Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces

A procedure to link a third-order Markov rainfall model to interpolated monthly mean climate surfaces is described. Such preliminary surfaces have been constructed for Africa and Latin America and these allow a user to generate daily weather data (rainfall, temperatures and solar radiation) that can...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Jones, Peter G., Thornton, Philip K.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 1999
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/29988
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author Jones, Peter G.
Thornton, Philip K.
author_browse Jones, Peter G.
Thornton, Philip K.
author_facet Jones, Peter G.
Thornton, Philip K.
author_sort Jones, Peter G.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description A procedure to link a third-order Markov rainfall model to interpolated monthly mean climate surfaces is described. Such preliminary surfaces have been constructed for Africa and Latin America and these allow a user to generate daily weather data (rainfall, temperatures and solar radiation) that can be used for purposes of system characterisation and to drive a wide variety of crop and livestock production and ecosystem models. For applications with a time resolution of a few weeks or a growing season the surfaces described already have substantial utility. Indicators of reliability both spatially, in map form, and as summaries of goodness of fit for the model parameters are presented. The surfaces were tested for goodness of fit for three contrasting sites in the tropics and refinements to improve the interpolation methodology identified.
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spelling CGSpace299882024-04-25T06:00:29Z Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces Jones, Peter G. Thornton, Philip K. climate rain models crops growth methods forestry A procedure to link a third-order Markov rainfall model to interpolated monthly mean climate surfaces is described. Such preliminary surfaces have been constructed for Africa and Latin America and these allow a user to generate daily weather data (rainfall, temperatures and solar radiation) that can be used for purposes of system characterisation and to drive a wide variety of crop and livestock production and ecosystem models. For applications with a time resolution of a few weeks or a growing season the surfaces described already have substantial utility. Indicators of reliability both spatially, in map form, and as summaries of goodness of fit for the model parameters are presented. The surfaces were tested for goodness of fit for three contrasting sites in the tropics and refinements to improve the interpolation methodology identified. 1999-11 2013-06-11T09:25:43Z 2013-06-11T09:25:43Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/29988 en Limited Access Elsevier Agricultural and Forest Meteorology;97(3): 213-231
spellingShingle climate
rain
models
crops
growth
methods
forestry
Jones, Peter G.
Thornton, Philip K.
Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces
title Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces
title_full Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces
title_fullStr Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces
title_full_unstemmed Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces
title_short Fitting a third-order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces
title_sort fitting a third order markov rainfall model to interpolated climatic surfaces
topic climate
rain
models
crops
growth
methods
forestry
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/29988
work_keys_str_mv AT jonespeterg fittingathirdordermarkovrainfallmodeltointerpolatedclimaticsurfaces
AT thorntonphilipk fittingathirdordermarkovrainfallmodeltointerpolatedclimaticsurfaces