Trade-induced forest-to pasture conversion in Brazil: Insights from the global beef supply chains
International trade is a defining feature of contemporary food systems and can generate substantial environmental pressures in tropical forest regions. This study examines how demand transmitted through global beef supply chains is associated with forest-to-pasture conversion in Brazil. Using panel...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Artículo preliminar |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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CGIAR System Organization
2025
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/180255 |
| _version_ | 1855535623997227008 |
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| author | Chen, Ziqi Chen, Shuai Chen, Kevin Z. |
| author_browse | Chen, Kevin Z. Chen, Shuai Chen, Ziqi |
| author_facet | Chen, Ziqi Chen, Shuai Chen, Kevin Z. |
| author_sort | Chen, Ziqi |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | International trade is a defining feature of contemporary food systems and can generate substantial environmental pressures in tropical forest regions. This study examines how demand transmitted through global beef supply chains is associated with forest-to-pasture conversion in Brazil. Using panel data for 5,570 Brazilian municipalities from 2013 to 2020, we integrate supply-chain information with satellite-based land-use data to estimate the effects of beef export exposure on forest-to-pasture conversion, exploiting exogenous variation in export demand. We find that a 1% increase in Brazilian beef exports to China is associated with a 0.0194% increase in forest-to-pasture conversion in Brazil, while a 1% increase in Brazilian beef exports to the European Union and the United Arab Emirates are associated with a 0.0547% and 0.0227% increase, respectively, in forest-to-pasture conversion. These comparative analyses across major destination markets suggest that trade–forest relationships vary across markets and local contexts rather than being driven by a single importing country. These effects are spatially heterogeneous, with stronger impacts in economically less developed municipalities and in areas with limited remaining forest cover. Together, the results highlight how demand shocks transmitted through global food supply chains can shape land-use dynamics in tropical forest countries, underscoring the importance of aligning trade and food system policies with forest conservation objectives. |
| format | Artículo preliminar |
| id | CGSpace180255 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| publisher | CGIAR System Organization |
| publisherStr | CGIAR System Organization |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1802552026-01-21T16:55:52Z Trade-induced forest-to pasture conversion in Brazil: Insights from the global beef supply chains Chen, Ziqi Chen, Shuai Chen, Kevin Z. climate change land use forests beef land-use change trade global value chains International trade is a defining feature of contemporary food systems and can generate substantial environmental pressures in tropical forest regions. This study examines how demand transmitted through global beef supply chains is associated with forest-to-pasture conversion in Brazil. Using panel data for 5,570 Brazilian municipalities from 2013 to 2020, we integrate supply-chain information with satellite-based land-use data to estimate the effects of beef export exposure on forest-to-pasture conversion, exploiting exogenous variation in export demand. We find that a 1% increase in Brazilian beef exports to China is associated with a 0.0194% increase in forest-to-pasture conversion in Brazil, while a 1% increase in Brazilian beef exports to the European Union and the United Arab Emirates are associated with a 0.0547% and 0.0227% increase, respectively, in forest-to-pasture conversion. These comparative analyses across major destination markets suggest that trade–forest relationships vary across markets and local contexts rather than being driven by a single importing country. These effects are spatially heterogeneous, with stronger impacts in economically less developed municipalities and in areas with limited remaining forest cover. Together, the results highlight how demand shocks transmitted through global food supply chains can shape land-use dynamics in tropical forest countries, underscoring the importance of aligning trade and food system policies with forest conservation objectives. 2025-12-31 2026-01-20T22:04:31Z 2026-01-20T22:04:31Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/180255 en Open Access application/pdf CGIAR System Organization Chen, Ziqi; Chen, Shuai; and Chen, Kevin Z. 2025. Trade-induced forest-to pasture conversion in Brazil: Insights from the global beef supply chains. CGIAR System Organization. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/180255 |
| spellingShingle | climate change land use forests beef land-use change trade global value chains Chen, Ziqi Chen, Shuai Chen, Kevin Z. Trade-induced forest-to pasture conversion in Brazil: Insights from the global beef supply chains |
| title | Trade-induced forest-to pasture conversion in Brazil: Insights from the global beef supply chains |
| title_full | Trade-induced forest-to pasture conversion in Brazil: Insights from the global beef supply chains |
| title_fullStr | Trade-induced forest-to pasture conversion in Brazil: Insights from the global beef supply chains |
| title_full_unstemmed | Trade-induced forest-to pasture conversion in Brazil: Insights from the global beef supply chains |
| title_short | Trade-induced forest-to pasture conversion in Brazil: Insights from the global beef supply chains |
| title_sort | trade induced forest to pasture conversion in brazil insights from the global beef supply chains |
| topic | climate change land use forests beef land-use change trade global value chains |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/180255 |
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