Water resources management and planning under climate uncertainty: assessment of the droughts in Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan, a predominantly arid country in Central Asia, is highly vulnerable to recurrent droughts that threaten agriculture, water security, ecosystems, and socio-economic stability. Irrigation from the Amu Darya and Syr Darya sustains over 85% of cultivated land, making the economy one of the mo...
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| Format: | Conference Paper |
| Language: | Inglés |
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2025
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| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176701 |
| _version_ | 1855540757527527424 |
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| author | Abdullaev, Iskandar Gafurov, Zafar Kenjabaev, Shavkat |
| author_browse | Abdullaev, Iskandar Gafurov, Zafar Kenjabaev, Shavkat |
| author_facet | Abdullaev, Iskandar Gafurov, Zafar Kenjabaev, Shavkat |
| author_sort | Abdullaev, Iskandar |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Uzbekistan, a predominantly arid country in Central Asia, is highly vulnerable to recurrent droughts that threaten agriculture, water security, ecosystems, and socio-economic stability. Irrigation from the Amu Darya and Syr Darya sustains over 85% of cultivated land, making the economy one of the most irrigation-dependent globally. Past droughts, notably the 1999–2001 event, exposed systemic weaknesses in centralized water allocation, outdated infrastructure, and limited institutional capacity. Economic losses from droughts already reach hundreds of millions annually and are projected to escalate to USD 5 billion per year, about 3% of GDP, by 2050 without adaptation. Climate change will intensify risks, with temperatures expected to rise 4–6°C by 2100 and crop yields declining up to 60% for wheat per 1°C increase.
This paper presented the drought profile, developed under the World Bank’s Disaster Risk and Resilience Assessment (DRRA) framework, reviewing vulnerabilities, sectoral impacts, legal and policy frameworks, and stakeholder roles. Uzbekistan has made progress through updated water legislation, national adaptation and green economy strategies, and the draft National Drought Management Plan, yet significant gaps remain in local vulnerability assessment, early warning systems, proactive mitigation, and stakeholder engagement. Strengthening integrated water governance, climate-smart agriculture, and community-based resilience are critical to reducing drought risks and ensuring sustainable development. |
| format | Conference Paper |
| id | CGSpace176701 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1767012025-09-29T10:40:09Z Water resources management and planning under climate uncertainty: assessment of the droughts in Uzbekistan Abdullaev, Iskandar Gafurov, Zafar Kenjabaev, Shavkat water resources water management planning climate change drought Uzbekistan, a predominantly arid country in Central Asia, is highly vulnerable to recurrent droughts that threaten agriculture, water security, ecosystems, and socio-economic stability. Irrigation from the Amu Darya and Syr Darya sustains over 85% of cultivated land, making the economy one of the most irrigation-dependent globally. Past droughts, notably the 1999–2001 event, exposed systemic weaknesses in centralized water allocation, outdated infrastructure, and limited institutional capacity. Economic losses from droughts already reach hundreds of millions annually and are projected to escalate to USD 5 billion per year, about 3% of GDP, by 2050 without adaptation. Climate change will intensify risks, with temperatures expected to rise 4–6°C by 2100 and crop yields declining up to 60% for wheat per 1°C increase. This paper presented the drought profile, developed under the World Bank’s Disaster Risk and Resilience Assessment (DRRA) framework, reviewing vulnerabilities, sectoral impacts, legal and policy frameworks, and stakeholder roles. Uzbekistan has made progress through updated water legislation, national adaptation and green economy strategies, and the draft National Drought Management Plan, yet significant gaps remain in local vulnerability assessment, early warning systems, proactive mitigation, and stakeholder engagement. Strengthening integrated water governance, climate-smart agriculture, and community-based resilience are critical to reducing drought risks and ensuring sustainable development. 2025-09 2025-09-29T10:38:33Z 2025-09-29T10:38:33Z Conference Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176701 en Open Access Abdullaev, I.; Gafurov, Z.; Kenjabaev, S. 2025. Water resources management and planning under climate uncertainty: assessment of the droughts in Uzbekistan. In Hydrometeorological Research Institute. International Conference on Innovative Methods for Monitoring Mountain Glaciers Under Climate Change and Current Challenges in Glaciology, Tashkent, Uzbekistan, 16-17 September 2025. Tashkent, Uzbekistan: Hydrometeorological Research Institute. pp. 250-262. |
| spellingShingle | water resources water management planning climate change drought Abdullaev, Iskandar Gafurov, Zafar Kenjabaev, Shavkat Water resources management and planning under climate uncertainty: assessment of the droughts in Uzbekistan |
| title | Water resources management and planning under climate uncertainty: assessment of the droughts in Uzbekistan |
| title_full | Water resources management and planning under climate uncertainty: assessment of the droughts in Uzbekistan |
| title_fullStr | Water resources management and planning under climate uncertainty: assessment of the droughts in Uzbekistan |
| title_full_unstemmed | Water resources management and planning under climate uncertainty: assessment of the droughts in Uzbekistan |
| title_short | Water resources management and planning under climate uncertainty: assessment of the droughts in Uzbekistan |
| title_sort | water resources management and planning under climate uncertainty assessment of the droughts in uzbekistan |
| topic | water resources water management planning climate change drought |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176701 |
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