Synopsis: Economywide assessment of CSA interventions in building resilient agri-food systems in Rwanda

This research extends IFPRI’s RIAPA modeling to include both the full implementation of PSTA 5’s climate smart agriculture and a once-in-five-year weather shock, and the interactions of both on agricultural sectors, agricultural GDP, and on national GDP. Main findings include: Rwanda’s agri-food sy...

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Autores principales: Aragie, Emerta A., Thurlow, James, Warner, James, Niyonsingiza, Josue
Formato: Brief
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2026
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179844
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author Aragie, Emerta A.
Thurlow, James
Warner, James
Niyonsingiza, Josue
author_browse Aragie, Emerta A.
Niyonsingiza, Josue
Thurlow, James
Warner, James
author_facet Aragie, Emerta A.
Thurlow, James
Warner, James
Niyonsingiza, Josue
author_sort Aragie, Emerta A.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This research extends IFPRI’s RIAPA modeling to include both the full implementation of PSTA 5’s climate smart agriculture and a once-in-five-year weather shock, and the interactions of both on agricultural sectors, agricultural GDP, and on national GDP. Main findings include: Rwanda’s agri-food system is highly vulnerable to climate variability due to its structural characteristics. Results indicate that CSA practices during the PSTA-5 period (2024/25–2028/29) increase agricultural GDP growth by 0.9 percentage points annually, with the largest impacts on horticulture and roots and tubers. However, several CSA interventions relate to infrastructural improvements and therefore the benefits extend over a longer time horizon, ultimately having even greater impact beyond PSTA 5. The weather shock causes dramatic declines in agricultural GDP (-1.6 percent), with horticulture affected most negatively, suffering a 2.4 percent decline. The joint Climate + CSA scenario depicts how CSA helps mitigate, but not fully eliminate, the negative impacts of weather shocks during the PSTA 5 period.
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spelling CGSpace1798442026-01-15T15:47:00Z Synopsis: Economywide assessment of CSA interventions in building resilient agri-food systems in Rwanda Aragie, Emerta A. Thurlow, James Warner, James Niyonsingiza, Josue climate-smart agriculture modelling food systems agricultural policies This research extends IFPRI’s RIAPA modeling to include both the full implementation of PSTA 5’s climate smart agriculture and a once-in-five-year weather shock, and the interactions of both on agricultural sectors, agricultural GDP, and on national GDP. Main findings include: Rwanda’s agri-food system is highly vulnerable to climate variability due to its structural characteristics. Results indicate that CSA practices during the PSTA-5 period (2024/25–2028/29) increase agricultural GDP growth by 0.9 percentage points annually, with the largest impacts on horticulture and roots and tubers. However, several CSA interventions relate to infrastructural improvements and therefore the benefits extend over a longer time horizon, ultimately having even greater impact beyond PSTA 5. The weather shock causes dramatic declines in agricultural GDP (-1.6 percent), with horticulture affected most negatively, suffering a 2.4 percent decline. The joint Climate + CSA scenario depicts how CSA helps mitigate, but not fully eliminate, the negative impacts of weather shocks during the PSTA 5 period. 2026-01-14 2026-01-14T19:15:43Z 2026-01-14T19:15:43Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179844 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/177650 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/173824 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Aragie, Emerta A.; Thurlow, James; Warner, James; and Niyonsingiza, Josue. 2025. Synopsis: Economywide assessment of CSA interventions in building resilient agri-food systems in Rwanda. Rwanda SSP Policy Note 26. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179844
spellingShingle climate-smart agriculture
modelling
food systems
agricultural policies
Aragie, Emerta A.
Thurlow, James
Warner, James
Niyonsingiza, Josue
Synopsis: Economywide assessment of CSA interventions in building resilient agri-food systems in Rwanda
title Synopsis: Economywide assessment of CSA interventions in building resilient agri-food systems in Rwanda
title_full Synopsis: Economywide assessment of CSA interventions in building resilient agri-food systems in Rwanda
title_fullStr Synopsis: Economywide assessment of CSA interventions in building resilient agri-food systems in Rwanda
title_full_unstemmed Synopsis: Economywide assessment of CSA interventions in building resilient agri-food systems in Rwanda
title_short Synopsis: Economywide assessment of CSA interventions in building resilient agri-food systems in Rwanda
title_sort synopsis economywide assessment of csa interventions in building resilient agri food systems in rwanda
topic climate-smart agriculture
modelling
food systems
agricultural policies
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179844
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