Nexus-based water management - trade-off analysis in the Chirchik River Basin, Uzbekistan

The Chirchik River Basin (ChRB) in northeastern Uzbekistan is a critical water source for urban supply, irrigated agriculture, and hydropower, yet increasing sectoral demands and variable flows intensify competition across the water–energy–food–ecosystem (WEFE) sectors. This study, conducted under t...

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Main Authors: Gafurov, Zafar, Akcakoca, Fatma, Holmatov, Bunyod, Kenjabaev, Shavkat, Umirzakov, G.
Format: Conference Paper
Language:Inglés
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176700
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author Gafurov, Zafar
Akcakoca, Fatma
Holmatov, Bunyod
Kenjabaev, Shavkat
Umirzakov, G.
author_browse Akcakoca, Fatma
Gafurov, Zafar
Holmatov, Bunyod
Kenjabaev, Shavkat
Umirzakov, G.
author_facet Gafurov, Zafar
Akcakoca, Fatma
Holmatov, Bunyod
Kenjabaev, Shavkat
Umirzakov, G.
author_sort Gafurov, Zafar
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The Chirchik River Basin (ChRB) in northeastern Uzbekistan is a critical water source for urban supply, irrigated agriculture, and hydropower, yet increasing sectoral demands and variable flows intensify competition across the water–energy–food–ecosystem (WEFE) sectors. This study, conducted under the CGIAR NEXUS Policy Innovation initiative, applies a water-centric framework, combining literature review, stakeholder engagement, hydrologic modeling (SWAT), and basin hydroscheme analysis to assess trade-offs between competing uses under two different scenarios. The two scenarios are the hydropower-focused scenario and an agriculture-focused scenario. Findings reveal that irrigation remains the dominant consumer of water resources, while hydropower development and seasonal reservoir operations create constraints for agricultural reliability and ecosystem flows. Two scenario pathways illustrate contrasting pressures: a hydropower-focused trajectory enhances energy capacity but risks limiting water availability for downstream uses, while the agriculture-focused trajectory improves food production but heightens energy demand and environmental stress. Results underscore the necessity of coordinated reservoir management, explicit environmental flow allocation, and cross-sectoral planning to ensure equitable and sustainable outcomes, consistent with recent nexus assessments in Central Asia.
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spelling CGSpace1767002025-09-29T07:27:40Z Nexus-based water management - trade-off analysis in the Chirchik River Basin, Uzbekistan Gafurov, Zafar Akcakoca, Fatma Holmatov, Bunyod Kenjabaev, Shavkat Umirzakov, G. water management nexus approaches river basins energy demand water power irrigation efficiency The Chirchik River Basin (ChRB) in northeastern Uzbekistan is a critical water source for urban supply, irrigated agriculture, and hydropower, yet increasing sectoral demands and variable flows intensify competition across the water–energy–food–ecosystem (WEFE) sectors. This study, conducted under the CGIAR NEXUS Policy Innovation initiative, applies a water-centric framework, combining literature review, stakeholder engagement, hydrologic modeling (SWAT), and basin hydroscheme analysis to assess trade-offs between competing uses under two different scenarios. The two scenarios are the hydropower-focused scenario and an agriculture-focused scenario. Findings reveal that irrigation remains the dominant consumer of water resources, while hydropower development and seasonal reservoir operations create constraints for agricultural reliability and ecosystem flows. Two scenario pathways illustrate contrasting pressures: a hydropower-focused trajectory enhances energy capacity but risks limiting water availability for downstream uses, while the agriculture-focused trajectory improves food production but heightens energy demand and environmental stress. Results underscore the necessity of coordinated reservoir management, explicit environmental flow allocation, and cross-sectoral planning to ensure equitable and sustainable outcomes, consistent with recent nexus assessments in Central Asia. 2025-09 2025-09-29T06:46:04Z 2025-09-29T06:46:04Z Conference Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176700 en Open Access Gafurov, Z.; Akcakoca, F.; Holmatov, B.; Kenjabaev, S.; Umirzakov, G. 2025. Nexus-based water management - trade-off analysis in the Chirchik River Basin, Uzbekistan. In Hydrometeorological Research Institute. International Conference on Innovative Methods for Monitoring Mountain Glaciers Under Climate Change and Current Challenges in Glaciology, Tashkent, Uzbekistan, 16-17 September 2025. Tashkent, Uzbekistan: Hydrometeorological Research Institute. pp.181-187.
spellingShingle water management
nexus approaches
river basins
energy demand
water power
irrigation efficiency
Gafurov, Zafar
Akcakoca, Fatma
Holmatov, Bunyod
Kenjabaev, Shavkat
Umirzakov, G.
Nexus-based water management - trade-off analysis in the Chirchik River Basin, Uzbekistan
title Nexus-based water management - trade-off analysis in the Chirchik River Basin, Uzbekistan
title_full Nexus-based water management - trade-off analysis in the Chirchik River Basin, Uzbekistan
title_fullStr Nexus-based water management - trade-off analysis in the Chirchik River Basin, Uzbekistan
title_full_unstemmed Nexus-based water management - trade-off analysis in the Chirchik River Basin, Uzbekistan
title_short Nexus-based water management - trade-off analysis in the Chirchik River Basin, Uzbekistan
title_sort nexus based water management trade off analysis in the chirchik river basin uzbekistan
topic water management
nexus approaches
river basins
energy demand
water power
irrigation efficiency
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176700
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