Exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900-2050 period

Crop-livestock production systems are the largest cause of human alteration of the global nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) cycles. Our comprehensive spatially explicit inventory of N and P budgets in livestock and crop production systems shows that in the beginning of the 20th century, nutrient budge...

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Main Authors: Bouwman, L., Goldewijk, Kees Klein, Hoek, K.W. Van Der, Beusen, A.H.W., Vuuren, Detlef P. van, Willems, J., Rufino, Mariana C., Stehfest, Elke
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: National Academy of Sciences 2013
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/3671
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author Bouwman, L.
Goldewijk, Kees Klein
Hoek, K.W. Van Der
Beusen, A.H.W.
Vuuren, Detlef P. van
Willems, J.
Rufino, Mariana C.
Stehfest, Elke
author_browse Beusen, A.H.W.
Bouwman, L.
Goldewijk, Kees Klein
Hoek, K.W. Van Der
Rufino, Mariana C.
Stehfest, Elke
Vuuren, Detlef P. van
Willems, J.
author_facet Bouwman, L.
Goldewijk, Kees Klein
Hoek, K.W. Van Der
Beusen, A.H.W.
Vuuren, Detlef P. van
Willems, J.
Rufino, Mariana C.
Stehfest, Elke
author_sort Bouwman, L.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Crop-livestock production systems are the largest cause of human alteration of the global nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) cycles. Our comprehensive spatially explicit inventory of N and P budgets in livestock and crop production systems shows that in the beginning of the 20th century, nutrient budgets were either balanced or surpluses were small; between 1900 and 1950, global soil N surplus almost doubled to 36 trillion grams (Tg)•y−1 and P surplus increased by a factor of 8 to 2 Tg•y−1. Between 1950 and 2000, the global surplus increased to 138 Tg•y−1 of N and 11 Tg•y−1 of P. Most surplus N is an environmental loss; surplus P is lost by runoff or accumulates as residual soil P. The International Assessment of Agricultural Knowledge, Science, and Technology for Development scenario portrays a world with a further increasing global crop (+82% for 2000–2050) and livestock production (+115%); despite rapidly increasing recovery in crop (+35% N recovery and +6% P recovery) and livestock (+35% N and P recovery) production, global nutrient surpluses continue to increase (+23% N and +54% P), and in this period, surpluses also increase in Africa (+49% N and +236% P) and Latin America (+75% N and +120% P). Alternative management of livestock production systems shows that combinations of intensification, better integration of animal manure in crop production, and matching N and P supply to livestock requirements can effectively reduce nutrient flows. A shift in human diets, with poultry or pork replacing beef, can reduce nutrient flows in countries with intensive ruminant production.
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spelling CGSpace36712024-10-17T09:47:53Z Exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900-2050 period Bouwman, L. Goldewijk, Kees Klein Hoek, K.W. Van Der Beusen, A.H.W. Vuuren, Detlef P. van Willems, J. Rufino, Mariana C. Stehfest, Elke Crop-livestock production systems are the largest cause of human alteration of the global nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) cycles. Our comprehensive spatially explicit inventory of N and P budgets in livestock and crop production systems shows that in the beginning of the 20th century, nutrient budgets were either balanced or surpluses were small; between 1900 and 1950, global soil N surplus almost doubled to 36 trillion grams (Tg)•y−1 and P surplus increased by a factor of 8 to 2 Tg•y−1. Between 1950 and 2000, the global surplus increased to 138 Tg•y−1 of N and 11 Tg•y−1 of P. Most surplus N is an environmental loss; surplus P is lost by runoff or accumulates as residual soil P. The International Assessment of Agricultural Knowledge, Science, and Technology for Development scenario portrays a world with a further increasing global crop (+82% for 2000–2050) and livestock production (+115%); despite rapidly increasing recovery in crop (+35% N recovery and +6% P recovery) and livestock (+35% N and P recovery) production, global nutrient surpluses continue to increase (+23% N and +54% P), and in this period, surpluses also increase in Africa (+49% N and +236% P) and Latin America (+75% N and +120% P). Alternative management of livestock production systems shows that combinations of intensification, better integration of animal manure in crop production, and matching N and P supply to livestock requirements can effectively reduce nutrient flows. A shift in human diets, with poultry or pork replacing beef, can reduce nutrient flows in countries with intensive ruminant production. 2013-12-24 2011-05-17T08:14:13Z 2011-05-17T08:14:13Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/3671 en Open Access National Academy of Sciences Bouwman, L., Goldewijk, K.K., Hoek, K.W. Van Der, Beusen, A.H.W., Vuuren, D.P. Van, Willems, J., Rufino, M.C. and Stehfest, E. 2013. Exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900-2050 period. PNAS 110(52): 20882-20887
spellingShingle Bouwman, L.
Goldewijk, Kees Klein
Hoek, K.W. Van Der
Beusen, A.H.W.
Vuuren, Detlef P. van
Willems, J.
Rufino, Mariana C.
Stehfest, Elke
Exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900-2050 period
title Exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900-2050 period
title_full Exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900-2050 period
title_fullStr Exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900-2050 period
title_full_unstemmed Exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900-2050 period
title_short Exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900-2050 period
title_sort exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900 2050 period
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/3671
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