Does better information drive better seed choices? Experimental evidence from Kenya

Despite advances in hybrid maize performance in Kenya, many farmers continue planting varieties released over two decades ago. Farmer experimentation with and use of relatively newer hybrids is crucial to improve regional food security, especially amid the increasing pressures of climate change. Thi...

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Main Authors: Ndegwa, Michael, Bulinda, Collins, Kariuki, Sarah Wairimu, Donovan, Jason, Rutsaert, Pieter, Jaleta, Moti
Format: Preprint
Language:Inglés
Published: Elsevier 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/178121
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author Ndegwa, Michael
Bulinda, Collins
Kariuki, Sarah Wairimu
Donovan, Jason
Rutsaert, Pieter
Jaleta, Moti
author_browse Bulinda, Collins
Donovan, Jason
Jaleta, Moti
Kariuki, Sarah Wairimu
Ndegwa, Michael
Rutsaert, Pieter
author_facet Ndegwa, Michael
Bulinda, Collins
Kariuki, Sarah Wairimu
Donovan, Jason
Rutsaert, Pieter
Jaleta, Moti
author_sort Ndegwa, Michael
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Despite advances in hybrid maize performance in Kenya, many farmers continue planting varieties released over two decades ago. Farmer experimentation with and use of relatively newer hybrids is crucial to improve regional food security, especially amid the increasing pressures of climate change. This study uses a randomized controlled trial to assess the degree to which contextually relevant and product-specific performance information influences farmer seed choice. Farmers in the treatment group received yield data for ten hybrids grown by farmers in the previous growing season in their county, while those in the control group received placebo information unrelated to seed selection. The intervention tripled farmers' intent to buy top-performing hybrids (from 7% to 27%) and more than doubled actual purchases (from 5% to 13%). Stockouts prevented some intended purchases, but treated farmers were still more likely to choose these hybrids. This study highlights a critical gap: farmers tend to lack independent and credible up-todate information on seed performance. Investing in rigorous testing of currently available hybrids and improving how results are shared with farmers can help address this issue. Providing credible performance data can support better decision-making, speed up varietal turnover, and strengthen seed systems in Kenya and beyond.
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spelling CGSpace1781212025-11-25T02:16:53Z Does better information drive better seed choices? Experimental evidence from Kenya Ndegwa, Michael Bulinda, Collins Kariuki, Sarah Wairimu Donovan, Jason Rutsaert, Pieter Jaleta, Moti maize varieties households decision making seed systems Despite advances in hybrid maize performance in Kenya, many farmers continue planting varieties released over two decades ago. Farmer experimentation with and use of relatively newer hybrids is crucial to improve regional food security, especially amid the increasing pressures of climate change. This study uses a randomized controlled trial to assess the degree to which contextually relevant and product-specific performance information influences farmer seed choice. Farmers in the treatment group received yield data for ten hybrids grown by farmers in the previous growing season in their county, while those in the control group received placebo information unrelated to seed selection. The intervention tripled farmers' intent to buy top-performing hybrids (from 7% to 27%) and more than doubled actual purchases (from 5% to 13%). Stockouts prevented some intended purchases, but treated farmers were still more likely to choose these hybrids. This study highlights a critical gap: farmers tend to lack independent and credible up-todate information on seed performance. Investing in rigorous testing of currently available hybrids and improving how results are shared with farmers can help address this issue. Providing credible performance data can support better decision-making, speed up varietal turnover, and strengthen seed systems in Kenya and beyond. 2025-09 2025-11-24T15:28:12Z 2025-11-24T15:28:12Z Preprint https://hdl.handle.net/10568/178121 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier Ndegwa, M. K., Bulinda, C., Kariuki, S., Donovan, J., Rutsaert, P., & Jaleta, M. (2025). Does better information drive better seed choices? Experimental evidence from Kenya. Social Science Research Network (SSRN). https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5416594
spellingShingle maize
varieties
households
decision making
seed systems
Ndegwa, Michael
Bulinda, Collins
Kariuki, Sarah Wairimu
Donovan, Jason
Rutsaert, Pieter
Jaleta, Moti
Does better information drive better seed choices? Experimental evidence from Kenya
title Does better information drive better seed choices? Experimental evidence from Kenya
title_full Does better information drive better seed choices? Experimental evidence from Kenya
title_fullStr Does better information drive better seed choices? Experimental evidence from Kenya
title_full_unstemmed Does better information drive better seed choices? Experimental evidence from Kenya
title_short Does better information drive better seed choices? Experimental evidence from Kenya
title_sort does better information drive better seed choices experimental evidence from kenya
topic maize
varieties
households
decision making
seed systems
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/178121
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