Assessing yield stability of pearl millet and rice cropping systems across West Africa using long-term experiments and a modeling approach

Long-term field experiments (LTEs) provide invaluable insights into temporal yield patterns of agronomic interventions. However, the number of LTEs and agronomic management options tested withing these experiments remain limited compared to the diversity of farming systems in West Africa. Well-teste...

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Autores principales: Kouadio, Louis, Fraser, Kristina, Ibrahim, Ali, Saito, Kazuki, Dougbedji, Fatondji, Senthilkumar, Kalimuthu
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175951
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author Kouadio, Louis
Fraser, Kristina
Ibrahim, Ali
Saito, Kazuki
Dougbedji, Fatondji
Senthilkumar, Kalimuthu
author_browse Dougbedji, Fatondji
Fraser, Kristina
Ibrahim, Ali
Kouadio, Louis
Saito, Kazuki
Senthilkumar, Kalimuthu
author_facet Kouadio, Louis
Fraser, Kristina
Ibrahim, Ali
Saito, Kazuki
Dougbedji, Fatondji
Senthilkumar, Kalimuthu
author_sort Kouadio, Louis
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Long-term field experiments (LTEs) provide invaluable insights into temporal yield patterns of agronomic interventions. However, the number of LTEs and agronomic management options tested withing these experiments remain limited compared to the diversity of farming systems in West Africa. Well-tested crop models may be used to identify crop management strategies with high temporal yield stability. This study examines the yield stability of pearl millet and rice under various management options in West Africa, utilizing both experimental and modeling approaches. The Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) for pearl millet and rice were calibrated and tested for locally-recommended varieties using LTE data from Niger (pearl millet) and Senegal (rice). Yield stability was evaluated with multiple metrics, including the adjusted coefficient of variation, the sustainable yield index, and the Finlay-Wilkinson regression coefficient. Both APSIM models exhibited a strong performance for grain yield, with Willmott’s indices of agreement at 0.74 for pearl millet and 0.90 for rice, and absolute root mean square errors of 0.19 and 1.20 Mg ha-1, respectively. The models effectively reproduced yield stability patterns across a variety of management options including planting date, planting density, fertilizer treatments, and residue retention. Combining fertilizer applications with crop residue retention enhanced yield stability in pearl millet, while season-specific nitrogen management strategies reduced yield variability in rice. Our study underscores the potential of well-tested crop models to complement LTEs in investigating pearl millet and rice yield stability, offering actionable insights for agronomic intensification strategies to enhance productivity and sustainability.
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spelling CGSpace1759512025-11-12T04:56:12Z Assessing yield stability of pearl millet and rice cropping systems across West Africa using long-term experiments and a modeling approach Kouadio, Louis Fraser, Kristina Ibrahim, Ali Saito, Kazuki Dougbedji, Fatondji Senthilkumar, Kalimuthu cereal crops fertilizers yield stability sustainability agronomic practices farming systems productivity Long-term field experiments (LTEs) provide invaluable insights into temporal yield patterns of agronomic interventions. However, the number of LTEs and agronomic management options tested withing these experiments remain limited compared to the diversity of farming systems in West Africa. Well-tested crop models may be used to identify crop management strategies with high temporal yield stability. This study examines the yield stability of pearl millet and rice under various management options in West Africa, utilizing both experimental and modeling approaches. The Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) for pearl millet and rice were calibrated and tested for locally-recommended varieties using LTE data from Niger (pearl millet) and Senegal (rice). Yield stability was evaluated with multiple metrics, including the adjusted coefficient of variation, the sustainable yield index, and the Finlay-Wilkinson regression coefficient. Both APSIM models exhibited a strong performance for grain yield, with Willmott’s indices of agreement at 0.74 for pearl millet and 0.90 for rice, and absolute root mean square errors of 0.19 and 1.20 Mg ha-1, respectively. The models effectively reproduced yield stability patterns across a variety of management options including planting date, planting density, fertilizer treatments, and residue retention. Combining fertilizer applications with crop residue retention enhanced yield stability in pearl millet, while season-specific nitrogen management strategies reduced yield variability in rice. Our study underscores the potential of well-tested crop models to complement LTEs in investigating pearl millet and rice yield stability, offering actionable insights for agronomic intensification strategies to enhance productivity and sustainability. 2025-05-27 2025-08-04T04:26:39Z 2025-08-04T04:26:39Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175951 en Open Access application/pdf Kouadio, Louis, Kristina Fraser, Ali Ibrahim, Kazuki Saito, Fatondji Dougbedji, and Kalimuthu Senthilkumar. "Assessing yield stability of pearl millet and rice cropping systems across West Africa using long-term experiments and a modeling approach." PLoS One 20, no. 5 (2025): e0317170 [26 p.].
spellingShingle cereal crops
fertilizers
yield stability
sustainability
agronomic practices
farming systems
productivity
Kouadio, Louis
Fraser, Kristina
Ibrahim, Ali
Saito, Kazuki
Dougbedji, Fatondji
Senthilkumar, Kalimuthu
Assessing yield stability of pearl millet and rice cropping systems across West Africa using long-term experiments and a modeling approach
title Assessing yield stability of pearl millet and rice cropping systems across West Africa using long-term experiments and a modeling approach
title_full Assessing yield stability of pearl millet and rice cropping systems across West Africa using long-term experiments and a modeling approach
title_fullStr Assessing yield stability of pearl millet and rice cropping systems across West Africa using long-term experiments and a modeling approach
title_full_unstemmed Assessing yield stability of pearl millet and rice cropping systems across West Africa using long-term experiments and a modeling approach
title_short Assessing yield stability of pearl millet and rice cropping systems across West Africa using long-term experiments and a modeling approach
title_sort assessing yield stability of pearl millet and rice cropping systems across west africa using long term experiments and a modeling approach
topic cereal crops
fertilizers
yield stability
sustainability
agronomic practices
farming systems
productivity
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175951
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