The role of multi-scale modeling in assessing livelihood adaptation strategies to climate change
The Earth’s climate is changing at unprecedented rates, largely due to anthropogenic factors (IPCC 2007). This, together with other drivers such as population increases and increased demand for crop and livestock products, is causing agro-ecosystems to evolve faster than previously expected. These c...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Capítulo de libro |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
La Goliardica Pavese s.r.l.
2007
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/2512 |
| _version_ | 1855539740287172608 |
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| author | Herrero, Mario Thornton, Philip K. |
| author_browse | Herrero, Mario Thornton, Philip K. |
| author_facet | Herrero, Mario Thornton, Philip K. |
| author_sort | Herrero, Mario |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | The Earth’s climate is changing at unprecedented rates, largely due to anthropogenic factors (IPCC 2007). This, together with other drivers such as population increases and increased demand for crop and livestock products, is causing agro-ecosystems to evolve faster than previously expected. These changes will have profound impacts on land use, global food security, energy use, the economics of agricultural systems and their sustainability, and the livelihoods of rural populations. Inevitably, the associated uncertainty of the magnitude and timing of these effects will make farming decisions more riskier and difficult. Climate change adaptation strategies will need to be developed, particularly in situations where vulnerability is high. The role of integrated models at different scales (regions and households) is likely to become more prominent as scenarios and solutions need to be devised and downscaled to be useful to relevant stakeholders. This paper outlines the climate change impacts and the effects of other drivers of change on agricultural systems and the livelihoods of farmers dependent on them. We continue with a description of existing models operating at different scales (from downscaled global circulation models to household models) and suggest ways in which they can be used to assess different adaptation strategies to cope with climate change impacts. We illustrate these concepts with case studies from highly vulnerable regions, mainly in smallholder systems in Africa. |
| format | Book Chapter |
| id | CGSpace2512 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2007 |
| publishDateRange | 2007 |
| publishDateSort | 2007 |
| publisher | La Goliardica Pavese s.r.l. |
| publisherStr | La Goliardica Pavese s.r.l. |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace25122024-01-22T09:44:16Z The role of multi-scale modeling in assessing livelihood adaptation strategies to climate change Herrero, Mario Thornton, Philip K. farming systems climate change The Earth’s climate is changing at unprecedented rates, largely due to anthropogenic factors (IPCC 2007). This, together with other drivers such as population increases and increased demand for crop and livestock products, is causing agro-ecosystems to evolve faster than previously expected. These changes will have profound impacts on land use, global food security, energy use, the economics of agricultural systems and their sustainability, and the livelihoods of rural populations. Inevitably, the associated uncertainty of the magnitude and timing of these effects will make farming decisions more riskier and difficult. Climate change adaptation strategies will need to be developed, particularly in situations where vulnerability is high. The role of integrated models at different scales (regions and households) is likely to become more prominent as scenarios and solutions need to be devised and downscaled to be useful to relevant stakeholders. This paper outlines the climate change impacts and the effects of other drivers of change on agricultural systems and the livelihoods of farmers dependent on them. We continue with a description of existing models operating at different scales (from downscaled global circulation models to household models) and suggest ways in which they can be used to assess different adaptation strategies to cope with climate change impacts. We illustrate these concepts with case studies from highly vulnerable regions, mainly in smallholder systems in Africa. 2007 2010-11-03T18:31:05Z 2010-11-03T18:31:05Z Book Chapter https://hdl.handle.net/10568/2512 en Open Access La Goliardica Pavese s.r.l. Herrero, M. and Thornton, P.K. 2007. The role of multi-scale modeling in assessing livelihood adaptation strategies to climate change. IN: Donatelli, M., Hatfield, J. and Rizzoli, A., Farming Systems Design 2007. International Symposium on Methodologies on Integrated Analysis in Farm Production Systems. Catania, Italy, September 10-12, 2007. Book 1: Farm-regional scale design and improvement: pp 183-184. Rome (Italy): La Goliardica Pavese s.r.l. |
| spellingShingle | farming systems climate change Herrero, Mario Thornton, Philip K. The role of multi-scale modeling in assessing livelihood adaptation strategies to climate change |
| title | The role of multi-scale modeling in assessing livelihood adaptation strategies to climate change |
| title_full | The role of multi-scale modeling in assessing livelihood adaptation strategies to climate change |
| title_fullStr | The role of multi-scale modeling in assessing livelihood adaptation strategies to climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed | The role of multi-scale modeling in assessing livelihood adaptation strategies to climate change |
| title_short | The role of multi-scale modeling in assessing livelihood adaptation strategies to climate change |
| title_sort | role of multi scale modeling in assessing livelihood adaptation strategies to climate change |
| topic | farming systems climate change |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/2512 |
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