Cost effective options for inclusive agrifood system development in Tajikistan

This paper presents a model-based and data-driven analysis of alternative public investment options for Tajikistan’s agrifood system based on cost-effectiveness in achieving multiple development outcomes. The study indicates that there is no single intervention that is the most cost-effective across...

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Autores principales: Aragie, Emerta A., Khakimov, Parviz, Ashurov, Timur, Goibov, Manuchehr, Aliev, Jovidon, Diao, Xinshen, Fang, Peixun, Thurlow, James
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: International Food Policy Research Institute 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175060
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author Aragie, Emerta A.
Khakimov, Parviz
Ashurov, Timur
Goibov, Manuchehr
Aliev, Jovidon
Diao, Xinshen
Fang, Peixun
Thurlow, James
author_browse Aliev, Jovidon
Aragie, Emerta A.
Ashurov, Timur
Diao, Xinshen
Fang, Peixun
Goibov, Manuchehr
Khakimov, Parviz
Thurlow, James
author_facet Aragie, Emerta A.
Khakimov, Parviz
Ashurov, Timur
Goibov, Manuchehr
Aliev, Jovidon
Diao, Xinshen
Fang, Peixun
Thurlow, James
author_sort Aragie, Emerta A.
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This paper presents a model-based and data-driven analysis of alternative public investment options for Tajikistan’s agrifood system based on cost-effectiveness in achieving multiple development outcomes. The study indicates that there is no single intervention that is the most cost-effective across all economic and social outcomes, including agrifood GDP growth, job creation, poverty reduction, lowered undernourishment, and improvement in diet quality. Irrigation infrastructure development, R&D in husbandry, and food loss and waste reduction are the most cost-effective investments in the combined economic outcomes, including growth and jobs. In contrast, irrigation, food loss and waste reduction, and seed systems are more effective in the combined social outcomes, including poverty, undernourishment, and diet. Considering time horizons, extension services are more effective in the short run, while irrigation and R&D deliver greater impact over time. Sector variations in the magnitude of effects are also observed among investment interventions. Overall, comparisons across development outcomes, sectoral focus, and timeframes reveal important synergies and trade-offs, underscoring the need for evidence-based tools to guide effective policy and investment decisions.
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spelling CGSpace1750602025-12-02T21:02:52Z Cost effective options for inclusive agrifood system development in Tajikistan Aragie, Emerta A. Khakimov, Parviz Ashurov, Timur Goibov, Manuchehr Aliev, Jovidon Diao, Xinshen Fang, Peixun Thurlow, James public investment agrifood systems development economic impact This paper presents a model-based and data-driven analysis of alternative public investment options for Tajikistan’s agrifood system based on cost-effectiveness in achieving multiple development outcomes. The study indicates that there is no single intervention that is the most cost-effective across all economic and social outcomes, including agrifood GDP growth, job creation, poverty reduction, lowered undernourishment, and improvement in diet quality. Irrigation infrastructure development, R&D in husbandry, and food loss and waste reduction are the most cost-effective investments in the combined economic outcomes, including growth and jobs. In contrast, irrigation, food loss and waste reduction, and seed systems are more effective in the combined social outcomes, including poverty, undernourishment, and diet. Considering time horizons, extension services are more effective in the short run, while irrigation and R&D deliver greater impact over time. Sector variations in the magnitude of effects are also observed among investment interventions. Overall, comparisons across development outcomes, sectoral focus, and timeframes reveal important synergies and trade-offs, underscoring the need for evidence-based tools to guide effective policy and investment decisions. 2025-06-11 2025-06-11T18:23:46Z 2025-06-11T18:23:46Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175060 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Aragie, Emerta; Khakimov, Parviz; Ashurov, Timur; Goibov, Manuchehr; Aliev, Jovidon; Diao, Xinshen; Fang, Peixun; and Thurlow, James. 2025. Cost effective options for inclusive agrifood system development in Tajikistan. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2341. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175060
spellingShingle public investment
agrifood systems
development
economic impact
Aragie, Emerta A.
Khakimov, Parviz
Ashurov, Timur
Goibov, Manuchehr
Aliev, Jovidon
Diao, Xinshen
Fang, Peixun
Thurlow, James
Cost effective options for inclusive agrifood system development in Tajikistan
title Cost effective options for inclusive agrifood system development in Tajikistan
title_full Cost effective options for inclusive agrifood system development in Tajikistan
title_fullStr Cost effective options for inclusive agrifood system development in Tajikistan
title_full_unstemmed Cost effective options for inclusive agrifood system development in Tajikistan
title_short Cost effective options for inclusive agrifood system development in Tajikistan
title_sort cost effective options for inclusive agrifood system development in tajikistan
topic public investment
agrifood systems
development
economic impact
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175060
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