Acceleration of diverging runoff trends on the Third Pole

Quantifying long-term historical changes in river runoff from the vulnerable high-mountain Third Pole is critical for Asia’s water resources planning, but still unresolved from a coherent, regional perspective in the climate change context. Here we show that the mountain-outlet runoff generally expe...

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Autores principales: Wang, L., Li, X., Lutz, A., Nepal, Santosh, Chen, D., Yao, T., Su, F., Cuo, L., Yao, Z., Zhang, Y., Hu, Z., Huang, J., Hou, M., Liu, R., Long, J., Chai, C., Liu, Z., Bashir, A., Khanal, S., Sun, H., Nie, Y., Wang, T.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Springer 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/178312
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author Wang, L.
Li, X.
Lutz, A.
Nepal, Santosh
Chen, D.
Yao, T.
Su, F.
Cuo, L.
Yao, Z.
Zhang, Y.
Hu, Z.
Huang, J.
Hou, M.
Liu, R.
Long, J.
Chai, C.
Liu, Z.
Bashir, A.
Khanal, S.
Sun, H.
Nie, Y.
Zhang, Y.
Wang, T.
author_browse Bashir, A.
Chai, C.
Chen, D.
Cuo, L.
Hou, M.
Hu, Z.
Huang, J.
Khanal, S.
Li, X.
Liu, R.
Liu, Z.
Long, J.
Lutz, A.
Nepal, Santosh
Nie, Y.
Su, F.
Sun, H.
Wang, L.
Wang, T.
Yao, T.
Yao, Z.
Zhang, Y.
author_facet Wang, L.
Li, X.
Lutz, A.
Nepal, Santosh
Chen, D.
Yao, T.
Su, F.
Cuo, L.
Yao, Z.
Zhang, Y.
Hu, Z.
Huang, J.
Hou, M.
Liu, R.
Long, J.
Chai, C.
Liu, Z.
Bashir, A.
Khanal, S.
Sun, H.
Nie, Y.
Zhang, Y.
Wang, T.
author_sort Wang, L.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Quantifying long-term historical changes in river runoff from the vulnerable high-mountain Third Pole is critical for Asia’s water resources planning, but still unresolved from a coherent, regional perspective in the climate change context. Here we show that the mountain-outlet runoff generally experienced significant increases for the westerlies-dominated rivers (Indus, Amu Darya, Syr Darya, Tarim, Heihe, and, Shule) and insignificant declines for the monsoon-dominated rivers (Ganges, Brahmaputra, Mekong, and Salween) in the past half-century, largely driven by the enhanced westerlies and weakened Indian summer monsoon. Although the changing rates of runoff can be mostly explained by the varying precipitation minus evapotranspiration, the total water storage changes (e.g., regional glacier melting, groundwater depletion) cannot be neglected. After the year 1997, the contrasting changes in the westerlies- and monsoon-dominated regions have been remarkably accelerated, necessitating proactive adaptations to sustain regional water, ecology, and food security.
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spelling CGSpace1783122026-01-07T07:06:15Z Acceleration of diverging runoff trends on the Third Pole Wang, L. Li, X. Lutz, A. Nepal, Santosh Chen, D. Yao, T. Su, F. Cuo, L. Yao, Z. Zhang, Y. Hu, Z. Huang, J. Hou, M. Liu, R. Long, J. Chai, C. Liu, Z. Bashir, A. Khanal, S. Sun, H. Nie, Y. Zhang, Y. Wang, T. runoff river basins water resources climate change mountain ranges monsoons food security westerlies Quantifying long-term historical changes in river runoff from the vulnerable high-mountain Third Pole is critical for Asia’s water resources planning, but still unresolved from a coherent, regional perspective in the climate change context. Here we show that the mountain-outlet runoff generally experienced significant increases for the westerlies-dominated rivers (Indus, Amu Darya, Syr Darya, Tarim, Heihe, and, Shule) and insignificant declines for the monsoon-dominated rivers (Ganges, Brahmaputra, Mekong, and Salween) in the past half-century, largely driven by the enhanced westerlies and weakened Indian summer monsoon. Although the changing rates of runoff can be mostly explained by the varying precipitation minus evapotranspiration, the total water storage changes (e.g., regional glacier melting, groundwater depletion) cannot be neglected. After the year 1997, the contrasting changes in the westerlies- and monsoon-dominated regions have been remarkably accelerated, necessitating proactive adaptations to sustain regional water, ecology, and food security. 2025-11-17 2025-11-27T07:19:38Z 2025-11-27T07:19:38Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/178312 en https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02854-5 Open Access Springer Wang, L.; Li, X.; Lutz, A.; Nepal, S.; Chen, D.; Yao, T.; Su, F.; Cuo, L.; Yao, Z.; Zhang, Y.; Hu, Z.; Huang, J.; Hou, M.; Liu, R.; Long, J.; Chai, C.; Liu, Z.; Bashir, A.; Khanal, S.; Sun, H.; Nie, Y.; Zhang, Y.; Wang, T. 2025. Acceleration of diverging runoff trends on the Third Pole. Communications Earth & Environment, 6:907. doi:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02854-5
spellingShingle runoff
river basins
water resources
climate change
mountain ranges
monsoons
food security
westerlies
Wang, L.
Li, X.
Lutz, A.
Nepal, Santosh
Chen, D.
Yao, T.
Su, F.
Cuo, L.
Yao, Z.
Zhang, Y.
Hu, Z.
Huang, J.
Hou, M.
Liu, R.
Long, J.
Chai, C.
Liu, Z.
Bashir, A.
Khanal, S.
Sun, H.
Nie, Y.
Zhang, Y.
Wang, T.
Acceleration of diverging runoff trends on the Third Pole
title Acceleration of diverging runoff trends on the Third Pole
title_full Acceleration of diverging runoff trends on the Third Pole
title_fullStr Acceleration of diverging runoff trends on the Third Pole
title_full_unstemmed Acceleration of diverging runoff trends on the Third Pole
title_short Acceleration of diverging runoff trends on the Third Pole
title_sort acceleration of diverging runoff trends on the third pole
topic runoff
river basins
water resources
climate change
mountain ranges
monsoons
food security
westerlies
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/178312
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