Estimating the Reach of Biofortified Crops to Farm Households: The HarvestPlus Model vs. National Sampling and Genotyping in Uganda

This technical note compares two different methods of estimating the reach of biofortified crops – namely, orange-fleshed sweet potato (OSP) and high-iron beans (HIB) – in rural Uganda. This is a topic of significant importance to CGIAR given the millions of dollars invested in developing and dissem...

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Autores principales: Lybbert, Travis J., Stevenson, James R., Labarta, Ricardo
Formato: Informe técnico
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: CGIAR Standing Panel on Impact Assessment 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175935
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author Lybbert, Travis J.
Stevenson, James R.
Labarta, Ricardo
author_browse Labarta, Ricardo
Lybbert, Travis J.
Stevenson, James R.
author_facet Lybbert, Travis J.
Stevenson, James R.
Labarta, Ricardo
author_sort Lybbert, Travis J.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This technical note compares two different methods of estimating the reach of biofortified crops – namely, orange-fleshed sweet potato (OSP) and high-iron beans (HIB) – in rural Uganda. This is a topic of significant importance to CGIAR given the millions of dollars invested in developing and disseminating biofortified varieties over the past 15-20 years. One method uses a calibrated model with simplifying assumptions to project the number of rural farm households accessing these crops. The other uses data collected from a nationally-representative sample of rural households in Uganda to estimate consumption, with a sub-sample of households cultivating these crops having samples taken for genotyping, in order to estimate the observed prevalence of these improved biofortified varieties. These two approaches give very different estimates, with the model-based approach indicating far more households reached than the data-driven approach (see Table 1), which align closely with very low levels of OFSP consumption by rural Ugandan households in 2021/22 (Table 2). The purpose of this note is to explore and explain the discrepancies between the results of these two approaches.
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spelling CGSpace1759352025-11-07T15:16:26Z Estimating the Reach of Biofortified Crops to Farm Households: The HarvestPlus Model vs. National Sampling and Genotyping in Uganda Lybbert, Travis J. Stevenson, James R. Labarta, Ricardo biofortification crops sampling genotyping This technical note compares two different methods of estimating the reach of biofortified crops – namely, orange-fleshed sweet potato (OSP) and high-iron beans (HIB) – in rural Uganda. This is a topic of significant importance to CGIAR given the millions of dollars invested in developing and disseminating biofortified varieties over the past 15-20 years. One method uses a calibrated model with simplifying assumptions to project the number of rural farm households accessing these crops. The other uses data collected from a nationally-representative sample of rural households in Uganda to estimate consumption, with a sub-sample of households cultivating these crops having samples taken for genotyping, in order to estimate the observed prevalence of these improved biofortified varieties. These two approaches give very different estimates, with the model-based approach indicating far more households reached than the data-driven approach (see Table 1), which align closely with very low levels of OFSP consumption by rural Ugandan households in 2021/22 (Table 2). The purpose of this note is to explore and explain the discrepancies between the results of these two approaches. 2025-07-22 2025-08-01T17:07:13Z 2025-08-01T17:07:13Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175935 en Open Access application/pdf CGIAR Standing Panel on Impact Assessment Labarta, R., Lybbert, T.J. and Stevenson, J. 2025. Estimating the Reach of Biofortified Crops to Farm Households: The HarvestPlus Model vs. National Sampling and Genotyping in Uganda. Technical Note 11. Rome: Standing Panel on Impact Assessment (SPIA).
spellingShingle biofortification
crops
sampling
genotyping
Lybbert, Travis J.
Stevenson, James R.
Labarta, Ricardo
Estimating the Reach of Biofortified Crops to Farm Households: The HarvestPlus Model vs. National Sampling and Genotyping in Uganda
title Estimating the Reach of Biofortified Crops to Farm Households: The HarvestPlus Model vs. National Sampling and Genotyping in Uganda
title_full Estimating the Reach of Biofortified Crops to Farm Households: The HarvestPlus Model vs. National Sampling and Genotyping in Uganda
title_fullStr Estimating the Reach of Biofortified Crops to Farm Households: The HarvestPlus Model vs. National Sampling and Genotyping in Uganda
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the Reach of Biofortified Crops to Farm Households: The HarvestPlus Model vs. National Sampling and Genotyping in Uganda
title_short Estimating the Reach of Biofortified Crops to Farm Households: The HarvestPlus Model vs. National Sampling and Genotyping in Uganda
title_sort estimating the reach of biofortified crops to farm households the harvestplus model vs national sampling and genotyping in uganda
topic biofortification
crops
sampling
genotyping
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175935
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