Endemic stability - a veterinary idea applied to human public health
Endemic stability is an epidemiological state of a population, in which clinical disease is scarce despite high level of infection. The notion was developed to describe patterns of tick-borne disease in cattle. However, we propose a general, nodes of endemic stability that is applicable to a broader...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Elsevier
2001
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/29165 |
| _version_ | 1855516667926282240 |
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| author | Coleman, P.G. Perry, Brian D. Woolhouse, Mark E.J. |
| author_browse | Coleman, P.G. Perry, Brian D. Woolhouse, Mark E.J. |
| author_facet | Coleman, P.G. Perry, Brian D. Woolhouse, Mark E.J. |
| author_sort | Coleman, P.G. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Endemic stability is an epidemiological state of a population, in which clinical disease is scarce despite high level of infection. The notion was developed to describe patterns of tick-borne disease in cattle. However, we propose a general, nodes of endemic stability that is applicable to a broader range of diseases that are important in public health, including malaria, rubella, and mumps. We postulate that endemic stability requires only that (1) the probability, or severity, of clinical disease after infection increases with age, and (2) after one infection, the probability that subsequent infections result in disease is reduced. We present these criteria in simple mathematical terms. Our hypothesis predicts that partial disease control activities might, under certain circumstances, lead to an increase in disease incidence. We discuss the implications, for public health interventions. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace29165 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2001 |
| publishDateRange | 2001 |
| publishDateSort | 2001 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace291652024-04-25T06:00:23Z Endemic stability - a veterinary idea applied to human public health Coleman, P.G. Perry, Brian D. Woolhouse, Mark E.J. endemics animal diseases public health Endemic stability is an epidemiological state of a population, in which clinical disease is scarce despite high level of infection. The notion was developed to describe patterns of tick-borne disease in cattle. However, we propose a general, nodes of endemic stability that is applicable to a broader range of diseases that are important in public health, including malaria, rubella, and mumps. We postulate that endemic stability requires only that (1) the probability, or severity, of clinical disease after infection increases with age, and (2) after one infection, the probability that subsequent infections result in disease is reduced. We present these criteria in simple mathematical terms. Our hypothesis predicts that partial disease control activities might, under certain circumstances, lead to an increase in disease incidence. We discuss the implications, for public health interventions. 2001-04 2013-06-11T09:22:38Z 2013-06-11T09:22:38Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/29165 en Limited Access Elsevier Lancet;357(9264): 1284-1286 |
| spellingShingle | endemics animal diseases public health Coleman, P.G. Perry, Brian D. Woolhouse, Mark E.J. Endemic stability - a veterinary idea applied to human public health |
| title | Endemic stability - a veterinary idea applied to human public health |
| title_full | Endemic stability - a veterinary idea applied to human public health |
| title_fullStr | Endemic stability - a veterinary idea applied to human public health |
| title_full_unstemmed | Endemic stability - a veterinary idea applied to human public health |
| title_short | Endemic stability - a veterinary idea applied to human public health |
| title_sort | endemic stability a veterinary idea applied to human public health |
| topic | endemics animal diseases public health |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/29165 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT colemanpg endemicstabilityaveterinaryideaappliedtohumanpublichealth AT perrybriand endemicstabilityaveterinaryideaappliedtohumanpublichealth AT woolhousemarkej endemicstabilityaveterinaryideaappliedtohumanpublichealth |