Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar
Agrifood value chains (AVCs) play crucial roles in food security in fragile and conflict-affected economies where there are widespread challenges and disruptions to business operations, food access, and incomes. Yet, given these challenges, safe data collection is challenging in conflict-affected se...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | Inglés |
| Published: |
Brill
2026
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/174563 |
| _version_ | 1855535006413225984 |
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| author | Goeb, Joseph Minten, Bart Aung, Zin Wai Htar, May Thet Sabai, Moe Syntb, Kham Nang Lun Zu, A Myint Mahrt, Kristi |
| author_browse | Aung, Zin Wai Goeb, Joseph Htar, May Thet Mahrt, Kristi Minten, Bart Sabai, Moe Syntb, Kham Nang Lun Zu, A Myint |
| author_facet | Goeb, Joseph Minten, Bart Aung, Zin Wai Htar, May Thet Sabai, Moe Syntb, Kham Nang Lun Zu, A Myint Mahrt, Kristi |
| author_sort | Goeb, Joseph |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Agrifood value chains (AVCs) play crucial roles in food security in fragile and conflict-affected economies where there are widespread challenges and disruptions to business operations, food access, and incomes. Yet, given these challenges, safe data collection is challenging in conflict-affected settings and, as a result, the evidence on the disruptions AVC businesses face is thin. In this paper, we rely on novel panel data from AVC businesses in Myanmar, one of 7 countries in the world with extreme conflict. This short paper documents the disruptions experienced by businesses at several levels of the food supply chain, including farmers, input retailers, crop traders, rice millers, and food vendors. We also provide evidence on the implications for prices by analyzing price changes over this period: farm input and sales prices using farm survey data, food retail using data from food vendors, and dietary cost estimates combining consumption and price data. Our results highlight vulnerabilities in food supply chains in fragile and conflict-affected settings. Potential opportunities to strengthen food supply chains in such settings include ensuring access to banking and financial services; minimizing transportation disruptions to mitigate widening gaps between producer and consumer prices; and maintaining access to fuel and electricity as well as cellphone internet networks. Efforts to support these areas could stabilize food availability and reduce food prices, while also increasing farm-gate shares of food prices thereby supporting rural incomes.
JEL codes: Q13; Q11; 013 |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | CGSpace174563 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| publishDateRange | 2026 |
| publishDateSort | 2026 |
| publisher | Brill |
| publisherStr | Brill |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1745632026-01-02T15:32:42Z Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar Goeb, Joseph Minten, Bart Aung, Zin Wai Htar, May Thet Sabai, Moe Syntb, Kham Nang Lun Zu, A Myint Mahrt, Kristi agrifood systems value chains conflicts food security prices Agrifood value chains (AVCs) play crucial roles in food security in fragile and conflict-affected economies where there are widespread challenges and disruptions to business operations, food access, and incomes. Yet, given these challenges, safe data collection is challenging in conflict-affected settings and, as a result, the evidence on the disruptions AVC businesses face is thin. In this paper, we rely on novel panel data from AVC businesses in Myanmar, one of 7 countries in the world with extreme conflict. This short paper documents the disruptions experienced by businesses at several levels of the food supply chain, including farmers, input retailers, crop traders, rice millers, and food vendors. We also provide evidence on the implications for prices by analyzing price changes over this period: farm input and sales prices using farm survey data, food retail using data from food vendors, and dietary cost estimates combining consumption and price data. Our results highlight vulnerabilities in food supply chains in fragile and conflict-affected settings. Potential opportunities to strengthen food supply chains in such settings include ensuring access to banking and financial services; minimizing transportation disruptions to mitigate widening gaps between producer and consumer prices; and maintaining access to fuel and electricity as well as cellphone internet networks. Efforts to support these areas could stabilize food availability and reduce food prices, while also increasing farm-gate shares of food prices thereby supporting rural incomes. JEL codes: Q13; Q11; 013 2026 2025-05-13T14:59:17Z 2025-05-13T14:59:17Z Journal Article https://hdl.handle.net/10568/174563 en Open Access Brill Goeb, Joseph; Minten, Bart; Aung, Zin Wai; Htar, May Thet; Sabai, Moe; Synt, Kham Nang Lun; Zu, A Myint; and Mahrt, Kristi. Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar. International Food and Agribusiness Management Review. Article in Press. First published online on May 5, 2025. https://doi.org/10.22434/ifamr.1204 |
| spellingShingle | agrifood systems value chains conflicts food security prices Goeb, Joseph Minten, Bart Aung, Zin Wai Htar, May Thet Sabai, Moe Syntb, Kham Nang Lun Zu, A Myint Mahrt, Kristi Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar |
| title | Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar |
| title_full | Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar |
| title_fullStr | Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar |
| title_full_unstemmed | Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar |
| title_short | Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar |
| title_sort | disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict affected states evidence from myanmar |
| topic | agrifood systems value chains conflicts food security prices |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/174563 |
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