The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055
The impacts of climate change on agriculture may add significantly to the development challenges of ensuring food security and reducing poverty. We show the possible impacts on maize production in Africa and Latin America to 2055, using high-resolution methods to generate characteristic daily weathe...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2003
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/28668 |
| _version_ | 1855513272797626368 |
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| author | Jones, Peter G. Thornton, Philip K. |
| author_browse | Jones, Peter G. Thornton, Philip K. |
| author_facet | Jones, Peter G. Thornton, Philip K. |
| author_sort | Jones, Peter G. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The impacts of climate change on agriculture may add significantly to the development challenges of ensuring food security and reducing poverty. We show the possible impacts on maize production in Africa and Latin America to 2055, using high-resolution methods to generate characteristic daily weather data for driving a detailed simulation model of the maize crop. Although the results indicate an overall reduction of only 10% in maize production to 2055, equivalent to losses of $2 billion per year, the aggregate results hide enormous variability: areas can be identified where maize yields may change substantially. Climate change urgently needs to be assessed at the level of the household, so that poor and vulnerable people dependent on agriculture can be appropriately targeted in research and development activities whose object is poverty alleviation. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace28668 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2003 |
| publishDateRange | 2003 |
| publishDateSort | 2003 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace286682024-04-25T06:00:11Z The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055 Jones, Peter G. Thornton, Philip K. climate maize plant production poverty models ecology The impacts of climate change on agriculture may add significantly to the development challenges of ensuring food security and reducing poverty. We show the possible impacts on maize production in Africa and Latin America to 2055, using high-resolution methods to generate characteristic daily weather data for driving a detailed simulation model of the maize crop. Although the results indicate an overall reduction of only 10% in maize production to 2055, equivalent to losses of $2 billion per year, the aggregate results hide enormous variability: areas can be identified where maize yields may change substantially. Climate change urgently needs to be assessed at the level of the household, so that poor and vulnerable people dependent on agriculture can be appropriately targeted in research and development activities whose object is poverty alleviation. 2003-04 2013-05-06T07:01:07Z 2013-05-06T07:01:07Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/28668 en Limited Access Elsevier Global Environmental Change;13(1): 51-59 |
| spellingShingle | climate maize plant production poverty models ecology Jones, Peter G. Thornton, Philip K. The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055 |
| title | The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055 |
| title_full | The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055 |
| title_fullStr | The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055 |
| title_full_unstemmed | The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055 |
| title_short | The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055 |
| title_sort | potential impacts of climate change on maize production in africa and latin america in 2055 |
| topic | climate maize plant production poverty models ecology |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/28668 |
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