Evaluating humanitarian assistance for food security and resilience during the lean season in the Sahel pre-analysis plan

This pre-analysis plan details the evaluation of a lean-season humanitarian assistance program implemented from July-September 2025 in Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Niger, and Nigeria. The intervention addresses acute food insecurity during the lean season, a period when food stocks are depleted and foo...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Gninafon, Horace, Kyle, Jordan, Ribar, Matthew, Roessler, Philip
Format: Preprint
Language:Inglés
Published: Center for Open Science 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179074
_version_ 1855539857290428416
author Gninafon, Horace
Kyle, Jordan
Ribar, Matthew
Roessler, Philip
author_browse Gninafon, Horace
Kyle, Jordan
Ribar, Matthew
Roessler, Philip
author_facet Gninafon, Horace
Kyle, Jordan
Ribar, Matthew
Roessler, Philip
author_sort Gninafon, Horace
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This pre-analysis plan details the evaluation of a lean-season humanitarian assistance program implemented from July-September 2025 in Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Niger, and Nigeria. The intervention addresses acute food insecurity during the lean season, a period when food stocks are depleted and food prices peak. Interventions combine food or cash/vouchers assistance with nutrition support, WASH activities, and genderbased protection measures, adapted to the local contexts in each country. Despite the annual occurrence of lean season, important questions remain. What is the impact of the lean season on household welfare, including the dietary intake and food security of women and children under five? Can seasonal transfers mitigate the impacts of seasonal deprivation? This evaluation applies a mixed-methods multi-country design. In the main analysis, we will use a difference-in-differences strategy that exploits both temporal variation and treatment status across households, drawing on approximately 3,000 households surveyed at baseline and endline. Primary outcomes include household food security and food consumption, child dietary intake, and use of harmful coping strategies. Secondary outcomes include women’s empowerment, resilience to shocks, and community disputes / cohesion. The study also incorporates process evaluation of implementation fidelity and contextual adaptations. This study contributes to the literature on seasonality and food security in the Sahel and can inform policy on linking crisis response with resilience-building in fragile countries.
format Preprint
id CGSpace179074
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
publishDateSort 2025
publisher Center for Open Science
publisherStr Center for Open Science
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace1790742025-12-19T16:17:00Z Evaluating humanitarian assistance for food security and resilience during the lean season in the Sahel pre-analysis plan Gninafon, Horace Kyle, Jordan Ribar, Matthew Roessler, Philip food security resilience food aid This pre-analysis plan details the evaluation of a lean-season humanitarian assistance program implemented from July-September 2025 in Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Niger, and Nigeria. The intervention addresses acute food insecurity during the lean season, a period when food stocks are depleted and food prices peak. Interventions combine food or cash/vouchers assistance with nutrition support, WASH activities, and genderbased protection measures, adapted to the local contexts in each country. Despite the annual occurrence of lean season, important questions remain. What is the impact of the lean season on household welfare, including the dietary intake and food security of women and children under five? Can seasonal transfers mitigate the impacts of seasonal deprivation? This evaluation applies a mixed-methods multi-country design. In the main analysis, we will use a difference-in-differences strategy that exploits both temporal variation and treatment status across households, drawing on approximately 3,000 households surveyed at baseline and endline. Primary outcomes include household food security and food consumption, child dietary intake, and use of harmful coping strategies. Secondary outcomes include women’s empowerment, resilience to shocks, and community disputes / cohesion. The study also incorporates process evaluation of implementation fidelity and contextual adaptations. This study contributes to the literature on seasonality and food security in the Sahel and can inform policy on linking crisis response with resilience-building in fragile countries. 2025-12-18 2025-12-19T16:16:58Z 2025-12-19T16:16:58Z Preprint https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179074 en https://osf.io/pxzyw/overview Open Access Center for Open Science Gninafon, Horace; Kyle, Jordan; Ribar, Matthew; and Roessler, Philip. 2025. Evaluating humanitarian assistance for food security and resilience during the lean season in the Sahel pre-analysis plan. OSF Preprint. Center for Open Science. https://osf.io/pxzyw/files/qth69
spellingShingle food security
resilience
food aid
Gninafon, Horace
Kyle, Jordan
Ribar, Matthew
Roessler, Philip
Evaluating humanitarian assistance for food security and resilience during the lean season in the Sahel pre-analysis plan
title Evaluating humanitarian assistance for food security and resilience during the lean season in the Sahel pre-analysis plan
title_full Evaluating humanitarian assistance for food security and resilience during the lean season in the Sahel pre-analysis plan
title_fullStr Evaluating humanitarian assistance for food security and resilience during the lean season in the Sahel pre-analysis plan
title_full_unstemmed Evaluating humanitarian assistance for food security and resilience during the lean season in the Sahel pre-analysis plan
title_short Evaluating humanitarian assistance for food security and resilience during the lean season in the Sahel pre-analysis plan
title_sort evaluating humanitarian assistance for food security and resilience during the lean season in the sahel pre analysis plan
topic food security
resilience
food aid
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179074
work_keys_str_mv AT gninafonhorace evaluatinghumanitarianassistanceforfoodsecurityandresilienceduringtheleanseasoninthesahelpreanalysisplan
AT kylejordan evaluatinghumanitarianassistanceforfoodsecurityandresilienceduringtheleanseasoninthesahelpreanalysisplan
AT ribarmatthew evaluatinghumanitarianassistanceforfoodsecurityandresilienceduringtheleanseasoninthesahelpreanalysisplan
AT roesslerphilip evaluatinghumanitarianassistanceforfoodsecurityandresilienceduringtheleanseasoninthesahelpreanalysisplan