What do we know about the future of maize value chains in a changing climate and agrifood system?

Population growth, changing diets, and a rapidly growing feed sector are contributing to a sharp increase in global maize demand, which is expected to double by 2050 relative to 2010. Average global maize yield is projected to decrease by 11 percent under a global warming scenario of 2°C (2060–2084...

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Autores principales: Tesfaye Fantaye, Kindie, Sonder, Kai, Pequeno, Diego, Hartley, Faaiqa, Gbegbelegbe, Sika
Formato: Capítulo de libro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175524
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author Tesfaye Fantaye, Kindie
Sonder, Kai
Pequeno, Diego
Hartley, Faaiqa
Gbegbelegbe, Sika
author_browse Gbegbelegbe, Sika
Hartley, Faaiqa
Pequeno, Diego
Sonder, Kai
Tesfaye Fantaye, Kindie
author_facet Tesfaye Fantaye, Kindie
Sonder, Kai
Pequeno, Diego
Hartley, Faaiqa
Gbegbelegbe, Sika
author_sort Tesfaye Fantaye, Kindie
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Population growth, changing diets, and a rapidly growing feed sector are contributing to a sharp increase in global maize demand, which is expected to double by 2050 relative to 2010. Average global maize yield is projected to decrease by 11 percent under a global warming scenario of 2°C (2060–2084) relative to the 1986–2005 period (in the absence of technological change, adaptation, or market adjustments). The feed demand for maize is expected to grow faster in the coming few decades, largely driven by rapid economic growth and diet shifts in highly populated regions in Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America. Meeting the growing demand for maize will require dramatic increases in production, marketing, use, and resilience of maize-based farming systems. While the supply of maize over the coming decades will be constrained by climate change and limited availability of land and water, technological and policy innovations will bring new opportunities. The combined challenges of increasing food demand, persistent poverty and malnutrition, natural resource depletion, and climate change will require the world to double the productivity and boost the sustainability and resilience of maize-based farming systems within planetary boundaries.
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spelling CGSpace1755242025-11-06T13:00:57Z What do we know about the future of maize value chains in a changing climate and agrifood system? Tesfaye Fantaye, Kindie Sonder, Kai Pequeno, Diego Hartley, Faaiqa Gbegbelegbe, Sika maize climate change agricultural value chains food systems production increase agricultural marketing resilience diet feeds Population growth, changing diets, and a rapidly growing feed sector are contributing to a sharp increase in global maize demand, which is expected to double by 2050 relative to 2010. Average global maize yield is projected to decrease by 11 percent under a global warming scenario of 2°C (2060–2084) relative to the 1986–2005 period (in the absence of technological change, adaptation, or market adjustments). The feed demand for maize is expected to grow faster in the coming few decades, largely driven by rapid economic growth and diet shifts in highly populated regions in Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America. Meeting the growing demand for maize will require dramatic increases in production, marketing, use, and resilience of maize-based farming systems. While the supply of maize over the coming decades will be constrained by climate change and limited availability of land and water, technological and policy innovations will bring new opportunities. The combined challenges of increasing food demand, persistent poverty and malnutrition, natural resource depletion, and climate change will require the world to double the productivity and boost the sustainability and resilience of maize-based farming systems within planetary boundaries. 2025-07-21 2025-07-07T19:09:28Z 2025-07-07T19:09:28Z Book Chapter https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175524 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175019 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Tesfaye Fantaye, Kindie; Sonder, Kai; Pequeno, Diego; Hartley, Faaiqa; and Gbegbelegbe, Sika. 2025. What do we know about the future of maize value chains in a changing climate and agrifood system? In What do we know about the future of food systems? eds. Keith Wiebe and Elisabetta Gotor. Part Three: What Do We Know About the Future of Selected Food Commodities? Chapter 30, Pp. 177-182. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175524
spellingShingle maize
climate change
agricultural value chains
food systems
production increase
agricultural marketing
resilience
diet
feeds
Tesfaye Fantaye, Kindie
Sonder, Kai
Pequeno, Diego
Hartley, Faaiqa
Gbegbelegbe, Sika
What do we know about the future of maize value chains in a changing climate and agrifood system?
title What do we know about the future of maize value chains in a changing climate and agrifood system?
title_full What do we know about the future of maize value chains in a changing climate and agrifood system?
title_fullStr What do we know about the future of maize value chains in a changing climate and agrifood system?
title_full_unstemmed What do we know about the future of maize value chains in a changing climate and agrifood system?
title_short What do we know about the future of maize value chains in a changing climate and agrifood system?
title_sort what do we know about the future of maize value chains in a changing climate and agrifood system
topic maize
climate change
agricultural value chains
food systems
production increase
agricultural marketing
resilience
diet
feeds
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175524
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