Global bioenergy scenarios - future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs
Preservation of biodiversity and reduction of deforestation are considered as key elements when addressing an increased use of bioenergy in the future. This paper presents different combinations of scenarios for global feedstock supply for the production of bioenergy under specified social and envir...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Elsevier
2013
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/28964 |
| _version_ | 1855538740360904704 |
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| author | Kraxner, Florian Nordstrom, E.M. Havlík, Petr Gusti, Mykola Mosnier, Aline Frank, S. Valin, Hugo Fritz, Steffen Fuss, S. Kindermann, Georg McCallum, Ian Khabarov, N. Böttcher, Hannes See, Linda Aoki, K. Schmid, Erwin Mathe, L. Obersteiner, Michael |
| author_browse | Aoki, K. Böttcher, Hannes Frank, S. Fritz, Steffen Fuss, S. Gusti, Mykola Havlík, Petr Khabarov, N. Kindermann, Georg Kraxner, Florian Mathe, L. McCallum, Ian Mosnier, Aline Nordstrom, E.M. Obersteiner, Michael Schmid, Erwin See, Linda Valin, Hugo |
| author_facet | Kraxner, Florian Nordstrom, E.M. Havlík, Petr Gusti, Mykola Mosnier, Aline Frank, S. Valin, Hugo Fritz, Steffen Fuss, S. Kindermann, Georg McCallum, Ian Khabarov, N. Böttcher, Hannes See, Linda Aoki, K. Schmid, Erwin Mathe, L. Obersteiner, Michael |
| author_sort | Kraxner, Florian |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Preservation of biodiversity and reduction of deforestation are considered as key elements when addressing an increased use of bioenergy in the future. This paper presents different combinations of scenarios for global feedstock supply for the production of bioenergy under specified social and environmental safeguard provisions. The objectives of this study were threefold: a) to present a global perspective using an integrated modeling approach; b) to frame the boundaries for lower scale assessments; and c) to identify potential trade-offs to be considered in future research. The aggregate results, achieved through the application of an integrated global modeling cluster, indicate that under a high global demand for bioenergy by mid-century, biomass will to a large extent be sourced from the conversion of unmanaged forest into managed forest, from new fast-growing short-rotation plantations, intensification, and optimization of land use. Depending on the underlying scenario, zero net deforestation by 2020 could be reached and maintained with only a minor conversion of managed forests into other land cover types. Results further indicate that with rising populations and projected consumption levels, there will not be enough land to simultaneously conserve natural areas completely, halt forest loss, and switch to 100% renewable energy. Especially in the tropical regions of the southern hemisphere, it will be important to achieve a controlled conversion from unmanaged to sustainably managed forest as well as increased protection of areas for ecosystems services such as biodiversity. The study concludes with the recommendation to focus on targeted regional policy design and its implementation based on integrated global assessment modeling. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace28964 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| publishDateRange | 2013 |
| publishDateSort | 2013 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace289642025-06-13T04:20:21Z Global bioenergy scenarios - future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs Kraxner, Florian Nordstrom, E.M. Havlík, Petr Gusti, Mykola Mosnier, Aline Frank, S. Valin, Hugo Fritz, Steffen Fuss, S. Kindermann, Georg McCallum, Ian Khabarov, N. Böttcher, Hannes See, Linda Aoki, K. Schmid, Erwin Mathe, L. Obersteiner, Michael trade land use Preservation of biodiversity and reduction of deforestation are considered as key elements when addressing an increased use of bioenergy in the future. This paper presents different combinations of scenarios for global feedstock supply for the production of bioenergy under specified social and environmental safeguard provisions. The objectives of this study were threefold: a) to present a global perspective using an integrated modeling approach; b) to frame the boundaries for lower scale assessments; and c) to identify potential trade-offs to be considered in future research. The aggregate results, achieved through the application of an integrated global modeling cluster, indicate that under a high global demand for bioenergy by mid-century, biomass will to a large extent be sourced from the conversion of unmanaged forest into managed forest, from new fast-growing short-rotation plantations, intensification, and optimization of land use. Depending on the underlying scenario, zero net deforestation by 2020 could be reached and maintained with only a minor conversion of managed forests into other land cover types. Results further indicate that with rising populations and projected consumption levels, there will not be enough land to simultaneously conserve natural areas completely, halt forest loss, and switch to 100% renewable energy. Especially in the tropical regions of the southern hemisphere, it will be important to achieve a controlled conversion from unmanaged to sustainably managed forest as well as increased protection of areas for ecosystems services such as biodiversity. The study concludes with the recommendation to focus on targeted regional policy design and its implementation based on integrated global assessment modeling. 2013-10 2013-05-06T18:21:36Z 2013-05-06T18:21:36Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/28964 en Limited Access Elsevier Kraxner, F., Nordström, E.-M., Havlík, P., Gusti, M., Mosnier, A., Frank, S., Valin, H., Fritz, S., Fuss, S., Kindermann, G., McCallum, I., Khabarov, N., Böttcher, H., See, L., Aoki, K., Schmid, E., Máthé, L. and Obersteiner, M. 2013. Global bioenergy scenarios - future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs. Biomass and Bioenergy 57: 86-96. |
| spellingShingle | trade land use Kraxner, Florian Nordstrom, E.M. Havlík, Petr Gusti, Mykola Mosnier, Aline Frank, S. Valin, Hugo Fritz, Steffen Fuss, S. Kindermann, Georg McCallum, Ian Khabarov, N. Böttcher, Hannes See, Linda Aoki, K. Schmid, Erwin Mathe, L. Obersteiner, Michael Global bioenergy scenarios - future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs |
| title | Global bioenergy scenarios - future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs |
| title_full | Global bioenergy scenarios - future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs |
| title_fullStr | Global bioenergy scenarios - future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs |
| title_full_unstemmed | Global bioenergy scenarios - future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs |
| title_short | Global bioenergy scenarios - future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs |
| title_sort | global bioenergy scenarios future forest development land use implications and trade offs |
| topic | trade land use |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/28964 |
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