Climate change, transformative adaptation options, multiscale polycentric governance, and rural welfare in the Oum Er Rbia Basin, Morocco: empirical evaluation with policy implications

This study examines how multiscale polycentric governance (MPG) can enhance the rural welfare impacts of three transformative adaptation options (TAOs) in Morocco, using an impact pathways approach. The framework linked 22 MPG elements and 30 impact transmission domains to three TAOs—conversion to h...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Saleth, Rathinasamy Maria, Amarasinghe, Upali A., Amarnath, Giriraj, Ait El Mekki, Abdelkader, Seelanatha, Kaushika, Brouziyne, Youssef
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Water Management Institute 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/177622
_version_ 1855540032715096064
author Saleth, Rathinasamy Maria
Amarasinghe, Upali A.
Amarnath, Giriraj
Ait El Mekki, Abdelkader
Seelanatha, Kaushika
Brouziyne, Youssef
author_browse Ait El Mekki, Abdelkader
Amarasinghe, Upali A.
Amarnath, Giriraj
Brouziyne, Youssef
Saleth, Rathinasamy Maria
Seelanatha, Kaushika
author_facet Saleth, Rathinasamy Maria
Amarasinghe, Upali A.
Amarnath, Giriraj
Ait El Mekki, Abdelkader
Seelanatha, Kaushika
Brouziyne, Youssef
author_sort Saleth, Rathinasamy Maria
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This study examines how multiscale polycentric governance (MPG) can enhance the rural welfare impacts of three transformative adaptation options (TAOs) in Morocco, using an impact pathways approach. The framework linked 22 MPG elements and 30 impact transmission domains to three TAOs—conversion to high-value tree crops, contract farming/public–private partnerships, and drip irrigation modernization— and rural welfare through a system of 30 recursive equations. The model was estimated using stakeholder perception data (on a scale of 1–10) from 178 respondents in the Oum Er Rbia River basin via simultaneous regression techniques. Results show that shifting to high-value tree crops is the preferred option with the greatest overall impact, followed by contract farming/PPPs and drip irrigation. However, integrating all three can yield synergistic benefits. MPG factors—particularly structural institutions and private actors—strongly influence TAO performance, especially through productivity, production, and sectoral performance domains. Policies addressing key MPG variables that affect impact transition domains can generate spillover effects on rural welfare goals such as farm and labor income, food prices, and water security. Among transmission domains, productivity and production most directly enhance food and income security. Since cultivated area and cropping pattern significantly affect these domains, targeted interventions there can substantially improve livelihood resilience and climate adaptation outcomes.
format Informe técnico
id CGSpace177622
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
publishDateSort 2025
publisher International Water Management Institute
publisherStr International Water Management Institute
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace1776222025-11-07T08:46:34Z Climate change, transformative adaptation options, multiscale polycentric governance, and rural welfare in the Oum Er Rbia Basin, Morocco: empirical evaluation with policy implications Saleth, Rathinasamy Maria Amarasinghe, Upali A. Amarnath, Giriraj Ait El Mekki, Abdelkader Seelanatha, Kaushika Brouziyne, Youssef climate change adaptation decentralization governance rural welfare river basins policies high-value agricultural products tree crops contract farming public-private partnerships trickle irrigation agricultural productivity water security food security livelihoods income stakeholders This study examines how multiscale polycentric governance (MPG) can enhance the rural welfare impacts of three transformative adaptation options (TAOs) in Morocco, using an impact pathways approach. The framework linked 22 MPG elements and 30 impact transmission domains to three TAOs—conversion to high-value tree crops, contract farming/public–private partnerships, and drip irrigation modernization— and rural welfare through a system of 30 recursive equations. The model was estimated using stakeholder perception data (on a scale of 1–10) from 178 respondents in the Oum Er Rbia River basin via simultaneous regression techniques. Results show that shifting to high-value tree crops is the preferred option with the greatest overall impact, followed by contract farming/PPPs and drip