Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions
Livestock are responsible for 12% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Sustainable intensification of livestock production systems might become a key climate mitigation technology. However, livestock production systems vary substantially, making the implementation of climate mitigation policie...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2014
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| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/35050 |
| _version_ | 1855528966677331968 |
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| author | Havlík, Petr Valin, Hugo Herrero, Mario Obersteiner, Michael Schmid, Erwin Rufino, Mariana C. Mosnier, Aline Thornton, Philip K. Böttcher, Hannes Conant, Richard T. Frank, S. Fritz, Steffen Fuss, S. Kraxner, Florian Notenbaert, An Maria Omer |
| author_browse | Böttcher, Hannes Conant, Richard T. Frank, S. Fritz, Steffen Fuss, S. Havlík, Petr Herrero, Mario Kraxner, Florian Mosnier, Aline Notenbaert, An Maria Omer Obersteiner, Michael Rufino, Mariana C. Schmid, Erwin Thornton, Philip K. Valin, Hugo |
| author_facet | Havlík, Petr Valin, Hugo Herrero, Mario Obersteiner, Michael Schmid, Erwin Rufino, Mariana C. Mosnier, Aline Thornton, Philip K. Böttcher, Hannes Conant, Richard T. Frank, S. Fritz, Steffen Fuss, S. Kraxner, Florian Notenbaert, An Maria Omer |
| author_sort | Havlík, Petr |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Livestock are responsible for 12% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Sustainable intensification of livestock production systems might become a key climate mitigation technology. However, livestock production systems vary substantially, making the implementation of climate mitigation policies a formidable challenge. Here, we provide results from an economic model using a detailed and high-resolution representation of livestock production systems. We project that by 2030 autonomous transitions toward more efficient systems would decrease emissions by 736 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent per year (MtCO2e⋅y−1), mainly through avoided emissions from the conversion of 162 Mha of natural land. A moderate mitigation policy targeting emissions from both the agricultural and land-use change sectors with a carbon price of US$10 per tCO2e could lead to an abatement of 3,223 MtCO2e⋅y−1. Livestock system transitions would contribute 21% of the total abatement, intra- and interregional relocation of livestock production another 40%, and all other mechanisms would add 39%. A comparable abatement of 3,068 MtCO2e⋅y−1 could be achieved also with a policy targeting only emissions from land-use change. Stringent climate policies might lead to reductions in food availability of up to 200 kcal per capita per day globally. We find that mitigation policies targeting emissions from land-use change are 5 to 10 times more efficient—measured in “total abatement calorie cost”—than policies targeting emissions from livestock only. Thus, fostering transitions toward more productive livestock production systems in combination with climate policies targeting the land-use change appears to be the most efficient lever to deliver desirable climate and food availability outcomes. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace35050 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateRange | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | National Academy of Sciences |
| publisherStr | National Academy of Sciences |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace350502024-10-17T09:47:53Z Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions Havlík, Petr Valin, Hugo Herrero, Mario Obersteiner, Michael Schmid, Erwin Rufino, Mariana C. Mosnier, Aline Thornton, Philip K. Böttcher, Hannes Conant, Richard T. Frank, S. Fritz, Steffen Fuss, S. Kraxner, Florian Notenbaert, An Maria Omer livestock environment climate change Livestock are responsible for 12% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Sustainable intensification of livestock production systems might become a key climate mitigation technology. However, livestock production systems vary substantially, making the implementation of climate mitigation policies a formidable challenge. Here, we provide results from an economic model using a detailed and high-resolution representation of livestock production systems. We project that by 2030 autonomous transitions toward more efficient systems would decrease emissions by 736 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent per year (MtCO2e⋅y−1), mainly through avoided emissions from the conversion of 162 Mha of natural land. A moderate mitigation policy targeting emissions from both the agricultural and land-use change sectors with a carbon price of US$10 per tCO2e could lead to an abatement of 3,223 MtCO2e⋅y−1. Livestock system transitions would contribute 21% of the total abatement, intra- and interregional relocation of livestock production another 40%, and all other mechanisms would add 39%. A comparable abatement of 3,068 MtCO2e⋅y−1 could be achieved also with a policy targeting only emissions from land-use change. Stringent climate policies might lead to reductions in food availability of up to 200 kcal per capita per day globally. We find that mitigation policies targeting emissions from land-use change are 5 to 10 times more efficient—measured in “total abatement calorie cost”—than policies targeting emissions from livestock only. Thus, fostering transitions toward more productive livestock production systems in combination with climate policies targeting the land-use change appears to be the most efficient lever to deliver desirable climate and food availability outcomes. 2014-03-11 2014-02-26T17:11:40Z 2014-02-26T17:11:40Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/35050 en http://www.iiasa.ac.at/web/home/about/news/20140225-PNAS.html Open Access National Academy of Sciences Havlík, P., Valin, H., Herrero, M., Obersteiner, M., Schmid, E., Rufino, M.C., Mosnier, A., Thornton, P.K., Böttcher, H., Conant, R.T., Frank, S., Fritz, S., Fuss, S., Kraxner, F. and Notenbaert, A. 2014. Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions. PNAS 111(10): 3709 - 3714 |
| spellingShingle | livestock environment climate change Havlík, Petr Valin, Hugo Herrero, Mario Obersteiner, Michael Schmid, Erwin Rufino, Mariana C. Mosnier, Aline Thornton, Philip K. Böttcher, Hannes Conant, Richard T. Frank, S. Fritz, Steffen Fuss, S. Kraxner, Florian Notenbaert, An Maria Omer Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions |
| title | Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions |
| title_full | Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions |
| title_fullStr | Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions |
| title_short | Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions |
| title_sort | climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions |
| topic | livestock environment climate change |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/35050 |
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