Rethinking the causes of deforestation: lessons from economic models

This article, which synthesizes the results of more than 140 economic models analyzing the causes of tropical deforestation, raises significant doubts about many conventional hypotheses in the debate about deforestation. More roads, higher agricultural prices, lower wages, and a shortage of off-farm...

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Main Authors: Angelsen, A., Kaimowitz, D.
Format: Journal Article
Language:Inglés
Published: 1999
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/18018
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author Angelsen, A.
Kaimowitz, D.
author_browse Angelsen, A.
Kaimowitz, D.
author_facet Angelsen, A.
Kaimowitz, D.
author_sort Angelsen, A.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This article, which synthesizes the results of more than 140 economic models analyzing the causes of tropical deforestation, raises significant doubts about many conventional hypotheses in the debate about deforestation. More roads, higher agricultural prices, lower wages, and a shortage of off-farm employment generally lead to more deforestation. How technical change, agricultural input prices, household income levels, and tenure security affect deforestation-if at all-is unknown. The role of macroeconomic factors such as population growth, poverty reduction, national income, economic growth and foreign debt is also ambiguous. This review, however, finds that policy reforms included in current economic liberalization and adjustment efforts may increase the pressure on forests. Although the boom in deforestation modeling has yielded new insights, weak methodology and poor-quality data make the results of many models questionable.
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spelling CGSpace180182025-01-24T14:20:28Z Rethinking the causes of deforestation: lessons from economic models Angelsen, A. Kaimowitz, D. agricultural prices credit deforestation economic growth external debt income international trade off-farm employment population pressure policies structural adjustment technical progress models change land use This article, which synthesizes the results of more than 140 economic models analyzing the causes of tropical deforestation, raises significant doubts about many conventional hypotheses in the debate about deforestation. More roads, higher agricultural prices, lower wages, and a shortage of off-farm employment generally lead to more deforestation. How technical change, agricultural input prices, household income levels, and tenure security affect deforestation-if at all-is unknown. The role of macroeconomic factors such as population growth, poverty reduction, national income, economic growth and foreign debt is also ambiguous. This review, however, finds that policy reforms included in current economic liberalization and adjustment efforts may increase the pressure on forests. Although the boom in deforestation modeling has yielded new insights, weak methodology and poor-quality data make the results of many models questionable. 1999 2012-06-04T09:04:51Z 2012-06-04T09:04:51Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/18018 en Angelsen, A., Kaimowitz, D. 1999. Rethinking the causes of deforestation: lessons from economic models . World Bank Research Observer 14 (1) :73-98.
spellingShingle agricultural prices
credit
deforestation
economic growth
external debt
income
international trade
off-farm employment
population pressure
policies
structural adjustment
technical progress
models
change
land use
Angelsen, A.
Kaimowitz, D.
Rethinking the causes of deforestation: lessons from economic models
title Rethinking the causes of deforestation: lessons from economic models
title_full Rethinking the causes of deforestation: lessons from economic models
title_fullStr Rethinking the causes of deforestation: lessons from economic models
title_full_unstemmed Rethinking the causes of deforestation: lessons from economic models
title_short Rethinking the causes of deforestation: lessons from economic models
title_sort rethinking the causes of deforestation lessons from economic models
topic agricultural prices
credit
deforestation
economic growth
external debt
income
international trade
off-farm employment
population pressure
policies
structural adjustment
technical progress
models
change
land use
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/18018
work_keys_str_mv AT angelsena rethinkingthecausesofdeforestationlessonsfromeconomicmodels
AT kaimowitzd rethinkingthecausesofdeforestationlessonsfromeconomicmodels