Rice area-yield estimation based on the synergistic use of remote sensing time-series and crop growth modeling in Nigeria
Context RIICE (Remote sensing-based Information and Insurance for Crops in Emerging Economies) technology, developed since 2010 by sarmap and the International Rice Research Institute, has proven effective in Southeast Asia for monitoring rice production using satellite data. In Nigeria, rice is a k...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Elsevier
2025
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175734 |
| _version_ | 1855518227878117376 |
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| author | Barbieri, Massimo Quicho, Emma D. Ibrahim, Ali Melchiori, Luca Cattaneo, Alessandro Gatti, Luca Copa, Loris Holecz, Francesco Mathieu, Renaud Saito, Kazuki Senthilkumar, Kalimuthu |
| author_browse | Barbieri, Massimo Cattaneo, Alessandro Copa, Loris Gatti, Luca Holecz, Francesco Ibrahim, Ali Mathieu, Renaud Melchiori, Luca Quicho, Emma D. Saito, Kazuki Senthilkumar, Kalimuthu |
| author_facet | Barbieri, Massimo Quicho, Emma D. Ibrahim, Ali Melchiori, Luca Cattaneo, Alessandro Gatti, Luca Copa, Loris Holecz, Francesco Mathieu, Renaud Saito, Kazuki Senthilkumar, Kalimuthu |
| author_sort | Barbieri, Massimo |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Context
RIICE (Remote sensing-based Information and Insurance for Crops in Emerging Economies) technology, developed since 2010 by sarmap and the International Rice Research Institute, has proven effective in Southeast Asia for monitoring rice production using satellite data. In Nigeria, rice is a key staple crop, yet reliable data on cultivated area and yield are lacking, limiting the ability to design effective interventions for improving productivity.
Objective
This study aims to apply and improve the RIICE approach to provide accurate and up-to-date estimates of rice cultivated area, yield, and yield gaps in Nigeria.
Methods
Over 1500 geolocated ground-truth points were collected across Kano, Jigawa, and Benue States during the 2022 and 2023 wet and dry seasons. RIICE technology was used to analyze the temporal signatures of satellite data to detect rice areas and crop season start dates. These outputs, combined with agronomic inputs such as soil characteristics, fertilizer use, and water availability, were fed into a crop model to estimate yields and assess yield gaps.
Results and conclusion
In the 2023 wet season, estimated rice cultivation areas were 226,702 ha in Kano, 113,871 ha in Jigawa, and 317,282 ha in Benue, with detection accuracy ranging from 85 to 90 % in Kano and Jigawa and 75–85 % in Benue. Yield estimates showed Kano achieving averages of 5.1 t/ha (dry) and 5.0 t/ha (wet) under irrigated system, while Jigawa yielded 3.9 t/ha (dry) and 3.8 t/ha (wet). In Benue, yields averaged 3.5 t/ha, with some areas producing <1.0 t/ha. Yield gaps were significant: 3.0–3.2 t/ha in Kano and 4.0–4.1 t/ha in Jigawa, highlighting the need for targeted agronomic interventions to bridge these gaps and enhance rice productivity.
Significance
The results demonstrate the effectiveness of integrating remote sensing with ground data and crop models for reliable yield estimation and, consequently, identifying the critical target areas where interventions are the most eventually needed. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace175734 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1757342025-11-12T04:55:53Z Rice area-yield estimation based on the synergistic use of remote sensing time-series and crop growth modeling in Nigeria Barbieri, Massimo Quicho, Emma D. Ibrahim, Ali Melchiori, Luca Cattaneo, Alessandro Gatti, Luca Copa, Loris Holecz, Francesco Mathieu, Renaud Saito, Kazuki Senthilkumar, Kalimuthu rice crop yield yield gap remote sensing crop modelling agronomic traits water availability agricultural productivity precision agriculture Context RIICE (Remote sensing-based Information and Insurance for Crops in Emerging Economies) technology, developed since 2010 by sarmap and the International Rice Research Institute, has proven effective in Southeast Asia for monitoring rice production using satellite data. In Nigeria, rice is a key staple crop, yet reliable data on cultivated area and yield are lacking, limiting the ability to design effective interventions for improving productivity. Objective This study aims to apply and improve the RIICE approach to provide accurate and up-to-date estimates of rice cultivated area, yield, and yield gaps in Nigeria. Methods Over 1500 geolocated ground-truth points were collected across Kano, Jigawa, and Benue States during the 2022 and 2023 wet and dry seasons. RIICE technology was used to analyze the temporal signatures of satellite data to detect rice areas and crop season start dates. These outputs, combined with agronomic inputs such as soil characteristics, fertilizer use, and water availability, were fed into a crop model to estimate yields and assess yield gaps. Results and conclusion In the 2023 wet season, estimated rice cultivation areas were 226,702 ha in Kano, 113,871 ha in Jigawa, and 317,282 ha in Benue, with detection accuracy ranging from 85 to 90 % in Kano and Jigawa and 75–85 % in Benue. Yield estimates showed Kano achieving averages of 5.1 t/ha (dry) and 5.0 t/ha (wet) under irrigated system, while Jigawa yielded 3.9 t/ha (dry) and 3.8 t/ha (wet). In Benue, yields averaged 3.5 t/ha, with some areas producing <1.0 t/ha. Yield gaps were significant: 3.0–3.2 t/ha in Kano and 4.0–4.1 t/ha in Jigawa, highlighting the need for targeted agronomic interventions to bridge these gaps and enhance rice productivity. Significance The results demonstrate the effectiveness of integrating remote sensing with ground data and crop models for reliable yield estimation and, consequently, identifying the critical target areas where interventions are the most eventually needed. 2025-08 2025-07-23T05:57:11Z 2025-07-23T05:57:11Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175734 en Open Access application/pdf Elsevier Barbieri, Massimo, Emma D. Quicho, Ali Ibrahim, Luca Melchiori, Alessandro Cattaneo, Luca Gatti, Loris Copa et al. "Rice area-yield estimation based on the synergistic use of remote sensing time-series and crop growth modeling in Nigeria." Smart Agricultural Technology (2025): 101024. |
| spellingShingle | rice crop yield yield gap remote sensing crop modelling agronomic traits water availability agricultural productivity precision agriculture Barbieri, Massimo Quicho, Emma D. Ibrahim, Ali Melchiori, Luca Cattaneo, Alessandro Gatti, Luca Copa, Loris Holecz, Francesco Mathieu, Renaud Saito, Kazuki Senthilkumar, Kalimuthu Rice area-yield estimation based on the synergistic use of remote sensing time-series and crop growth modeling in Nigeria |
| title | Rice area-yield estimation based on the synergistic use of remote sensing time-series and crop growth modeling in Nigeria |
| title_full | Rice area-yield estimation based on the synergistic use of remote sensing time-series and crop growth modeling in Nigeria |
| title_fullStr | Rice area-yield estimation based on the synergistic use of remote sensing time-series and crop growth modeling in Nigeria |
| title_full_unstemmed | Rice area-yield estimation based on the synergistic use of remote sensing time-series and crop growth modeling in Nigeria |
| title_short | Rice area-yield estimation based on the synergistic use of remote sensing time-series and crop growth modeling in Nigeria |
| title_sort | rice area yield estimation based on the synergistic use of remote sensing time series and crop growth modeling in nigeria |
| topic | rice crop yield yield gap remote sensing crop modelling agronomic traits water availability agricultural productivity precision agriculture |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175734 |
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