Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis
Weather and climate services (WCS) are particularly important in Sub-Saharan Africa, where weather-dependent agriculture is the main source of livelihood, and where erratic weather patterns and extreme weather events have major impacts on rural livelihoods and food security. However, despite their i...
| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal Article |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Elsevier
2025
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175582 |
| _version_ | 1855537807126167552 |
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| author | Tamru, Seneshaw Hansen, James Zebiak, Stephen Tesfaye, Abonesh Minten, Bart Demissie, Teferi Radeny, Maren A.O. Tesfaye, Kindie Solomon, Dawit |
| author_browse | Demissie, Teferi Hansen, James Minten, Bart Radeny, Maren A.O. Solomon, Dawit Tamru, Seneshaw Tesfaye, Abonesh Tesfaye, Kindie Zebiak, Stephen |
| author_facet | Tamru, Seneshaw Hansen, James Zebiak, Stephen Tesfaye, Abonesh Minten, Bart Demissie, Teferi Radeny, Maren A.O. Tesfaye, Kindie Solomon, Dawit |
| author_sort | Tamru, Seneshaw |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Weather and climate services (WCS) are particularly important in Sub-Saharan Africa, where weather-dependent agriculture is the main source of livelihood, and where erratic weather patterns and extreme weather events have major impacts on rural livelihoods and food security. However, despite their importance, their effects on the agriculture sector and the overall economy are not well understood. For the case of Ethiopia, we use a computable general equilibrium modeling approach with the latest Ethiopian social accounting matrix data to estimate the potential contribution of WCS to macroeconomic variables, including growth in gross domestic product nationally and by sector. The analysis incorporates results of a separate econometric analysis of household survey data from five major regions in Ethiopia, which showed WCS use is associated with increased agricultural productivity. We estimate that increased agricultural productivity associated with WCS contributes to overall economic growth of more than 6 %, with a likely positive effect on farmers’ resilience to climate variability and change. The positive impact of WCS on agricultural productivity propagate to the overall economy, as evidenced by the considerable positive effect on GDP especially from the more climate sensitive sectors such as agriculture. |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace175582 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| publisherStr | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1755822025-12-19T19:39:49Z Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis Tamru, Seneshaw Hansen, James Zebiak, Stephen Tesfaye, Abonesh Minten, Bart Demissie, Teferi Radeny, Maren A.O. Tesfaye, Kindie Solomon, Dawit agriculture climate change resilience productivity Weather and climate services (WCS) are particularly important in Sub-Saharan Africa, where weather-dependent agriculture is the main source of livelihood, and where erratic weather patterns and extreme weather events have major impacts on rural livelihoods and food security. However, despite their importance, their effects on the agriculture sector and the overall economy are not well understood. For the case of Ethiopia, we use a computable general equilibrium modeling approach with the latest Ethiopian social accounting matrix data to estimate the potential contribution of WCS to macroeconomic variables, including growth in gross domestic product nationally and by sector. The analysis incorporates results of a separate econometric analysis of household survey data from five major regions in Ethiopia, which showed WCS use is associated with increased agricultural productivity. We estimate that increased agricultural productivity associated with WCS contributes to overall economic growth of more than 6 %, with a likely positive effect on farmers’ resilience to climate variability and change. The positive impact of WCS on agricultural productivity propagate to the overall economy, as evidenced by the considerable positive effect on GDP especially from the more climate sensitive sectors such as agriculture. 2025-07 2025-07-10T04:13:08Z 2025-07-10T04:13:08Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175582 en Open Access Elsevier Tamru, S., Hansen, J., Zebiak, S., Tesfaye, A., Minten, B., Demissie, T., Radeny, M., Tesfaye, K. and Solomon, D. 2025. Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis. Climate Risk Management 49: 100725. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2025.100725 |
| spellingShingle | agriculture climate change resilience productivity Tamru, Seneshaw Hansen, James Zebiak, Stephen Tesfaye, Abonesh Minten, Bart Demissie, Teferi Radeny, Maren A.O. Tesfaye, Kindie Solomon, Dawit Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis |
| title | Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis |
| title_full | Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis |
| title_fullStr | Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis |
| title_short | Climate and weather services can enhance Ethiopian farmers’ resilience to climate change: Economy-wide impact analysis |
| title_sort | climate and weather services can enhance ethiopian farmers resilience to climate change economy wide impact analysis |
| topic | agriculture climate change resilience productivity |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175582 |
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