irrigation. However, integrating all three can yield synergistic benefits. MPG factors—particularly structural institutions and private actors—strongly influence TAO performance, especially through productivity, production, and sectoral performance domains. Policies addressing key MPG variables that affect impact transition domains can generate spillover effects on rural welfare goals such as farm and labor income, food prices, and water security. Among transmission domains, productivity and production most directly enhance food and income security. Since cultivated area and cropping pattern significantly affect these domains, targeted interventions there can substantially improve livelihood resilience and climate adaptation outcomes. 2025-11-06 2025-11-06T05:02:49Z 2025-11-06T05:02:49Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/177622 en Open Access application/pdf International Water Management Institute Saleth, R. M.; Amarasinghe, U. A.; Amarnath, G.; Ait El Mekki, A.; Seelanatha, K.; Brouziyne, Y. 2025. Climate change, transformative adaptation options, multiscale polycentric governance, and rural welfare in the Oum Er Rbia Basin, Morocco: empirical evaluation with policy implications. Colombo, Sri Lanka: International Water Management Institute (IWMI). 53p. (IWMI Research Report 194). doi: https://doi.org/10.5337/2025.240
spellingShingle climate change adaptation
decentralization
governance
rural welfare
river basins
policies
high-value agricultural products
tree crops
contract farming
public-private partnerships
trickle irrigation
agricultural productivity
water security
food security
livelihoods
income
stakeholders
Saleth, Rathinasamy Maria
Amarasinghe, Upali A.
Amarnath, Giriraj
Ait El Mekki, Abdelkader
Seelanatha, Kaushika
Brouziyne, Youssef
Climate change, transformative adaptation options, multiscale polycentric governance, and rural welfare in the Oum Er Rbia Basin, Morocco: empirical evaluation with policy implications
title Climate change, transformative adaptation options, multiscale polycentric governance, and rural welfare in the Oum Er Rbia Basin, Morocco: empirical evaluation with policy implications
title_full Climate change, transformative adaptation options, multiscale polycentric governance, and rural welfare in the Oum Er Rbia Basin, Morocco: empirical evaluation with policy implications
title_fullStr Climate change, transformative adaptation options, multiscale polycentric governance, and rural welfare in the Oum Er Rbia Basin, Morocco: empirical evaluation with policy implications
title_full_unstemmed Climate change, transformative adaptation options, multiscale polycentric governance, and rural welfare in the Oum Er Rbia Basin, Morocco: empirical evaluation with policy implications
title_short Climate change, transformative adaptation options, multiscale polycentric governance, and rural welfare in the Oum Er Rbia Basin, Morocco: empirical evaluation with policy implications
title_sort climate change transformative adaptation options multiscale polycentric governance and rural welfare in the oum er rbia basin morocco empirical evaluation with policy implications
topic climate change adaptation
decentralization
governance
rural welfare
river basins
policies
high-value agricultural products
tree crops
contract farming
public-private partnerships
trickle irrigation
agricultural productivity
water security
food security
livelihoods
income
stakeholders
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/177622
work_keys_str_mv AT salethrathinasamymaria climatechangetransformativeadaptationoptionsmultiscalepolycentricgovernanceandruralwelfareintheoumerrbiabasinmoroccoempiricalevaluationwithpolicyimplications
AT amarasingheupalia climatechangetransformativeadaptationoptionsmultiscalepolycentricgovernanceandruralwelfareintheoumerrbiabasinmoroccoempiricalevaluationwithpolicyimplications
AT amarnathgiriraj climatechangetransformativeadaptationoptionsmultiscalepolycentricgovernanceandruralwelfareintheoumerrbiabasinmoroccoempiricalevaluationwithpolicyimplications
AT aitelmekkiabdelkader climatechangetransformativeadaptationoptionsmultiscalepolycentricgovernanceandruralwelfareintheoumerrbiabasinmoroccoempiricalevaluationwithpolicyimplications
AT seelanathakaushika climatechangetransformativeadaptationoptionsmultiscalepolycentricgovernanceandruralwelfareintheoumerrbiabasinmoroccoempiricalevaluationwithpolicyimplications
AT brouziyneyoussef climatechangetransformativeadaptationoptionsmultiscalepolycentricgovernanceandruralwelfareintheoumerrbiabasinmoroccoempiricalevaluationwithpolicyimplications