Sweating bullets: Heat, high-stakes evaluations, and the role of incentives

We study the effect of temperature on students' performance and how changes in the incentives to study alter this impact in the context of high-school exit exams in Colombia. We show that temperature increases have a negative impact on exam scores, particularly among urban students. Conversely, rura...

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Autores principales: Martínez, Jose María, Zuluaga, Victor, Buritica, Alexander
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Springer 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176439
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author Martínez, Jose María
Zuluaga, Victor
Buritica, Alexander
author_browse Buritica, Alexander
Martínez, Jose María
Zuluaga, Victor
author_facet Martínez, Jose María
Zuluaga, Victor
Buritica, Alexander
author_sort Martínez, Jose María
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description We study the effect of temperature on students' performance and how changes in the incentives to study alter this impact in the context of high-school exit exams in Colombia. We show that temperature increases have a negative impact on exam scores, particularly among urban students. Conversely, rural students exhibit slightly positive effects. Leveraging time-use data, we find evidence of individuals in rural areas responding to increases in temperature by reallocating time towards off-farm activities, which are human capital intensive. Additionally, the announcement of a national scholarship program, which introduced exogenous variation in exam stakes, reveals that heightened student effort exacerbates the temperature's impact on scores. In particular, an interquartile change in the exposure to this program increases the impact of temperature on exam scores by 11.9%. This underscores the intricate relationship between incentive-based policies and the challenge of rising temperatures. As global temperatures continue to rise, understanding this dynamic is crucial for informing effective educational policy.
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spelling CGSpace1764392025-11-11T17:46:09Z Sweating bullets: Heat, high-stakes evaluations, and the role of incentives Martínez, Jose María Zuluaga, Victor Buritica, Alexander evaluation climate change adaptation temperature human capital We study the effect of temperature on students' performance and how changes in the incentives to study alter this impact in the context of high-school exit exams in Colombia. We show that temperature increases have a negative impact on exam scores, particularly among urban students. Conversely, rural students exhibit slightly positive effects. Leveraging time-use data, we find evidence of individuals in rural areas responding to increases in temperature by reallocating time towards off-farm activities, which are human capital intensive. Additionally, the announcement of a national scholarship program, which introduced exogenous variation in exam stakes, reveals that heightened student effort exacerbates the temperature's impact on scores. In particular, an interquartile change in the exposure to this program increases the impact of temperature on exam scores by 11.9%. This underscores the intricate relationship between incentive-based policies and the challenge of rising temperatures. As global temperatures continue to rise, understanding this dynamic is crucial for informing effective educational policy. 2025-09 2025-09-10T14:22:42Z 2025-09-10T14:22:42Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176439 en Open Access application/pdf Springer Martínez, J.M.; Zuluaga, V.; Buritica, A. (2025) Sweating bullets: Heat, high-stakes evaluations, and the role of incentives. Environmental and Resource Economics 88: p. 2429–2467. ISSN: 0924-6460
spellingShingle evaluation
climate change
adaptation
temperature
human capital
Martínez, Jose María
Zuluaga, Victor
Buritica, Alexander
Sweating bullets: Heat, high-stakes evaluations, and the role of incentives
title Sweating bullets: Heat, high-stakes evaluations, and the role of incentives
title_full Sweating bullets: Heat, high-stakes evaluations, and the role of incentives
title_fullStr Sweating bullets: Heat, high-stakes evaluations, and the role of incentives
title_full_unstemmed Sweating bullets: Heat, high-stakes evaluations, and the role of incentives
title_short Sweating bullets: Heat, high-stakes evaluations, and the role of incentives
title_sort sweating bullets heat high stakes evaluations and the role of incentives
topic evaluation
climate change
adaptation
temperature
human capital
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176439
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AT buriticaalexander sweatingbulletsheathighstakesevaluationsandtheroleofincentives