What do we know about the impacts of the next El Niño on agrifood systems?

As of June 2023, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) declared that El Niño conditions were present and consensus existed among climate prediction centers that El Niño would likely persist from November 2023 to February 2024. El Niño is typically associated with seasonal...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Koo, Jawoo, Anderson, Weston
Formato: Capítulo de libro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175408
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author Koo, Jawoo
Anderson, Weston
author_browse Anderson, Weston
Koo, Jawoo
author_facet Koo, Jawoo
Anderson, Weston
author_sort Koo, Jawoo
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description As of June 2023, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) declared that El Niño conditions were present and consensus existed among climate prediction centers that El Niño would likely persist from November 2023 to February 2024. El Niño is typically associated with seasonal climate anomalies and extreme weather events throughout the developing world, especially across sub-Saharan Africa, but the economic impacts caused by these events are difficult to disentangle from those of other climate shocks, natural disasters, and economic cycles. Additionally, the strength and consistency of El Niño’s agroclimatic impacts vary by region. El Niño’s unique slow onset, periodic pattern, and lead times of prediction (from a few months to a year) make it possible to design anticipatory policies and prepare emergency responses in advance. Policymakers should closely monitor the evolution of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phases and the potential impacts of El Niño and be prepared to coordinate policy responses quickly as the situation unfolds. As global warming continues and climate extremes occur more frequently, actions to foster climate-resilient agrifood systems should be broadly prioritized.
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spelling CGSpace1754082025-11-06T04:17:23Z What do we know about the impacts of the next El Niño on agrifood systems? Koo, Jawoo Anderson, Weston El Niño agrifood systems climate prediction extreme weather events agroclimatology early warning systems climate variability climate change As of June 2023, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) declared that El Niño conditions were present and consensus existed among climate prediction centers that El Niño would likely persist from November 2023 to February 2024. El Niño is typically associated with seasonal climate anomalies and extreme weather events throughout the developing world, especially across sub-Saharan Africa, but the economic impacts caused by these events are difficult to disentangle from those of other climate shocks, natural disasters, and economic cycles. Additionally, the strength and consistency of El Niño’s agroclimatic impacts vary by region. El Niño’s unique slow onset, periodic pattern, and lead times of prediction (from a few months to a year) make it possible to design anticipatory policies and prepare emergency responses in advance. Policymakers should closely monitor the evolution of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phases and the potential impacts of El Niño and be prepared to coordinate policy responses quickly as the situation unfolds. As global warming continues and climate extremes occur more frequently, actions to foster climate-resilient agrifood systems should be broadly prioritized. 2025-07-21 2025-06-30T20:03:12Z 2025-06-30T20:03:12Z Book Chapter https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175408 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175019 Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Koo, Jawoo; and Anderson, Weston. 2025. What do we know about the impacts of the next El Niño on agrifood systems? In What do we know about the future of food systems? eds. Keith Wiebe and Elisabetta Gotor. Part One: What Do We Know About the Future of Food Systems Drivers and Impacts? Chapter 15, Pp. 85-90. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175408
spellingShingle El Niño
agrifood systems
climate prediction
extreme weather events
agroclimatology
early warning systems
climate variability
climate change
Koo, Jawoo
Anderson, Weston
What do we know about the impacts of the next El Niño on agrifood systems?
title What do we know about the impacts of the next El Niño on agrifood systems?
title_full What do we know about the impacts of the next El Niño on agrifood systems?
title_fullStr What do we know about the impacts of the next El Niño on agrifood systems?
title_full_unstemmed What do we know about the impacts of the next El Niño on agrifood systems?
title_short What do we know about the impacts of the next El Niño on agrifood systems?
title_sort what do we know about the impacts of the next el nino on agrifood systems
topic El Niño
agrifood systems
climate prediction
extreme weather events
agroclimatology
early warning systems
climate variability
climate change
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175408
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