Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth

We investigate the impacts of the U.S. renewable fuel standard (RFS2) and several alternative biofuel policy designs on global GHG emissions from land use change and agriculture over the 2010-2030 horizon. Analysis of the scenarios relies on GLOBIOM, a global, multi-sectoral economic model based on...

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Autores principales: Mosnier, Aline, Havlík, Petr, Valin, Hugo, Baker, J., Murray, B., Feng, S., Obersteiner, Michael, McCarl, B.A., Rose, S.K., Schneider, U.A.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/35315
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author Mosnier, Aline
Havlík, Petr
Valin, Hugo
Baker, J.
Murray, B.
Feng, S.
Obersteiner, Michael
McCarl, B.A.
Rose, S.K.
Schneider, U.A.
author_browse Baker, J.
Feng, S.
Havlík, Petr
McCarl, B.A.
Mosnier, Aline
Murray, B.
Obersteiner, Michael
Rose, S.K.
Schneider, U.A.
Valin, Hugo
author_facet Mosnier, Aline
Havlík, Petr
Valin, Hugo
Baker, J.
Murray, B.
Feng, S.
Obersteiner, Michael
McCarl, B.A.
Rose, S.K.
Schneider, U.A.
author_sort Mosnier, Aline
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description We investigate the impacts of the U.S. renewable fuel standard (RFS2) and several alternative biofuel policy designs on global GHG emissions from land use change and agriculture over the 2010-2030 horizon. Analysis of the scenarios relies on GLOBIOM, a global, multi-sectoral economic model based on a detailed representation of land use. Our results reveal that RFS2 would substantially increase the portion of agricultural land needed for biofuel feedstock production. U.S. exports of most agricultural products would decrease as long as the biofuel target would increase leading to higher land conversion and nitrogen use globally. In fact, higher levels of the mandate mean lower net emissions within the U.S. but when the emissions from the rest of the world are considered, the US biofuel policy results in almost no change on GHG emissions for the RFS2 level and higher global GHG emissions for higher levels of the mandate or higher share of conventional corn-ethanol in the mandate. Finally, we show that if the projected crop productivity would be lower globally, the imbalance between domestic U.S. GHG savings and additional GHG emissions in the rest of the world would increase, thus deteriorating the net global impact of U.S. biofuel policies.
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spelling CGSpace353152024-08-29T11:41:28Z Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth Mosnier, Aline Havlík, Petr Valin, Hugo Baker, J. Murray, B. Feng, S. Obersteiner, Michael McCarl, B.A. Rose, S.K. Schneider, U.A. crops We investigate the impacts of the U.S. renewable fuel standard (RFS2) and several alternative biofuel policy designs on global GHG emissions from land use change and agriculture over the 2010-2030 horizon. Analysis of the scenarios relies on GLOBIOM, a global, multi-sectoral economic model based on a detailed representation of land use. Our results reveal that RFS2 would substantially increase the portion of agricultural land needed for biofuel feedstock production. U.S. exports of most agricultural products would decrease as long as the biofuel target would increase leading to higher land conversion and nitrogen use globally. In fact, higher levels of the mandate mean lower net emissions within the U.S. but when the emissions from the rest of the world are considered, the US biofuel policy results in almost no change on GHG emissions for the RFS2 level and higher global GHG emissions for higher levels of the mandate or higher share of conventional corn-ethanol in the mandate. Finally, we show that if the projected crop productivity would be lower globally, the imbalance between domestic U.S. GHG savings and additional GHG emissions in the rest of the world would increase, thus deteriorating the net global impact of U.S. biofuel policies. 2013-06 2014-04-14T10:55:56Z 2014-04-14T10:55:56Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/35315 en Limited Access Elsevier Mosnier, A., Havlik, P., Valin, H., Baker, J., Murray, B., Feng, S., Obersteiner, M., McCarl, B.A., Rose, S.K. and Schneider, U.A. 2013. Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth. Energy Policy 57: 602-614.
spellingShingle crops
Mosnier, Aline
Havlík, Petr
Valin, Hugo
Baker, J.
Murray, B.
Feng, S.
Obersteiner, Michael
McCarl, B.A.
Rose, S.K.
Schneider, U.A.
Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth
title Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth
title_full Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth
title_fullStr Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth
title_full_unstemmed Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth
title_short Alternative U.S. biofuel mandates and global GHG emissions: The role of land use change, crop management and yield growth
title_sort alternative u s biofuel mandates and global ghg emissions the role of land use change crop management and yield growth
topic crops
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/35315
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