Climate vulnerability assessment and development of adaptation strategies for agricultural value chains in Nampula and Zambézia, Mozambique
Mozambique is increasingly vulnerable to climate risks, particularly in its agricultural sector, with the northern provinces of Nampula and Zambézia being particularly affected. Over recent decades, recurring droughts, floods, cyclones, and temperature extremes have worsened, threatening rural livel...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Formato: | Informe técnico |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
2025
|
| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179341 |
| _version_ | 1855519387220443136 |
|---|---|
| author | Mwungu, Chris Osiemo, Jamleck Koech, Grace Majambo, Gamoyo Chege, Christine Binge, Brenda Chilambe, Pedro |
| author_browse | Binge, Brenda Chege, Christine Chilambe, Pedro Koech, Grace Majambo, Gamoyo Mwungu, Chris Osiemo, Jamleck |
| author_facet | Mwungu, Chris Osiemo, Jamleck Koech, Grace Majambo, Gamoyo Chege, Christine Binge, Brenda Chilambe, Pedro |
| author_sort | Mwungu, Chris |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Mozambique is increasingly vulnerable to climate risks, particularly in its agricultural sector, with the northern provinces of Nampula and Zambézia being particularly affected. Over recent decades, recurring droughts, floods, cyclones, and temperature extremes have worsened, threatening rural livelihoods, food security, and the stability of agricultural value chains. This report presents a comprehensive climate vulnerability assessment and proposes adaptation strategies for key value chains, including cassava, groundnuts, maize, sesame, cattle, goats, rice, tobacco, and sugarcane, across these provinces. The findings highlight the urgent need for localised data to guide resilience initiatives, especially in areas where poverty, infrastructure gaps, and reliance on rain-fed farming increase climate risks.
The study employs the IPCC vulnerability framework, combining exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity indicators to develop district-specific vulnerability indices. It utilises high-resolution climate data, biophysical datasets, socioeconomic indicators, and value chain diagnostics. These indicators are standardised and combined into a composite index, which helps in mapping the spatial distribution of climate hazards and socio-economic vulnerabilities. Moreover, a value chain approach is employed to analyse climate risks across the stages of input procurement, on-farm production, post-harvest handling, marketing, and consumption. This integrated analysis provides a comprehensive view of how climate stress spreads through agricultural systems.
Findings reveal notable spatial variations in climate vulnerability. Zambézia demonstrates a higher overall risk, particularly in districts such as Milange and Morrumbala, which score highest due to a combination of moderate-to-high exposure, heightened sensitivity, and limited adaptive capacity. Nampula appears relatively less vulnerable, with several districts benefiting from improved market access and productivity. However, both provinces face systemic challenges, including limited climate information, inadequate infrastructure, and farmers constrained financial resources. Drought remains the most common climate hazard across all evaluated value chains.
To build climate resilience in Nampula and Zambézia, integrated, context-specific approaches are essential, encompassing technical, institutional, and policy measures. Boosting adaptive capacity through investments in extension services, climate-resilient infrastructure, inclusive innovation systems, and multi-stakeholder partnerships is vital for safeguarding rural livelihoods and ensuring the long-term sustainability of Mozambique's agriculture. |
| format | Informe técnico |
| id | CGSpace179341 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1793412026-01-01T02:03:51Z Climate vulnerability assessment and development of adaptation strategies for agricultural value chains in Nampula and Zambézia, Mozambique Mwungu, Chris Osiemo, Jamleck Koech, Grace Majambo, Gamoyo Chege, Christine Binge, Brenda Chilambe, Pedro evaluation resilience adaptive capacity agricultural landscape vulnerability data analysis rural communities inclusion innovation systems climate change impacts Mozambique is increasingly vulnerable to climate risks, particularly in its agricultural sector, with the northern provinces of Nampula and Zambézia being particularly affected. Over recent decades, recurring droughts, floods, cyclones, and temperature extremes have worsened, threatening rural livelihoods, food security, and the stability of agricultural value chains. This report presents a comprehensive climate vulnerability assessment and proposes adaptation strategies for key value chains, including cassava, groundnuts, maize, sesame, cattle, goats, rice, tobacco, and sugarcane, across these provinces. The findings highlight the urgent need for localised data to guide resilience