spelling CGSpace419952024-05-01T08:17:45Z A global analysis of the comparability of winter chill models for fruit and nut trees Luedeling, Eike Brown, P.H. agriculture climate fruit trees nuts Many fruit and nut trees must fulfill a chilling requirement to break their winter dormancy and resume normal growth in spring. Several models exist for quantifying winter chill, and growers and researchers often tacitly assume that the choice of model is not important and estimates of species chilling requirements are valid across growing regions. To test this assumption, Safe Winter Chill (the amount of winter chill that is exceeded in 90% of years) was calculated for 5,078 weather stations around the world, using the Dynamic Model [in Chill Portions (CP)], the Chilling Hours (CH) Model and the Utah Model [Utah Chill Units (UCU)]. Distributions of the ratios between different winter chill metrics were mapped on a global scale. These ratios should be constant if the models were strictly proportional. Ratios between winter chill metrics varied substantially, with the CH/CP ratio ranging between 0 and 34, the UCU/CP ratio between ?155 and +20 and the UCU/CH ratio between ?10 and +5. The models are thus not proportional, and chilling requirements determined in a given location may not be valid elsewhere. The Utah Model produced negative winter chill totals in many Subtropical regions, where it does not seem to be useful. Mean annual temperature and daily temperature range influenced all winter chill ratios, but explained only between 12 and 27% of the variation. Data on chilling requirements should always be amended with information on the location and experimental conditions of the study in which they were determined, ideally including site-specific conversion factors between winter chill models. This would greatly facilitate the transfer of such information across growing regions, and help prepare growers for the impact of climate change. 2011-05 2014-08-15T12:13:15Z 2014-08-15T12:13:15Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/41995 en Open Access Springer Luedeling E, Brown PH. 2011. A global analysis of the comparability of winter chill models for fruit and nut trees. International Journal of Biometeorology 55, 411-421.
spellingShingle agriculture
climate
fruit trees
nuts
Luedeling, Eike
Brown, P.H.
A global analysis of the comparability of winter chill models for fruit and nut trees
title A global analysis of the comparability of winter chill models for fruit and nut trees
title_full A global analysis of the comparability of winter chill models for fruit and nut trees
title_fullStr A global analysis of the comparability of winter chill models for fruit and nut trees
title_full_unstemmed A global analysis of the comparability of winter chill models for fruit and nut trees
title_short A global analysis of the comparability of winter chill models for fruit and nut trees
title_sort global analysis of the comparability of winter chill models for fruit and nut trees
topic agriculture
climate
fruit trees
nuts
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/41995
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