Unraveling the phenomenon of supply‐demand feedback in agricultural water interventions

The Agricultural water interventions can trigger human-water feedback, including unintended supply demand feedback—where increased water availability drives greater water use. In the Kamadhiya catchment, India, the introduction of check dams (CDs) led to a shift toward more water-intensive crops lik...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Alam, Faiz, McClain, M. E., Sikka, Alok, Sena, Dipaka, Pande, S.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Wiley 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176905
_version_ 1855526248512487424
author Alam, Faiz
McClain, M. E.
Sikka, Alok
Sena, Dipaka
Pande, S.
author_browse Alam, Faiz
McClain, M. E.
Pande, S.
Sena, Dipaka
Sikka, Alok
author_facet Alam, Faiz
McClain, M. E.
Sikka, Alok
Sena, Dipaka
Pande, S.
author_sort Alam, Faiz
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The Agricultural water interventions can trigger human-water feedback, including unintended supply demand feedback—where increased water availability drives greater water use. In the Kamadhiya catchment, India, the introduction of check dams (CDs) led to a shift toward more water-intensive crops like cotton and wheat. This study formulates and tests hypotheses to understand these dynamics using an agent-based model (ABM) that integrates a spatially explicit hydrological model with a farmer behavior module. The ABM simulates 38,447 farmers using the RANAS behavioral framework, based on household surveys and observed data. Model results confirm the hypothesized feedback: increased water from CDs led to an 11.9% rise in cotton and 36.1% in wheat areas, boosting incomes and increasing adoption of drip and borewell irrigation, particularly near CDs. While drip irrigation systems improve water efficiency and post-monsoon groundwater levels, the saved water enables further wheat expansion—triggering a second supply demand feedback loop. These changes are spatially concentrated near CDs, exacerbating within-catchment disparities. Overall, about 54% of the additional recharge is used for irrigation expansion, lowering groundwater levels by 1.0 m and reducing the net benefit of recharge interventions. These findings underscore the need to critically understand human-water feedback and value of ABM as a tool to support more informed planning by offering strategies that mitigate negative externalities.
format Journal Article
id CGSpace176905
institution CGIAR Consortium
language Inglés
publishDate 2025
publishDateRange 2025
publishDateSort 2025
publisher Wiley
publisherStr Wiley
record_format dspace
spelling CGSpace1769052025-12-02T10:59:51Z Unraveling the phenomenon of supply‐demand feedback in agricultural water interventions Alam, Faiz McClain, M. E. Sikka, Alok Sena, Dipaka Pande, S. agricultural water management water availability groundwater recharge check dams irrigation farmers simulation models The Agricultural water interventions can trigger human-water feedback, including unintended supply demand feedback—where increased water availability drives greater water use. In the Kamadhiya catchment, India, the introduction of check dams (CDs) led to a shift toward more water-intensive crops like cotton and wheat. This study formulates and tests hypotheses to understand these dynamics using an agent-based model (ABM) that integrates a spatially explicit hydrological model with a farmer behavior module. The ABM simulates 38,447 farmers using the RANAS behavioral framework, based on household surveys and observed data. Model results confirm the hypothesized feedback: increased water from CDs led to an 11.9% rise in cotton and 36.1% in wheat areas, boosting incomes and increasing adoption of drip and borewell irrigation, particularly near CDs. While drip irrigation systems improve water efficiency and post-monsoon groundwater levels, the saved water enables further wheat expansion—triggering a second supply demand feedback loop. These changes are spatially concentrated near CDs, exacerbating within-catchment disparities. Overall, about 54% of the additional recharge is used for irrigation expansion, lowering groundwater levels by 1.0 m and reducing the net benefit of recharge interventions. These findings underscore the need to critically understand human-water feedback and value of ABM as a tool to support more informed planning by offering strategies that mitigate negative externalities. 2025-10 2025-10-09T06:58:26Z 2025-10-09T06:58:26Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176905 en Open Access Wiley Alam, M. F.; McClain, M. E.; Sikka, A.; Sena, D. R.; Pande, S. 2025. Unraveling the phenomenon of supply‐demand feedback in agricultural water interventions. Earth's Future, 13(10):e2025EF005990. doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EF005990
spellingShingle agricultural water management
water availability
groundwater recharge
check dams
irrigation
farmers
simulation models
Alam, Faiz
McClain, M. E.
Sikka, Alok
Sena, Dipaka
Pande, S.
Unraveling the phenomenon of supply‐demand feedback in agricultural water interventions
title Unraveling the phenomenon of supply‐demand feedback in agricultural water interventions
title_full Unraveling the phenomenon of supply‐demand feedback in agricultural water interventions
title_fullStr Unraveling the phenomenon of supply‐demand feedback in agricultural water interventions
title_full_unstemmed Unraveling the phenomenon of supply‐demand feedback in agricultural water interventions
title_short Unraveling the phenomenon of supply‐demand feedback in agricultural water interventions
title_sort unraveling the phenomenon of supply demand feedback in agricultural water interventions
topic agricultural water management
water availability
groundwater recharge
check dams
irrigation
farmers
simulation models
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176905
work_keys_str_mv AT alamfaiz unravelingthephenomenonofsupplydemandfeedbackinagriculturalwaterinterventions
AT mcclainme unravelingthephenomenonofsupplydemandfeedbackinagriculturalwaterinterventions
AT sikkaalok unravelingthephenomenonofsupplydemandfeedbackinagriculturalwaterinterventions
AT senadipaka unravelingthephenomenonofsupplydemandfeedbackinagriculturalwaterinterventions
AT pandes unravelingthephenomenonofsupplydemandfeedbackinagriculturalwaterinterventions