Habitat suitability modeling of a nearly extinct rosewood species (Dalbergia odorifera) under current, and future climate conditions

The influence of global climate change on endangered species is of growing concern, especially for rosewood species that are in urgent need of protection and restoration. Ecological niche models are commonly used to evaluate probable species’ distribution under climate change and contribute to decis...

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Autores principales: Jiuxin, Lai, Minliang, Fang, Yu, Liu, Huang, Ping, Gaisberger, Hannes, Li, Changhong, Zheng, Yongqi, Li, Furong
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Springer 2025
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Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/177642
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author Jiuxin, Lai
Minliang, Fang
Yu, Liu
Huang, Ping
Gaisberger, Hannes
Li, Changhong
Zheng, Yongqi
Li, Furong
author_browse Gaisberger, Hannes
Huang, Ping
Jiuxin, Lai
Li, Changhong
Li, Furong
Minliang, Fang
Yu, Liu
Zheng, Yongqi
author_facet Jiuxin, Lai
Minliang, Fang
Yu, Liu
Huang, Ping
Gaisberger, Hannes
Li, Changhong
Zheng, Yongqi
Li, Furong
author_sort Jiuxin, Lai
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The influence of global climate change on endangered species is of growing concern, especially for rosewood species that are in urgent need of protection and restoration. Ecological niche models are commonly used to evaluate probable species’ distribution under climate change and contribute to decision-making to define efficient management strategies. A model was developed to forecast which habitat was most likely appropriate for the Dalbergia odorifera. We screened the main climatic variables that describe the current geographic distribution of the species based on maximum entropy modelling (Maxent). We subsequently assessed its potential future distribution under moderate (RCP2.6) and severe (RCP8.5) climate change scenarios for the years 2050 and 2070. The precipitation ranges of the wettest month and the warmest quarter are the primary limiting factors for the current distribution of D. odorifera among the climatic predictors. Climate change will be expected to have beneficial effects on the distribution range of D. odorifera. In conclusion, the main limits for the distribution of D. odorifera are determined by the level of precipitation and human activities. The results of this study indicate that the coasts of southern China and Chongqing will play a key role in the protection and restoration of D. odorifera in the future.
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spelling CGSpace1776422025-12-08T10:29:22Z Habitat suitability modeling of a nearly extinct rosewood species (Dalbergia odorifera) under current, and future climate conditions Jiuxin, Lai Minliang, Fang Yu, Liu Huang, Ping Gaisberger, Hannes Li, Changhong Zheng, Yongqi Li, Furong forest genetic resources climate change habitat suitability wood-timber The influence of global climate change on endangered species is of growing concern, especially for rosewood species that are in urgent need of protection and restoration. Ecological niche models are commonly used to evaluate probable species’ distribution under climate change and contribute to decision-making to define efficient management strategies. A model was developed to forecast which habitat was most likely appropriate for the Dalbergia odorifera. We screened the main climatic variables that describe the current geographic distribution of the species based on maximum entropy modelling (Maxent). We subsequently assessed its potential future distribution under moderate (RCP2.6) and severe (RCP8.5) climate change scenarios for the years 2050 and 2070. The precipitation ranges of the wettest month and the warmest quarter are the primary limiting factors for the current distribution of D. odorifera among the climatic predictors. Climate change will be expected to have beneficial effects on the distribution range of D. odorifera. In conclusion, the main limits for the distribution of D. odorifera are determined by the level of precipitation and human activities. The results of this study indicate that the coasts of southern China and Chongqing will play a key role in the protection and restoration of D. odorifera in the future. 2025-05-02 2025-11-06T11:59:31Z 2025-11-06T11:59:31Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/177642 en Open Access application/pdf Springer Jiuxin, L.; Minliang, F.; Yu, L.; Huang, P.; Gaisberger, H.; Li, C.; Zheng, Y.; Lin, F. (2025) Habitat suitability modeling of a nearly extinct rosewood species (Dalbergia odorifera) under current, and future climate conditions. Journal of Forestry Research 36(1): 58 ISSN: 1007-662X
spellingShingle forest genetic resources
climate change
habitat suitability
wood-timber
Jiuxin, Lai
Minliang, Fang
Yu, Liu
Huang, Ping
Gaisberger, Hannes
Li, Changhong
Zheng, Yongqi
Li, Furong
Habitat suitability modeling of a nearly extinct rosewood species (Dalbergia odorifera) under current, and future climate conditions
title Habitat suitability modeling of a nearly extinct rosewood species (Dalbergia odorifera) under current, and future climate conditions
title_full Habitat suitability modeling of a nearly extinct rosewood species (Dalbergia odorifera) under current, and future climate conditions
title_fullStr Habitat suitability modeling of a nearly extinct rosewood species (Dalbergia odorifera) under current, and future climate conditions
title_full_unstemmed Habitat suitability modeling of a nearly extinct rosewood species (Dalbergia odorifera) under current, and future climate conditions
title_short Habitat suitability modeling of a nearly extinct rosewood species (Dalbergia odorifera) under current, and future climate conditions
title_sort habitat suitability modeling of a nearly extinct rosewood species dalbergia odorifera under current and future climate conditions
topic forest genetic resources
climate change
habitat suitability
wood-timber
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/177642
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