Estimating the transmissibility of H5N1 and effect of vaccination in Indonesia

The spread of H5N1 avian influenza continues to pose an economic burden and a public health risk worldwide. Despite this, estimates of the transmissibility of infection exist in only a handful of settings and vary considerably. Using final size methods and flock-level infection data from a field tri...

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Autores principales: Walker, P.G.T., Jost, Christine, Ghani, A.C., Cauchemez, S., Bett, Bernard K., Azhar, M., Murahman, J., Widiastuti, T., Daju, D., Mariner, Jeffrey C.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Hindawi Limited 2015
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/32850
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author Walker, P.G.T.
Jost, Christine
Ghani, A.C.
Cauchemez, S.
Bett, Bernard K.
Azhar, M.
Murahman, J.
Widiastuti, T.
Daju, D.
Mariner, Jeffrey C.
author_browse Azhar, M.
Bett, Bernard K.
Cauchemez, S.
Daju, D.
Ghani, A.C.
Jost, Christine
Mariner, Jeffrey C.
Murahman, J.
Walker, P.G.T.
Widiastuti, T.
author_facet Walker, P.G.T.
Jost, Christine
Ghani, A.C.
Cauchemez, S.
Bett, Bernard K.
Azhar, M.
Murahman, J.
Widiastuti, T.
Daju, D.
Mariner, Jeffrey C.
author_sort Walker, P.G.T.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The spread of H5N1 avian influenza continues to pose an economic burden and a public health risk worldwide. Despite this, estimates of the transmissibility of infection exist in only a handful of settings and vary considerably. Using final size methods and flock-level infection data from a field trial of mass vaccination, we obtained the first estimates of the transmissibility of infection between and within flocks in Indonesia. We also found that outbreaks in areas designated as vaccination zones were less transmissible than in non-vaccination zones. However, this reduction is only comparable with a limited degree of protective vaccination coverage. Quantifying the overall effect of vaccination in these zones remains challenging. However, this result would appear to imply that, although the interventions applied in vaccination zones were not sufficient to completely prevent transmission in all areas, when outbreaks occur, they are less transmissible than those in areas where vaccination was not applied. This could be either a direct or an indirect effect of vaccination. Given the dynamism of small-scale poultry production in Indonesia, more regular vaccination may be required to ensure that infection is fully controlled in vaccination zones.
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spelling CGSpace328502024-03-03T19:19:26Z Estimating the transmissibility of H5N1 and effect of vaccination in Indonesia Walker, P.G.T. Jost, Christine Ghani, A.C. Cauchemez, S. Bett, Bernard K. Azhar, M. Murahman, J. Widiastuti, T. Daju, D. Mariner, Jeffrey C. animal diseases zoonoses The spread of H5N1 avian influenza continues to pose an economic burden and a public health risk worldwide. Despite this, estimates of the transmissibility of infection exist in only a handful of settings and vary considerably. Using final size methods and flock-level infection data from a field trial of mass vaccination, we obtained the first estimates of the transmissibility of infection between and within flocks in Indonesia. We also found that outbreaks in areas designated as vaccination zones were less transmissible than in non-vaccination zones. However, this reduction is only comparable with a limited degree of protective vaccination coverage. Quantifying the overall effect of vaccination in these zones remains challenging. However, this result would appear to imply that, although the interventions applied in vaccination zones were not sufficient to completely prevent transmission in all areas, when outbreaks occur, they are less transmissible than those in areas where vaccination was not applied. This could be either a direct or an indirect effect of vaccination. Given the dynamism of small-scale poultry production in Indonesia, more regular vaccination may be required to ensure that infection is fully controlled in vaccination zones. 2015-04 2013-07-02T19:29:18Z 2013-07-02T19:29:18Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/32850 en Limited Access Hindawi Limited Walker, P.G.T., Jost, C., Ghani, A.C., Cauchemez, S., Bett, B., Azhar, M., Murahman, J., Widiastuti, T., Daju, D. and Mariner, J. 2015. Estimating the transmissibility of H5N1 and effect of vaccination in Indonesia. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases 62(2): 200-208.
spellingShingle animal diseases
zoonoses
Walker, P.G.T.
Jost, Christine
Ghani, A.C.
Cauchemez, S.
Bett, Bernard K.
Azhar, M.
Murahman, J.
Widiastuti, T.
Daju, D.
Mariner, Jeffrey C.
Estimating the transmissibility of H5N1 and effect of vaccination in Indonesia
title Estimating the transmissibility of H5N1 and effect of vaccination in Indonesia
title_full Estimating the transmissibility of H5N1 and effect of vaccination in Indonesia
title_fullStr Estimating the transmissibility of H5N1 and effect of vaccination in Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the transmissibility of H5N1 and effect of vaccination in Indonesia
title_short Estimating the transmissibility of H5N1 and effect of vaccination in Indonesia
title_sort estimating the transmissibility of h5n1 and effect of vaccination in indonesia
topic animal diseases
zoonoses
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/32850
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