A model of lineage-1 and lineage-2 rinderpest virus transmission in pastoral areas of East Africa
The development of a stochastic, state-transition model of rinderpest transmission dynamics is described using parameter estimates obtained from both laboratory and participatory research. Using serological data, the basic reproduction numbers for lineage-1 rinderpest virus in southern Sudan and for...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2005
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/33126 |
| _version_ | 1855520366956380160 |
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| author | Mariner, Jeffrey C. McDermott, John J. Heesterbeek, J.A.P. Catley, A. Roeder, P. |
| author_browse | Catley, A. Heesterbeek, J.A.P. Mariner, Jeffrey C. McDermott, John J. Roeder, P. |
| author_facet | Mariner, Jeffrey C. McDermott, John J. Heesterbeek, J.A.P. Catley, A. Roeder, P. |
| author_sort | Mariner, Jeffrey C. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The development of a stochastic, state-transition model of rinderpest transmission dynamics is described using parameter estimates obtained from both laboratory and participatory research. Using serological data, the basic reproduction numbers for lineage-1 rinderpest virus in southern Sudan and for lineage-2 rinderpest virus in Somali livestock were estimated as 4.4 and between 1.2 and 1.9, respectively. The model predictions for the inter-epidemic period in Sudan and Somalia (1.2 and 4.2 years, respectively) were in agreement with analysis of livestock-owner reports (1-2 years and 5 years, respectively). |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace33126 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2005 |
| publishDateRange | 2005 |
| publishDateSort | 2005 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace331262024-05-01T08:16:14Z A model of lineage-1 and lineage-2 rinderpest virus transmission in pastoral areas of East Africa Mariner, Jeffrey C. McDermott, John J. Heesterbeek, J.A.P. Catley, A. Roeder, P. rinderpest morbillivirus disease transmission pastures mathematical models epidemiology policies reproduction progeny The development of a stochastic, state-transition model of rinderpest transmission dynamics is described using parameter estimates obtained from both laboratory and participatory research. Using serological data, the basic reproduction numbers for lineage-1 rinderpest virus in southern Sudan and for lineage-2 rinderpest virus in Somali livestock were estimated as 4.4 and between 1.2 and 1.9, respectively. The model predictions for the inter-epidemic period in Sudan and Somalia (1.2 and 4.2 years, respectively) were in agreement with analysis of livestock-owner reports (1-2 years and 5 years, respectively). 2005-07 2013-07-03T05:26:06Z 2013-07-03T05:26:06Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/33126 en Limited Access Elsevier Preventive Veterinary Medicine;69(3-4): 245-263 |
| spellingShingle | rinderpest morbillivirus disease transmission pastures mathematical models epidemiology policies reproduction progeny Mariner, Jeffrey C. McDermott, John J. Heesterbeek, J.A.P. Catley, A. Roeder, P. A model of lineage-1 and lineage-2 rinderpest virus transmission in pastoral areas of East Africa |
| title | A model of lineage-1 and lineage-2 rinderpest virus transmission in pastoral areas of East Africa |
| title_full | A model of lineage-1 and lineage-2 rinderpest virus transmission in pastoral areas of East Africa |
| title_fullStr | A model of lineage-1 and lineage-2 rinderpest virus transmission in pastoral areas of East Africa |
| title_full_unstemmed | A model of lineage-1 and lineage-2 rinderpest virus transmission in pastoral areas of East Africa |
| title_short | A model of lineage-1 and lineage-2 rinderpest virus transmission in pastoral areas of East Africa |
| title_sort | model of lineage 1 and lineage 2 rinderpest virus transmission in pastoral areas of east africa |
| topic | rinderpest morbillivirus disease transmission pastures mathematical models epidemiology policies reproduction progeny |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/33126 |
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