| Sumario: | About seventy five( 75) participants drawn various government agencies and organizations
attended a two-day regional AA technical workshop. The workshop explored how anticipatory
action (AA) concepts differs from conventional disaster preparedness and response approaches.
It provided practical exercises to develop early action triggers based on weather forecasts. This
was an initial effort to integrate AA into the Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum
(GHACOF), which focuses on seasonal forecasts. Participants from diverse sectors such as
health, water resources, and food security collaborated to create early interventions and action
triggers based on real data.
Technical discussions covered essential topics like probability forecasting and trigger design,
emphasizing readiness for various potential events instead of relying on the most likely scenario.
Training in ensemble forecasting and historical data analysis guided their decision-making and
helped balance the need for timely responses with the risk of premature or delayed actions.
The workshop also focused on improving institutional readiness and governance. Participants
noted that while some countries have begun to incorporate AA into their national strategies,
broader adoption requires sustained funding and strong coordination. They stressed that AA
should fit into existing systems and clearly define roles and funding sources. The importance of
adapting AA to local contexts was highlighted, combining scientific predictions with local
knowledge to foster community trust and create affordable, practical actions. The workshop
underscored the clear distinction between General advisories as issued in GHACOF and those
that are AA inclined, with AA facilitating decisive actions and prepared resources.
Ongoing support for sector-specific groups will be essential to refine action thresholds, coordinate
efforts, and secure financial backing. Suggested next steps included aligning national systems
with scientific insights and community experiences, enhancing communication of forecasts, and
establishing a regional learning platform. The workshop set the groundwork for implementing AA
regionally, clarifying key concepts and integrating proactive measures into policy-making as well
as enhanced understanding and Capacity on AA. Success will rely on continuous momentum,
strong leadership, and collaboration across sectors. Three outcomes can be highlighted.
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