Environmental change impacts on the C- and N-cycle of European forests: A model comparison study

Forests are important components of the greenhouse gas balance of Europe. There is considerable uncertainty about how predicted changes to climate and nitrogen deposition will perturb the carbon and nitrogen cycles of European forests and thereby alter forest growth, carbon sequestration and N2O emi...

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Autores principales: Cameron, D.R., Oijen, M. Van, Werner, Christian R., Butterbach-Bahl, Klaus, Grote, R., Haas, E., Heuvelink, Gerard B.M., Kiese, Ralf, Kros, J., Kuhnert, M., Leip, A., Reinds, G.J., Reuter, H.I., Schelhaas, M.J., Vries, W. de, Yeluripati, J.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Copernicus GmbH 2013
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/34466
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author Cameron, D.R.
Oijen, M. Van
Werner, Christian R.
Butterbach-Bahl, Klaus
Grote, R.
Haas, E.
Heuvelink, Gerard B.M.
Kiese, Ralf
Kros, J.
Kuhnert, M.
Leip, A.
Reinds, G.J.
Reuter, H.I.
Schelhaas, M.J.
Vries, W. de
Yeluripati, J.
author_browse Butterbach-Bahl, Klaus
Cameron, D.R.
Grote, R.
Haas, E.
Heuvelink, Gerard B.M.
Kiese, Ralf
Kros, J.
Kuhnert, M.
Leip, A.
Oijen, M. Van
Reinds, G.J.
Reuter, H.I.
Schelhaas, M.J.
Vries, W. de
Werner, Christian R.
Yeluripati, J.
author_facet Cameron, D.R.
Oijen, M. Van
Werner, Christian R.
Butterbach-Bahl, Klaus
Grote, R.
Haas, E.
Heuvelink, Gerard B.M.
Kiese, Ralf
Kros, J.
Kuhnert, M.
Leip, A.
Reinds, G.J.
Reuter, H.I.
Schelhaas, M.J.
Vries, W. de
Yeluripati, J.
author_sort Cameron, D.R.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Forests are important components of the greenhouse gas balance of Europe. There is considerable uncertainty about how predicted changes to climate and nitrogen deposition will perturb the carbon and nitrogen cycles of European forests and thereby alter forest growth, carbon sequestration and N2O emission. The present study aimed to quantify the carbon and nitrogen balance, including the exchange of greenhouse gases, of European forests over the period 2010–2030, with a particular emphasis on the spatial variability of change. The analysis was carried out for two tree species: European beech and Scots pine. For this purpose, four different dynamic models were used: BASFOR, Daily Day Cent, INTEGRATOR and Landscape-DNDC. These models span a range from semi-empirical to complex mechanistic. Comparison of these models allowed assessment of the extent to which model predictions depended on differences in model inputs and structure. We found a European average carbon sink of 0.160±0.020 kgCm−2 yr−1 (pine) and 0.138±0.062 kgCm−2 yr−1 (beech) and N2O source of 0.285 ± 0.125 kgN ha−1 yr−1 (pine) and 0.575±0.105 kgN ha−1 yr−1 (beech). The European average greenhouse gas potential of the carbon sink was 18 (pine) and 8 (beech) times that of the N2O source. Carbon sequestration was larger in the trees than in the soil. Carbon sequestration and forest growth were largest in central Europe and lowest in northern Sweden and Finland, N. Poland and S. Spain. No single driver was found to dominate change across Europe. Forests were found to be most sensitive to change in environmental drivers where the drivers were limiting growth, where changes were particularly large or where changes acted in concert. The models disagreed as to which environmental changes were most significant for the geographical variation in forest growth and as to which tree species showed the largest rate of carbon sequestration. Pine and beech forests were found to have differing sensitivities to environmental change, in particular the response to changes in nitrogen and precipitation, with beech forest more vulnerable to drought. There was considerable uncertainty about the geographical location of N2O emissions. Two of the models BASFOR and Landscape DNDC had largest permissions in central Europe where nitrogen deposition and soil nitrogen were largest, whereas the two other models identified different regions with large N2O emission. N2O emissions were found to be larger from beech than pine forests and were found to be particularly sensitive to forest growth.
