Risk mapping for HPAI H5N1 in Africa - Improving surveillance for virulent bird flu: Final report and maps

More than 85 percent of households in rural Africa raise poultry for food, income, or both, and many people live in close contact with their birds. The possibility of an epidemic of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 is therefore a major concern. Since 2006 bird fl u has been introduced i...

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Autores principales: Stevens, K.B., Costard, Solenne, Métras, Raphaëlle, Theuri, Wachira, Hendrickx, Saskia C.J., Pfeiffer, Dirk U.
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Livestock Research Institute 2010
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/2420
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author Stevens, K.B.
Costard, Solenne
Métras, Raphaëlle
Theuri, Wachira
Hendrickx, Saskia C.J.
Pfeiffer, Dirk U.
author_browse Costard, Solenne
Hendrickx, Saskia C.J.
Métras, Raphaëlle
Pfeiffer, Dirk U.
Stevens, K.B.
Theuri, Wachira
author_facet Stevens, K.B.
Costard, Solenne
Métras, Raphaëlle
Theuri, Wachira
Hendrickx, Saskia C.J.
Pfeiffer, Dirk U.
author_sort Stevens, K.B.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description More than 85 percent of households in rural Africa raise poultry for food, income, or both, and many people live in close contact with their birds. The possibility of an epidemic of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 is therefore a major concern. Since 2006 bird fl u has been introduced into at least 11 countries in Africa, and over 600 outbreaks reported. Vigilance is key to limiting the disease but animal health personnel cannot monitor everywhere at once. This risk-mapping project was designed to help prioritize their efforts by showing in which places outbreaks are more likely to occur. A risk map is a complex, computer-generated image that shows the spatial distribution of the predicted risk of a disease. It is based on the spatial distribution of “risk factors” associated with an increased risk of disease, and the relative importance of each of these factors. In the case of virulent bird fl u, risk factors include major transport routes, markets where poultry may be traded, and wetlands with the possibility of contact between poultry and wild birds. Researchers in this project have prepared risk maps for bird fl u in Africa using multi-criteria decision modeling (MCDM). In this way they have integrated data and information from such diverse sources as published scientific literature, maps available in the public domain, field surveys and expert consultations.
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spelling CGSpace24202025-11-04T20:07:26Z Risk mapping for HPAI H5N1 in Africa - Improving surveillance for virulent bird flu: Final report and maps Stevens, K.B. Costard, Solenne Métras, Raphaëlle Theuri, Wachira Hendrickx, Saskia C.J. Pfeiffer, Dirk U. More than 85 percent of households in rural Africa raise poultry for food, income, or both, and many people live in close contact with their birds. The possibility of an epidemic of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 is therefore a major concern. Since 2006 bird fl u has been introduced into at least 11 countries in Africa, and over 600 outbreaks reported. Vigilance is key to limiting the disease but animal health personnel cannot monitor everywhere at once. This risk-mapping project was designed to help prioritize their efforts by showing in which places outbreaks are more likely to occur. A risk map is a complex, computer-generated image that shows the spatial distribution of the predicted risk of a disease. It is based on the spatial distribution of “risk factors” associated with an increased risk of disease, and the relative importance of each of these factors. In the case of virulent bird fl u, risk factors include major transport routes, markets where poultry may be traded, and wetlands with the possibility of contact between poultry and wild birds. Researchers in this project have prepared risk maps for bird fl u in Africa using multi-criteria decision modeling (MCDM). In this way they have integrated data and information from such diverse sources as published scientific literature, maps available in the public domain, field surveys and expert consultations. 2010-02 2010-09-22T13:13:32Z 2010-09-22T13:13:32Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/2420 en Open Access application/pdf International Livestock Research Institute Stevens, K.B., Costard, S., Métras, R., Theuri, W., Hendrickx, S. and Pfeiffer, D.U. 2010. Risk mapping for HPAI H5N1 in Africa - Improving surveillance for virulent bird flu: Final report and maps. EDRSAIA (Early Detection, Reporting and Surveillance for Avian Influenza in Africa) project. Nairobi, Kenya: ILRI.
spellingShingle Stevens, K.B.
Costard, Solenne
Métras, Raphaëlle
Theuri, Wachira
Hendrickx, Saskia C.J.
Pfeiffer, Dirk U.
Risk mapping for HPAI H5N1 in Africa - Improving surveillance for virulent bird flu: Final report and maps
title Risk mapping for HPAI H5N1 in Africa - Improving surveillance for virulent bird flu: Final report and maps
title_full Risk mapping for HPAI H5N1 in Africa - Improving surveillance for virulent bird flu: Final report and maps
title_fullStr Risk mapping for HPAI H5N1 in Africa - Improving surveillance for virulent bird flu: Final report and maps
title_full_unstemmed Risk mapping for HPAI H5N1 in Africa - Improving surveillance for virulent bird flu: Final report and maps
title_short Risk mapping for HPAI H5N1 in Africa - Improving surveillance for virulent bird flu: Final report and maps
title_sort risk mapping for hpai h5n1 in africa improving surveillance for virulent bird flu final report and maps
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/2420
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