A model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in East Africa
The dynamics of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia (CBPP) transmission vary widely between livestock production systems. This paper describes the development of a homogeneous, stochastic, compartmental model for CBPP transmission in pastoral herds of East Africa. The model was built using parameter e...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2006
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/33124 |
| _version_ | 1855519066701168640 |
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| author | Mariner, Jeffrey C. McDermott, John J. Heesterbeek, J.A.P. Thomson, G. Martin, S.W. |
| author_browse | Heesterbeek, J.A.P. Mariner, Jeffrey C. Martin, S.W. McDermott, John J. Thomson, G. |
| author_facet | Mariner, Jeffrey C. McDermott, John J. Heesterbeek, J.A.P. Thomson, G. Martin, S.W. |
| author_sort | Mariner, Jeffrey C. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The dynamics of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia (CBPP) transmission vary widely between livestock production systems. This paper describes the development of a homogeneous, stochastic, compartmental model for CBPP transmission in pastoral herds of East Africa. The model was built using parameter estimates based on data published in the literature and on observations of livestock owners obtained through participatory research. The basic reproduction number for CBPP in southern Sudan was estimated to range from 3.2 to 4.6. The homogeneous model indicates that the critical community size for the persistence of CBPP falls within the typical herd sizes for pastoral communities in East Africa suggesting that individual isolated herds are capable of maintaining infection indefinitely. Vaccination alone with currently available vaccines was unlikely to eradicate the disease. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace33124 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2006 |
| publishDateRange | 2006 |
| publishDateSort | 2006 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace331242023-12-08T19:36:04Z A model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in East Africa Mariner, Jeffrey C. McDermott, John J. Heesterbeek, J.A.P. Thomson, G. Martin, S.W. contagious bovine pleuropneumonia epidemiology policies models The dynamics of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia (CBPP) transmission vary widely between livestock production systems. This paper describes the development of a homogeneous, stochastic, compartmental model for CBPP transmission in pastoral herds of East Africa. The model was built using parameter estimates based on data published in the literature and on observations of livestock owners obtained through participatory research. The basic reproduction number for CBPP in southern Sudan was estimated to range from 3.2 to 4.6. The homogeneous model indicates that the critical community size for the persistence of CBPP falls within the typical herd sizes for pastoral communities in East Africa suggesting that individual isolated herds are capable of maintaining infection indefinitely. Vaccination alone with currently available vaccines was unlikely to eradicate the disease. 2006-01 2013-07-03T05:26:06Z 2013-07-03T05:26:06Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/33124 en Limited Access Elsevier Preventive Veterinary Medicine;73(1): 55-74 |
| spellingShingle | contagious bovine pleuropneumonia epidemiology policies models Mariner, Jeffrey C. McDermott, John J. Heesterbeek, J.A.P. Thomson, G. Martin, S.W. A model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in East Africa |
| title | A model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in East Africa |
| title_full | A model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in East Africa |
| title_fullStr | A model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in East Africa |
| title_full_unstemmed | A model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in East Africa |
| title_short | A model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in East Africa |
| title_sort | model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in east africa |
| topic | contagious bovine pleuropneumonia epidemiology policies models |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/33124 |
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