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spelling CGSpace344662024-08-27T10:36:53Z Environmental change impacts on the C- and N-cycle of European forests: A model comparison study Cameron, D.R. Oijen, M. Van Werner, Christian R. Butterbach-Bahl, Klaus Grote, R. Haas, E. Heuvelink, Gerard B.M. Kiese, Ralf Kros, J. Kuhnert, M. Leip, A. Reinds, G.J. Reuter, H.I. Schelhaas, M.J. Vries, W. de Yeluripati, J. forestry environment Forests are important components of the greenhouse gas balance of Europe. There is considerable uncertainty about how predicted changes to climate and nitrogen deposition will perturb the carbon and nitrogen cycles of European forests and thereby alter forest growth, carbon sequestration and N2O emission. The present study aimed to quantify the carbon and nitrogen balance, including the exchange of greenhouse gases, of European forests over the period 2010–2030, with a particular emphasis on the spatial variability of change. The analysis was carried out for two tree species: European beech and Scots pine. For this purpose, four different dynamic models were used: BASFOR, Daily Day Cent, INTEGRATOR and Landscape-DNDC. These models span a range from semi-empirical to complex mechanistic. Comparison of these models allowed assessment of the extent to which model predictions depended on differences in model inputs and structure. We found a European average carbon sink of 0.160±0.020 kgCm−2 yr−1 (pine) and 0.138±0.062 kgCm−2 yr−1 (beech) and N2O source of 0.285 ± 0.125 kgN ha−1 yr−1 (pine) and 0.575±0.105 kgN ha−1 yr−1 (beech). The European average greenhouse gas potential of the carbon sink was 18 (pine) and 8 (beech) times that of the N2O source. Carbon sequestration was larger in the trees than in the soil. Carbon sequestration and forest growth were largest in central Europe and lowest in northern Sweden and Finland, N. Poland and S. Spain. No single driver was found to dominate change across Europe. Forests were found to be most sensitive to change in environmental drivers where the drivers were limiting growth, where changes were particularly large or where changes acted in concert. The models disagreed as to which environmental changes were most significant for the geographical variation in forest growth and as to which tree species showed the largest rate of carbon sequestration. Pine and beech forests were found to have differing sensitivities to environmental change, in particular the response to changes in nitrogen and precipitation, with beech forest more vulnerable to drought. There was considerable uncertainty about the geographical location of N2O emissions. Two of the models BASFOR and Landscape DNDC had largest permissions in central Europe where nitrogen deposition and soil nitrogen were largest, whereas the two other models identified different regions with large N2O emission. N2O emissions were found to be larger from beech than pine forests and were found to be particularly sensitive to forest growth. 2013-03-14 2014-02-02T09:36:57Z 2014-02-02T09:36:57Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/34466 en Open Access Copernicus GmbH Cameron, D.R., Oijen, M. Van, Werner, C., Butterbach-Bahl, K., Grote, R., Haas, E., Heuvelink, G.B.M, Kiese, R., Kros, J., Kuhnert, M., Leip, A., Reinds, G.J., Reuter, H.I., Schelhaas, M.J., Vries, W. De and Yeluripati, J. 2013. Environmental change impacts on the C- and N-cycle of European forests: A model comparison study. Biogeosciences 10: 1751-1773
spellingShingle forestry
environment
Cameron, D.R.
Oijen, M. Van
Werner, Christian R.
Butterbach-Bahl, Klaus
Grote, R.
Haas, E.
Heuvelink, Gerard B.M.
Kiese, Ralf
Kros, J.
Kuhnert, M.
Leip, A.
Reinds, G.J.
Reuter, H.I.
Schelhaas, M.J.
Vries, W. de
Yeluripati, J.
Environmental change impacts on the C- and N-cycle of European forests: A model comparison study
title Environmental change impacts on the C- and N-cycle of European forests: A model comparison study
title_full Environmental change impacts on the C- and N-cycle of European forests: A model comparison study
title_fullStr Environmental change impacts on the C- and N-cycle of European forests: A model comparison study
title_full_unstemmed Environmental change impacts on the C- and N-cycle of European forests: A model comparison study
title_short Environmental change impacts on the C- and N-cycle of European forests: A model comparison study
title_sort environmental change impacts on the c and n cycle of european forests a model comparison study
topic forestry
environment
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/34466
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