Rice water requirement exacerbates groundwater depletion in Northeast China under a changing climate

In recent years, Northeast China (NEC) has emerged as a key rice production region. However, the region’s scarce precipitation and surface water availability raise concerns about groundwater over intensive rice cultivation. Using the process-based rice model ORYZA (v3), we assessed irrigation water...

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Autores principales: Zhao, Yuanbo, Li, Tao, Zhao, Jin, Zhang, Zhentao, Liu, Runze, Shi, Yanying, Ma, Haoyu, Zhao, Chuang, Liu, Zhijuan, Yang, Xiaoguang
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175943
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author Zhao, Yuanbo
Li, Tao
Zhao, Jin
Zhang, Zhentao
Liu, Runze
Shi, Yanying
Ma, Haoyu
Zhao, Chuang
Liu, Zhijuan
Yang, Xiaoguang
author_browse Li, Tao
Liu, Runze
Liu, Zhijuan
Ma, Haoyu
Shi, Yanying
Yang, Xiaoguang
Zhang, Zhentao
Zhao, Chuang
Zhao, Jin
Zhao, Yuanbo
author_facet Zhao, Yuanbo
Li, Tao
Zhao, Jin
Zhang, Zhentao
Liu, Runze
Shi, Yanying
Ma, Haoyu
Zhao, Chuang
Liu, Zhijuan
Yang, Xiaoguang
author_sort Zhao, Yuanbo
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description In recent years, Northeast China (NEC) has emerged as a key rice production region. However, the region’s scarce precipitation and surface water availability raise concerns about groundwater over intensive rice cultivation. Using the process-based rice model ORYZA (v3), we assessed irrigation water demand and groundwater depletion under two irrigation regimes - Flood (FLD) Irrigation and Alternative Wet-dry (AWD) Irrigation - across two climate change scenarios (SSP1–2.6 and SSP5–8.5). Results indicated a substantial increase in irrigation water demand (28.6 % to 52.3 %) and groundwater depletion ratio (23.6 % to 53.0 %) under future climate scenarios, with higher impacts under the more extreme SSP5–8.5 pathway. Spatial analysis revealed that regions with larger rice cultivation areas, particularly in Sanjiang Plain, are more vulnerable to groundwater depletion. Furthermore, the benefits of AWD irrigation in mitigating water stress decline under climate change, with reductions in groundwater extraction alleviation (by 7.6 % to 7.9 %) and water use efficiency improvement (by 8.1 % to 8.3 %). These findings underscore the urgent need for spatially optimized rice cultivation and adaptive irrigation strategies tailored to ensure long-term groundwater sustainability and regional food security.
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spelling CGSpace1759432025-10-26T13:02:36Z Rice water requirement exacerbates groundwater depletion in Northeast China under a changing climate Zhao, Yuanbo Li, Tao Zhao, Jin Zhang, Zhentao Liu, Runze Shi, Yanying Ma, Haoyu Zhao, Chuang Liu, Zhijuan Yang, Xiaoguang rice production systems flood irrigation groudwater depletion climate change water demand water resources agricultural water management sustainability food security In recent years, Northeast China (NEC) has emerged as a key rice production region. However, the region’s scarce precipitation and surface water availability raise concerns about groundwater over intensive rice cultivation. Using the process-based rice model ORYZA (v3), we assessed irrigation water demand and groundwater depletion under two irrigation regimes - Flood (FLD) Irrigation and Alternative Wet-dry (AWD) Irrigation - across two climate change scenarios (SSP1–2.6 and SSP5–8.5). Results indicated a substantial increase in irrigation water demand (28.6 % to 52.3 %) and groundwater depletion ratio (23.6 % to 53.0 %) under future climate scenarios, with higher impacts under the more extreme SSP5–8.5 pathway. Spatial analysis revealed that regions with larger rice cultivation areas, particularly in Sanjiang Plain, are more vulnerable to groundwater depletion. Furthermore, the benefits of AWD irrigation in mitigating water stress decline under climate change, with reductions in groundwater extraction alleviation (by 7.6 % to 7.9 %) and water use efficiency improvement (by 8.1 % to 8.3 %). These findings underscore the urgent need for spatially optimized rice cultivation and adaptive irrigation strategies tailored to ensure long-term groundwater sustainability and regional food security. 2025-08 2025-08-04T03:02:04Z 2025-08-04T03:02:04Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175943 en Limited Access Elsevier Zhao, Yuanbo, Tao Li, Jin Zhao, Zhentao Zhang, Runze Liu, Yanying Shi, Haoyu Ma, Chuang Zhao, Zhijuan Liu, and Xiaoguang Yang. "Rice water requirement exacerbates groundwater depletion in Northeast China under a changing climates." Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 371 (2025): 110624.
spellingShingle rice
production systems
flood irrigation
groudwater depletion
climate change
water demand
water resources
agricultural water management
sustainability
food security
Zhao, Yuanbo
Li, Tao
Zhao, Jin
Zhang, Zhentao
Liu, Runze
Shi, Yanying
Ma, Haoyu
Zhao, Chuang
Liu, Zhijuan
Yang, Xiaoguang
Rice water requirement exacerbates groundwater depletion in Northeast China under a changing climate
title Rice water requirement exacerbates groundwater depletion in Northeast China under a changing climate
title_full Rice water requirement exacerbates groundwater depletion in Northeast China under a changing climate
title_fullStr Rice water requirement exacerbates groundwater depletion in Northeast China under a changing climate
title_full_unstemmed Rice water requirement exacerbates groundwater depletion in Northeast China under a changing climate
title_short Rice water requirement exacerbates groundwater depletion in Northeast China under a changing climate
title_sort rice water requirement exacerbates groundwater depletion in northeast china under a changing climate
topic rice
production systems
flood irrigation
groudwater depletion
climate change
water demand
water resources
agricultural water management
sustainability
food security
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175943
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