What do we know about the future of food demand, production, and food security based on IMPACT model projections?
Global food demand is projected to increase as incomes rise, and diets will continue shifting toward more nutrient-dense foods, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). IMPACT model projections indicate that global production for all agricultural commodities will increase by over 40...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Capítulo de libro |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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International Food Policy Research Institute
2025
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175534 |
| _version_ | 1855533290231955456 |
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| author | Cenacchi, Nicola Sulser, Timothy B. Mishra, Abhijeet |
| author_browse | Cenacchi, Nicola Mishra, Abhijeet Sulser, Timothy B. |
| author_facet | Cenacchi, Nicola Sulser, Timothy B. Mishra, Abhijeet |
| author_sort | Cenacchi, Nicola |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Global food demand is projected to increase as incomes rise, and diets will continue shifting toward more nutrient-dense foods, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).
IMPACT model projections indicate that global production for all agricultural commodities will increase by over 40 percent between 2020 and 2050, driven by innovation and productivity growth, but resource constraints and climate change pose challenges. As with demand, production is projected to grow fastest in LMICs.
In the coming decades, food demand is projected to outpace production in most LMIC regions. As a result, most of these regions, with the exception of Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), are expected to increase their reliance on imports.
Increases in production and trade are expected to enhance food availability, but most LMIC regions are not on track to achieve Sustainable Development Goal 2.1 on ending hunger by 2030.
Strengthening model integration and incorporating socioeconomic disaggregation will enhance IMPACT’s ability to provide more comprehensive insights for decision-making to address these challenges. |
| format | Book Chapter |
| id | CGSpace175534 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1755342025-11-06T04:11:58Z What do we know about the future of food demand, production, and food security based on IMPACT model projections? Cenacchi, Nicola Sulser, Timothy B. Mishra, Abhijeet modelling market demand food production food security trade population growth Global food demand is projected to increase as incomes rise, and diets will continue shifting toward more nutrient-dense foods, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). IMPACT model projections indicate that global production for all agricultural commodities will increase by over 40 percent between 2020 and 2050, driven by innovation and productivity growth, but resource constraints and climate change pose challenges. As with demand, production is projected to grow fastest in LMICs. In the coming decades, food demand is projected to outpace production in most LMIC regions. As a result, most of these regions, with the exception of Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), are expected to increase their reliance on imports. Increases in production and trade are expected to enhance food availability, but most LMIC regions are not on track to achieve Sustainable Development Goal 2.1 on ending hunger by 2030. Strengthening model integration and incorporating socioeconomic disaggregation will enhance IMPACT’s ability to provide more comprehensive insights for decision-making to address these challenges. 2025-07-21 2025-07-07T20:57:41Z 2025-07-07T20:57:41Z Book Chapter https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175534 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175019 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Cenacchi, Nicola; Sulser, Timothy B.; and Mishra, Abhijeet. 2025. What do we know about the future of food demand, production, and food security based on IMPACT model projections? In What do we know about the future of food systems? eds. Keith Wiebe and Elisabetta Gotor. Part Four: What Do We Know About the Future of Foresight Data and Analytical Tools? Chapter 36, Pp. 216-222. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175534 |
| spellingShingle | modelling market demand food production food security trade population growth Cenacchi, Nicola Sulser, Timothy B. Mishra, Abhijeet What do we know about the future of food demand, production, and food security based on IMPACT model projections? |
| title | What do we know about the future of food demand, production, and food security based on IMPACT model projections? |
| title_full | What do we know about the future of food demand, production, and food security based on IMPACT model projections? |
| title_fullStr | What do we know about the future of food demand, production, and food security based on IMPACT model projections? |
| title_full_unstemmed | What do we know about the future of food demand, production, and food security based on IMPACT model projections? |
| title_short | What do we know about the future of food demand, production, and food security based on IMPACT model projections? |
| title_sort | what do we know about the future of food demand production and food security based on impact model projections |
| topic | modelling market demand food production food security trade population growth |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175534 |
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