How are climate, security, and human mobility dynamics interrelated in Pakistan?

Pakistan faces a complex and interlinked set of challenges at the intersection of climate change, conflict, and mobility, which collectively exacerbate human insecurity and state fragility. This paper identifies three key pathways through which these drivers interact, often in non-linear and overlap...

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Main Authors: Khalid, Shahab, Savelli, Adam, Vaselli, Alessandra, Carneiro, Bia, Pacillo, Grazia, Laderach, Peter
Format: Artículo preliminar
Language:Inglés
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175415
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author Khalid, Shahab
Savelli, Adam
Vaselli, Alessandra
Carneiro, Bia
Pacillo, Grazia
Laderach, Peter
author_browse Carneiro, Bia
Khalid, Shahab
Laderach, Peter
Pacillo, Grazia
Savelli, Adam
Vaselli, Alessandra
author_facet Khalid, Shahab
Savelli, Adam
Vaselli, Alessandra
Carneiro, Bia
Pacillo, Grazia
Laderach, Peter
author_sort Khalid, Shahab
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Pakistan faces a complex and interlinked set of challenges at the intersection of climate change, conflict, and mobility, which collectively exacerbate human insecurity and state fragility. This paper identifies three key pathways through which these drivers interact, often in non-linear and overlapping ways. The first pathway illustrates how climate-induced disruptions to land, water, and food systems—especially in the Indus Basin—intensify livelihood loss and social tensions, increasing the likelihood of conflict and displacement. The second pathway explores how climate- and conflict-induced displacement, when poorly managed, can overwhelm state capacity, deepen social grievances, and trigger secondary conflict in both origin and destination areas. The third examines how climate hazards and displacement can aggravate ongoing conflicts, weaken peacebuilding processes, and fuel recruitment by armed groups. The analysis underscores the urgent need for integrated, context-sensitive approaches to climate resilience, displacement, and peacebuilding in Pakistan by drawing on examples across Sindh, Balochistan, Punjab, and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.
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spelling CGSpace1754152025-11-05T12:32:05Z How are climate, security, and human mobility dynamics interrelated in Pakistan? Khalid, Shahab Savelli, Adam Vaselli, Alessandra Carneiro, Bia Pacillo, Grazia Laderach, Peter climate change adaptation adaptación al cambio climático nexus approaches seguridad climática pakistan enfoque de nexo pakistán Pakistan faces a complex and interlinked set of challenges at the intersection of climate change, conflict, and mobility, which collectively exacerbate human insecurity and state fragility. This paper identifies three key pathways through which these drivers interact, often in non-linear and overlapping ways. The first pathway illustrates how climate-induced disruptions to land, water, and food systems—especially in the Indus Basin—intensify livelihood loss and social tensions, increasing the likelihood of conflict and displacement. The second pathway explores how climate- and conflict-induced displacement, when poorly managed, can overwhelm state capacity, deepen social grievances, and trigger secondary conflict in both origin and destination areas. The third examines how climate hazards and displacement can aggravate ongoing conflicts, weaken peacebuilding processes, and fuel recruitment by armed groups. The analysis underscores the urgent need for integrated, context-sensitive approaches to climate resilience, displacement, and peacebuilding in Pakistan by drawing on examples across Sindh, Balochistan, Punjab, and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. 2025-04-21 2025-07-01T08:34:09Z 2025-07-01T08:34:09Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175415 en Open Access application/pdf Khalid, S.; Savelli, A.; Vaselli, A.; Carneiro, B.; Pacillo, G.; Laderach, P. (2025) How are climate, security, and human mobility dynamics interrelated in Pakistan?. Climate, Mobility, Peace and Security Interplay Discussion Paper 2025/01. 29 p.
spellingShingle climate change adaptation
adaptación al cambio climático
nexus approaches
seguridad climática
pakistan
enfoque de nexo
pakistán
Khalid, Shahab
Savelli, Adam
Vaselli, Alessandra
Carneiro, Bia
Pacillo, Grazia
Laderach, Peter
How are climate, security, and human mobility dynamics interrelated in Pakistan?
title How are climate, security, and human mobility dynamics interrelated in Pakistan?
title_full How are climate, security, and human mobility dynamics interrelated in Pakistan?
title_fullStr How are climate, security, and human mobility dynamics interrelated in Pakistan?
title_full_unstemmed How are climate, security, and human mobility dynamics interrelated in Pakistan?
title_short How are climate, security, and human mobility dynamics interrelated in Pakistan?
title_sort how are climate security and human mobility dynamics interrelated in pakistan
topic climate change adaptation
adaptación al cambio climático
nexus approaches
seguridad climática
pakistan
enfoque de nexo
pakistán
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175415
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