Proximate causes of deforestation in the Bolivian lowlands: an analysis of spatial dynamics

Forests in lowland Bolivia suffer from severe deforestation caused by different types of agents and land use activities. We identify three major proximate causes of deforestation. The largest share of deforestation is attributable to the expansion of mechanized agriculture, followed by cattle ranchi...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Muller, R., Muller, D., Schierhorn, F., Gerold, G., Pacheco, P.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: 2011
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/20949
_version_ 1855533138106646528
author Muller, R.
Muller, D.
Schierhorn, F.
Gerold, G.
Pacheco, P.
author_browse Gerold, G.
Muller, D.
Muller, R.
Pacheco, P.
Schierhorn, F.
author_facet Muller, R.
Muller, D.
Schierhorn, F.
Gerold, G.
Pacheco, P.
author_sort Muller, R.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Forests in lowland Bolivia suffer from severe deforestation caused by different types of agents and land use activities. We identify three major proximate causes of deforestation. The largest share of deforestation is attributable to the expansion of mechanized agriculture, followed by cattle ranching and small-scale agriculture. We utilize a spatially explicit multinomial logit model to analyze the determinants of each of these proximate causes of deforestation between 1992 and 2004. We substantiate the quantitative insights with a qualitative analysis of historical processes that have shaped land use patterns in the Bolivian lowlands to date. Our results suggest that the expansion of mechanized agriculture occurs mainly in response to good access to export markets, fertile soil, and intermediate rainfall conditions. Increases in small-scale agriculture are mainly associated with a humid climate, fertile soil, and proximity to local markets. Forest conversion into pastures for cattle ranching occurs mostly irrespective of environmental determinants and can mainly be explained by access to local markets. Land use restrictions, such as protected areas, seem to prevent the expansion of mechanized agriculture but have little impact on the expansion of small-scale agriculture and cattle ranching. The analysis of future deforestation trends reveals possible hotspots of future expansion for each proximate cause and specifically highlights the possible opening of new frontiers for deforestation due to mechanized agriculture. Whereas the quantitative analysis effectively elucidates the spatial patterns of recent agricultural expansion, the interpretation of long-term historic drivers reveals that the timing and quantity of forest conversion are often triggered by political interventions and historical legacies.
format Journal Article
id CGSpace20949
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2011
publishDateRange 2011
publishDateSort 2011
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace209492025-01-24T14:20:08Z Proximate causes of deforestation in the Bolivian lowlands: an analysis of spatial dynamics Muller, R. Muller, D. Schierhorn, F. Gerold, G. Pacheco, P. deforestation spatial analysis agricultural land land use Forests in lowland Bolivia suffer from severe deforestation caused by different types of agents and land use activities. We identify three major proximate causes of deforestation. The largest share of deforestation is attributable to the expansion of mechanized agriculture, followed by cattle ranching and small-scale agriculture. We utilize a spatially explicit multinomial logit model to analyze the determinants of each of these proximate causes of deforestation between 1992 and 2004. We substantiate the quantitative insights with a qualitative analysis of historical processes that have shaped land use patterns in the Bolivian lowlands to date. Our results suggest that the expansion of mechanized agriculture occurs mainly in response to good access to export markets, fertile soil, and intermediate rainfall conditions. Increases in small-scale agriculture are mainly associated with a humid climate, fertile soil, and proximity to local markets. Forest conversion into pastures for cattle ranching occurs mostly irrespective of environmental determinants and can mainly be explained by access to local markets. Land use restrictions, such as protected areas, seem to prevent the expansion of mechanized agriculture but have little impact on the expansion of small-scale agriculture and cattle ranching. The analysis of future deforestation trends reveals possible hotspots of future expansion for each proximate cause and specifically highlights the possible opening of new frontiers for deforestation due to mechanized agriculture. Whereas the quantitative analysis effectively elucidates the spatial patterns of recent agricultural expansion, the interpretation of long-term historic drivers reveals that the timing and quantity of forest conversion are often triggered by political interventions and historical legacies. 2011 2012-06-04T09:15:21Z 2012-06-04T09:15:21Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/20949 en Muller, R., Muller, D., Schierhorn, F., Gerold, G., Pacheco, P. 2011. Proximate causes of deforestation in the Bolivian lowlands: an analysis of spatial dynamics . Regional Environmental Change 11 ISSN: 1436-3798.
spellingShingle deforestation
spatial analysis
agricultural land
land use
Muller, R.
Muller, D.
Schierhorn, F.
Gerold, G.
Pacheco, P.
Proximate causes of deforestation in the Bolivian lowlands: an analysis of spatial dynamics
title Proximate causes of deforestation in the Bolivian lowlands: an analysis of spatial dynamics
title_full Proximate causes of deforestation in the Bolivian lowlands: an analysis of spatial dynamics
title_fullStr Proximate causes of deforestation in the Bolivian lowlands: an analysis of spatial dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Proximate causes of deforestation in the Bolivian lowlands: an analysis of spatial dynamics
title_short Proximate causes of deforestation in the Bolivian lowlands: an analysis of spatial dynamics
title_sort proximate causes of deforestation in the bolivian lowlands an analysis of spatial dynamics
topic deforestation
spatial analysis
agricultural land
land use
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/20949
work_keys_str_mv AT mullerr proximatecausesofdeforestationinthebolivianlowlandsananalysisofspatialdynamics
AT mullerd proximatecausesofdeforestationinthebolivianlowlandsananalysisofspatialdynamics
AT schierhornf proximatecausesofdeforestationinthebolivianlowlandsananalysisofspatialdynamics
AT geroldg proximatecausesofdeforestationinthebolivianlowlandsananalysisofspatialdynamics
AT pachecop proximatecausesofdeforestationinthebolivianlowlandsananalysisofspatialdynamics