Accuracy of using weight and length in children under 24 months to screen for early childhood obesity: A systematic review

The global increase in early childhood overweight and obesity has prompted interest in early prediction of overweight and obesity to allow timely intervention and prevent lifelong consequences. A systematic review was conducted to assess the accuracy and feasibility of predicting overweight and obes...

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Autores principales: Boncyk, Morgan, Leroy, Jef L., Brander, Rebecca L., Larson, Leila M., Ruel, Marie T., Frongillo, Edward A.
Formato: Journal Article
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/174888
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author Boncyk, Morgan
Leroy, Jef L.
Brander, Rebecca L.
Larson, Leila M.
Ruel, Marie T.
Frongillo, Edward A.
author_browse Boncyk, Morgan
Brander, Rebecca L.
Frongillo, Edward A.
Larson, Leila M.
Leroy, Jef L.
Ruel, Marie T.
author_facet Boncyk, Morgan
Leroy, Jef L.
Brander, Rebecca L.
Larson, Leila M.
Ruel, Marie T.
Frongillo, Edward A.
author_sort Boncyk, Morgan
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description The global increase in early childhood overweight and obesity has prompted interest in early prediction of overweight and obesity to allow timely intervention and prevent lifelong consequences. A systematic review was conducted to assess the accuracy and feasibility of predicting overweight and obesity in individual three to seven-year-old children using data available in healthcare and community settings on children under 24 months of age. This review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42024509603) and followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. From 7,943 unique articles identified through PubMed, CINAHL, Scopus, and Google Scholar, 14 studies met the inclusion criteria, 13 from high-income countries and one from a middle-income country. These studies evaluated the accuracy of predicting childhood overweight or obesity in individual children using anthropometrics-alone or multiple-predictor models. Anthropometrics-alone models yielded areas under the curve (AUCs) ≥0.56 with expert guidance and ≥0.77 with machine learning. Multiple-predictor models yielded AUC ≥0.68 with expert guidance and ≥0.76 with machine learning. The inclusion of child, parental, and community predictors improved predictive accuracy but led to greater variation in performance across models. Models were more accurate when children were older at the initial assessment, multiple assessments were made, and the time between assessment and outcome prediction was shorter. Prediction models with an AUC ≥0.70 used machine learning to optimize variable selection, limiting their practicality for broad-scale implementation in healthcare or community settings. There is insufficient evidence on the accuracy of overweight and obesity prediction models for children in low- and middle-income countries. Existing prediction models are not well-suited for broad-scale screening of individual children for risk of early childhood overweight or obesity.
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spelling CGSpace1748882025-06-23T13:38:30Z Accuracy of using weight and length in children under 24 months to screen for early childhood obesity: A systematic review Boncyk, Morgan Leroy, Jef L. Brander, Rebecca L. Larson, Leila M. Ruel, Marie T. Frongillo, Edward A. anthropometry children infants length obesity screening weight The global increase in early childhood overweight and obesity has prompted interest in early prediction of overweight and obesity to allow timely intervention and prevent lifelong consequences. A systematic review was conducted to assess the accuracy and feasibility of predicting overweight and obesity in individual three to seven-year-old children using data available in healthcare and community settings on children under 24 months of age. This review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42024509603) and followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. From 7,943 unique articles identified through PubMed, CINAHL, Scopus, and Google Scholar, 14 studies met the inclusion criteria, 13 from high-income countries and one from a middle-income country. These studies evaluated the accuracy of predicting childhood overweight or obesity in individual children using anthropometrics-alone or multiple-predictor models. Anthropometrics-alone models yielded areas under the curve (AUCs) ≥0.56 with expert guidance and ≥0.77 with machine learning. Multiple-predictor models yielded AUC ≥0.68 with expert guidance and ≥0.76 with machine learning. The inclusion of child, parental, and community predictors improved predictive accuracy but led to greater variation in performance across models. Models were more accurate when children were older at the initial assessment, multiple assessments were made, and the time between assessment and outcome prediction was shorter. Prediction models with an AUC ≥0.70 used machine learning to optimize variable selection, limiting their practicality for broad-scale implementation in healthcare or community settings. There is insufficient evidence on the accuracy of overweight and obesity prediction models for children in low- and middle-income countries. Existing prediction models are not well-suited for broad-scale screening of individual children for risk of early childhood overweight or obesity. 2025-07 2025-05-30T20:26:01Z 2025-05-30T20:26:01Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/174888 en https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advnut.2025.100367 Open Access Elsevier Boncyk, Morgan; Leroy, Jef L.; Brander, Rebecca L.; Larson, Leila M.; Ruel, Marie T.; and Frongillo, Edward A. 2025. Accuracy of using weight and length in children under 24 months to screen for early childhood obesity: A systematic review. Advances in Nutrition 16(7): 100452. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advnut.2025.100452
spellingShingle anthropometry
children
infants
length
obesity
screening
weight
Boncyk, Morgan
Leroy, Jef L.
Brander, Rebecca L.
Larson, Leila M.
Ruel, Marie T.
Frongillo, Edward A.
Accuracy of using weight and length in children under 24 months to screen for early childhood obesity: A systematic review
title Accuracy of using weight and length in children under 24 months to screen for early childhood obesity: A systematic review
title_full Accuracy of using weight and length in children under 24 months to screen for early childhood obesity: A systematic review
title_fullStr Accuracy of using weight and length in children under 24 months to screen for early childhood obesity: A systematic review
title_full_unstemmed Accuracy of using weight and length in children under 24 months to screen for early childhood obesity: A systematic review
title_short Accuracy of using weight and length in children under 24 months to screen for early childhood obesity: A systematic review
title_sort accuracy of using weight and length in children under 24 months to screen for early childhood obesity a systematic review
topic anthropometry
children
infants
length
obesity
screening
weight
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/174888
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