initiatives, especially in areas where poverty, infrastructure gaps, and reliance on rain-fed farming increase climate risks. The study employs the IPCC vulnerability framework, combining exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity indicators to develop district-specific vulnerability indices. It utilises high-resolution climate data, biophysical datasets, socioeconomic indicators, and value chain diagnostics. These indicators are standardised and combined into a composite index, which helps in mapping the spatial distribution of climate hazards and socio-economic vulnerabilities. Moreover, a value chain approach is employed to analyse climate risks across the stages of input procurement, on-farm production, post-harvest handling, marketing, and consumption. This integrated analysis provides a comprehensive view of how climate stress spreads through agricultural systems. Findings reveal notable spatial variations in climate vulnerability. Zambézia demonstrates a higher overall risk, particularly in districts such as Milange and Morrumbala, which score highest due to a combination of moderate-to-high exposure, heightened sensitivity, and limited adaptive capacity. Nampula appears relatively less vulnerable, with several districts benefiting from improved market access and productivity. However, both provinces face systemic challenges, including limited climate information, inadequate infrastructure, and farmers constrained financial resources. Drought remains the most common climate hazard across all evaluated value chains. To build climate resilience in Nampula and Zambézia, integrated, context-specific approaches are essential, encompassing technical, institutional, and policy measures. Boosting adaptive capacity through investments in extension services, climate-resilient infrastructure, inclusive innovation systems, and multi-stakeholder partnerships is vital for safeguarding rural livelihoods and ensuring the long-term sustainability of Mozambique's agriculture. 2025-12-09 2025-12-31T12:03:11Z 2025-12-31T12:03:11Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179341 en Open Access application/pdf Mwungu, C.; Osiemo, J.; Koech, G.; Majambo, G.; Chege, C.; Binge, B.; Chilambe, P. (2025) Climate vulnerability assessment and development of adaptation strategies for agricultural value chains in Nampula and Zambézia, Mozambique. CGIAR Climate Action. 66 p. |
| spellingShingle | evaluation resilience adaptive capacity agricultural landscape vulnerability data analysis rural communities inclusion innovation systems climate change impacts Mwungu, Chris Osiemo, Jamleck Koech, Grace Majambo, Gamoyo Chege, Christine Binge, Brenda Chilambe, Pedro Climate vulnerability assessment and development of adaptation strategies for agricultural value chains in Nampula and Zambézia, Mozambique |
| title | Climate vulnerability assessment and development of adaptation strategies for agricultural value chains in Nampula and Zambézia, Mozambique |
| title_full | Climate vulnerability assessment and development of adaptation strategies for agricultural value chains in Nampula and Zambézia, Mozambique |
| title_fullStr | Climate vulnerability assessment and development of adaptation strategies for agricultural value chains in Nampula and Zambézia, Mozambique |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate vulnerability assessment and development of adaptation strategies for agricultural value chains in Nampula and Zambézia, Mozambique |
| title_short | Climate vulnerability assessment and development of adaptation strategies for agricultural value chains in Nampula and Zambézia, Mozambique |
| title_sort | climate vulnerability assessment and development of adaptation strategies for agricultural value chains in nampula and zambezia mozambique |
| topic | evaluation resilience adaptive capacity agricultural landscape vulnerability data analysis rural communities inclusion innovation systems climate change impacts |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179341 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT mwunguchris climatevulnerabilityassessmentanddevelopmentofadaptationstrategiesforagriculturalvaluechainsinnampulaandzambeziamozambique AT osiemojamleck climatevulnerabilityassessmentanddevelopmentofadaptationstrategiesforagriculturalvaluechainsinnampulaandzambeziamozambique AT koechgrace climatevulnerabilityassessmentanddevelopmentofadaptationstrategiesforagriculturalvaluechainsinnampulaandzambeziamozambique AT majambogamoyo climatevulnerabilityassessmentanddevelopmentofadaptationstrategiesforagriculturalvaluechainsinnampulaandzambeziamozambique AT chegechristine climatevulnerabilityassessmentanddevelopmentofadaptationstrategiesforagriculturalvaluechainsinnampulaandzambeziamozambique AT bingebrenda climatevulnerabilityassessmentanddevelopmentofadaptationstrategiesforagriculturalvaluechainsinnampulaandzambeziamozambique AT chilambepedro climatevulnerabilityassessmentanddevelopmentofadaptationstrategiesforagriculturalvaluechainsinnampulaandzambeziamozambique |