On the points of failure and entry in global food systems

This study develops a dual-framework for identifying points of failure (PFs) and points of entry (PEs) in global food systems. Building on Schneider et al. (2025), we extend their entry-point analysis by introducing PFs—nodes where systemic risk concentrates. Using dynamic systems modeling and direc...

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Autor principal: Ulimwengu, John M.
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176309
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author Ulimwengu, John M.
author_browse Ulimwengu, John M.
author_facet Ulimwengu, John M.
author_sort Ulimwengu, John M.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This study develops a dual-framework for identifying points of failure (PFs) and points of entry (PEs) in global food systems. Building on Schneider et al. (2025), we extend their entry-point analysis by introducing PFs—nodes where systemic risk concentrates. Using dynamic systems modeling and directed network analysis of 50 indicators from the Food Systems Countdown Initiative, we derive PF and PE indexes based on structural metrics from the adjacency matrix. While empirically grounded in network topology, the model accommodates behavioral lags and policy sensitivity. Findings reveal that high-risk and high-leverage components often overlap, enabling more strategic and adaptive interventions. Designing interventions without understanding fragility would be akin to engineering a machine for acceleration while ignoring its weakest links.
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spelling CGSpace1763092025-12-02T21:02:41Z On the points of failure and entry in global food systems Ulimwengu, John M. diet dynamics food systems malnutrition resilience This study develops a dual-framework for identifying points of failure (PFs) and points of entry (PEs) in global food systems. Building on Schneider et al. (2025), we extend their entry-point analysis by introducing PFs—nodes where systemic risk concentrates. Using dynamic systems modeling and directed network analysis of 50 indicators from the Food Systems Countdown Initiative, we derive PF and PE indexes based on structural metrics from the adjacency matrix. While empirically grounded in network topology, the model accommodates behavioral lags and policy sensitivity. Findings reveal that high-risk and high-leverage components often overlap, enabling more strategic and adaptive interventions. Designing interventions without understanding fragility would be akin to engineering a machine for acceleration while ignoring its weakest links. 2025-09-02 2025-09-02T15:29:40Z 2025-09-02T15:29:40Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176309 en https://africajsd.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/9-Ulimwengu_Africa-Pathways-to-Food-Systems-Transformation_JU-FINAL.pdf https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140246 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tjnut.2025.05.009 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/174108 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/174178 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Ulimwengu, John M. 2025. On the points of failure and entry in global food systems. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2353. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176309
spellingShingle diet
dynamics
food systems
malnutrition
resilience
Ulimwengu, John M.
On the points of failure and entry in global food systems
title On the points of failure and entry in global food systems
title_full On the points of failure and entry in global food systems
title_fullStr On the points of failure and entry in global food systems
title_full_unstemmed On the points of failure and entry in global food systems
title_short On the points of failure and entry in global food systems
title_sort on the points of failure and entry in global food systems
topic diet
dynamics
food systems
malnutrition
resilience
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176309
work_keys_str_mv AT ulimwengujohnm onthepointsoffailureandentryinglobalfoodsystems