Evaluating a growth model for forest management using continuous forest inventory data

Model evaluation should include qualitative as well as quantitative examinations of the model. The qualitative parts should comprise a critical appraisal of model logic as well as theoretical and biological realism of the model. The quantitative parts should comprise statistical tests and comparison...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Soares, P., Torne, M., Skovsgaard, J.P., Vanclay, J.K.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 1995
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/17635
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author Soares, P.
Torne, M.
Skovsgaard, J.P.
Vanclay, J.K.
author_browse Skovsgaard, J.P.
Soares, P.
Torne, M.
Vanclay, J.K.
author_facet Soares, P.
Torne, M.
Skovsgaard, J.P.
Vanclay, J.K.
author_sort Soares, P.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Model evaluation should include qualitative as well as quantitative examinations of the model. The qualitative parts should comprise a critical appraisal of model logic as well as theoretical and biological realism of the model. The quantitative parts should comprise statistical tests and comparisons of predictions with observations independent of those used to fit the model. Comprehensive model evaluation requires several alternative approaches and criteria. Model evaluation is not one simple procedure, but consists of a number of interrelated steps that should not be separated from each other or from model construction. It is stressed that models can only be evaluated in relative terms, and their predictive value is always open to question. Thus, model evaluation is an ongoing process. A case study with the PBRAVO growth model for maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.) in the Leiria forest, Portugal, illustrates the utility of selected criteria and graphical techniques. Based on theoretical examinations and tests with data from continuou forest inventories, we conclude that the Leiria version of the PBRAVO model does not adequately represent reality and that forecasts lack sufficient accuracy for forest management purposes.
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spelling CGSpace176352025-01-24T14:20:13Z Evaluating a growth model for forest management using continuous forest inventory data Soares, P. Torne, M. Skovsgaard, J.P. Vanclay, J.K. evaluation growth models forest management forest inventories Model evaluation should include qualitative as well as quantitative examinations of the model. The qualitative parts should comprise a critical appraisal of model logic as well as theoretical and biological realism of the model. The quantitative parts should comprise statistical tests and comparisons of predictions with observations independent of those used to fit the model. Comprehensive model evaluation requires several alternative approaches and criteria. Model evaluation is not one simple procedure, but consists of a number of interrelated steps that should not be separated from each other or from model construction. It is stressed that models can only be evaluated in relative terms, and their predictive value is always open to question. Thus, model evaluation is an ongoing process. A case study with the PBRAVO growth model for maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.) in the Leiria forest, Portugal, illustrates the utility of selected criteria and graphical techniques. Based on theoretical examinations and tests with data from continuou forest inventories, we conclude that the Leiria version of the PBRAVO model does not adequately represent reality and that forecasts lack sufficient accuracy for forest management purposes. 1995 2012-06-04T09:02:17Z 2012-06-04T09:02:17Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/17635 en Soares, P., Torne, M., Skovsgaard, J.P., Vanclay, J.K. 1995. Evaluating a growth model for forest management using continuous forest inventory data . Forest Ecology and Management 71 (3) :251-265. ISSN: 0378-1127.
spellingShingle evaluation
growth models
forest management
forest inventories
Soares, P.
Torne, M.
Skovsgaard, J.P.
Vanclay, J.K.
Evaluating a growth model for forest management using continuous forest inventory data
title Evaluating a growth model for forest management using continuous forest inventory data
title_full Evaluating a growth model for forest management using continuous forest inventory data
title_fullStr Evaluating a growth model for forest management using continuous forest inventory data
title_full_unstemmed Evaluating a growth model for forest management using continuous forest inventory data
title_short Evaluating a growth model for forest management using continuous forest inventory data
title_sort evaluating a growth model for forest management using continuous forest inventory data
topic evaluation
growth models
forest management
forest inventories
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/17635
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