Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China

In this research, the regional extreme-dry-spell frequency in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin (YRB) is studied by the L-moments method. The research area has been divided into three subregions (regions 1, 2 and 3), which have been identified as homogenous regions. The results of a goodn...

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Main Authors: She, D-X., Xia, J., Zhang, D., Ye, A.Z., Sood, Aditya
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: Wiley 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/40313
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author She, D-X.
Xia, J.
Zhang, D.
Ye, A.Z.
Sood, Aditya
author_browse She, D-X.
Sood, Aditya
Xia, J.
Ye, A.Z.
Zhang, D.
author_facet She, D-X.
Xia, J.
Zhang, D.
Ye, A.Z.
Sood, Aditya
author_sort She, D-X.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description In this research, the regional extreme-dry-spell frequency in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin (YRB) is studied by the L-moments method. The research area has been divided into three subregions (regions 1, 2 and 3), which have been identified as homogenous regions. The results of a goodness-of-fit test indicate that a generalized normal distribution is the optimal regional model for regions 1 and 2 whereas a generalized Pareto distribution is the optimal regional model for region 3. The return period analysis figures out that the maximum length-of-dry-spell (MxDS) values increase from south to north in the southern part and increase from northeast to southwest in the northern part of the middle reaches of the YRB under different return periods. The increments of quantiles of dry spell under different return levels indicate that drought risk in region 1 is higher than that in regions 2 and 3. The analysis of the occurrence day of MxDS shows that MxDS mostly occurred during winter of 1998 and spring of 1999 in most stations during the considered period. By comparing summer MxDS events, it can be found that mean MxDS values have slightly increased in regions 1 and 2 during the last five decades. The maximum mean MxDS values appeared in the 2000s for regions 1 and 2 and in the 1990s for region 3. The atmospheric circulation shows that the positive anomaly centre in the west of North China, negative anomaly centre in the east of North China and the strong western Pacific subtropical high led to the decrease of precipitation in North China during the summer of 1997.
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spelling CGSpace403132025-06-17T08:23:50Z Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China She, D-X. Xia, J. Zhang, D. Ye, A.Z. Sood, Aditya river basins frequency analysis analytical methods climate change precipitation drought flooding In this research, the regional extreme-dry-spell frequency in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin (YRB) is studied by the L-moments method. The research area has been divided into three subregions (regions 1, 2 and 3), which have been identified as homogenous regions. The results of a goodness-of-fit test indicate that a generalized normal distribution is the optimal regional model for regions 1 and 2 whereas a generalized Pareto distribution is the optimal regional model for region 3. The return period analysis figures out that the maximum length-of-dry-spell (MxDS) values increase from south to north in the southern part and increase from northeast to southwest in the northern part of the middle reaches of the YRB under different return periods. The increments of quantiles of dry spell under different return levels indicate that drought risk in region 1 is higher than that in regions 2 and 3. The analysis of the occurrence day of MxDS shows that MxDS mostly occurred during winter of 1998 and spring of 1999 in most stations during the considered period. By comparing summer MxDS events, it can be found that mean MxDS values have slightly increased in regions 1 and 2 during the last five decades. The maximum mean MxDS values appeared in the 2000s for regions 1 and 2 and in the 1990s for region 3. The atmospheric circulation shows that the positive anomaly centre in the west of North China, negative anomaly centre in the east of North China and the strong western Pacific subtropical high led to the decrease of precipitation in North China during the summer of 1997. 2014-08-15 2014-06-13T14:47:22Z 2014-06-13T14:47:22Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/40313 en Limited Access Wiley She, D-X.; Xia, J.; Zhang, D.; Ye, A-Z.; Sood, Aditya. 2013. Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China. Hydrological Processes, 14p. (Online first). doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9930
spellingShingle river basins
frequency
analysis
analytical methods
climate change
precipitation
drought
flooding
She, D-X.
Xia, J.
Zhang, D.
Ye, A.Z.
Sood, Aditya
Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China
title Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China
title_full Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China
title_fullStr Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China
title_full_unstemmed Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China
title_short Regional extreme-dry-spell frequency analysis using the L-moments method in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin, China
title_sort regional extreme dry spell frequency analysis using the l moments method in the middle reaches of the yellow river basin china
topic river basins
frequency
analysis
analytical methods
climate change
precipitation
drought
flooding
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/40313
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