Quantifying loss and damage from compound climate risk

Recent analyses of multi-hazard attribution studies reveal that compound climate extremes often lead to disproportionately high levels of loss and damage. However, significant losses from single extreme events—sometimes exceeding those from compound events—cannot be overlooked. This highlights a cri...

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Autores principales: Engdaw, Mastawesha Misganaw, Ghosh, Aniruddha, Chilambe, Pedro Anglaze, Ramirez Villegas, Julian, Girvetz, Evan, Steiner, Andrea K.
Formato: Artículo preliminar
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/174493
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author Engdaw, Mastawesha Misganaw
Ghosh, Aniruddha
Chilambe, Pedro Anglaze
Ramirez Villegas, Julian
Girvetz, Evan
Steiner, Andrea K.
author_browse Chilambe, Pedro Anglaze
Engdaw, Mastawesha Misganaw
Ghosh, Aniruddha
Girvetz, Evan
Ramirez Villegas, Julian
Steiner, Andrea K.
author_facet Engdaw, Mastawesha Misganaw
Ghosh, Aniruddha
Chilambe, Pedro Anglaze
Ramirez Villegas, Julian
Girvetz, Evan
Steiner, Andrea K.
author_sort Engdaw, Mastawesha Misganaw
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description Recent analyses of multi-hazard attribution studies reveal that compound climate extremes often lead to disproportionately high levels of loss and damage. However, significant losses from single extreme events—sometimes exceeding those from compound events—cannot be overlooked. This highlights a critical limitation: traditional univariate analyses of extremes may underestimate the full extent of loss and damage. This Working Paper emphasizes the need for comprehensive risk assessments to improve the estimation of loss and damage and to strengthen the effectiveness of interventions. To support this, we introduce a novel, time-sensitive, modeling-based conceptual framework that distinguishes between avoided and unavoidable loss and damage. This framework also enables the evaluation of how coordinated interventions contribute to increasing the share of avoidable loss and damage. These roles of the framework and their effectiveness will enhance with further development of impact models. By integrating comprehensive risk analysis with this new framework, it becomes possible to more rigorously identify and assess loss and damage that might otherwise be underestimated. Furthermore, the approach proposed here contributes to promoting greater equity in decision-making processes related to the Loss and Damage Fund. Whenever possible, averting and minimizing loss and damage remains the most effective strategy. To this end, aiming to enhancing the effectiveness and efficiency of interventions that increase avoidable loss and damage, we suggest several policy recommendations: diversifying assessment to economic sectors such as livestock for addressing loss and damage of pastoral communities, minimizing trade-offs though harmonized interventions, accelerated project approval procedure, and data access and sharing.
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spelling CGSpace1744932025-11-05T11:47:50Z Quantifying loss and damage from compound climate risk Engdaw, Mastawesha Misganaw Ghosh, Aniruddha Chilambe, Pedro Anglaze Ramirez Villegas, Julian Girvetz, Evan Steiner, Andrea K. climate change climate change impacts extreme weather events-climate extremes damage losses Recent analyses of multi-hazard attribution studies reveal that compound climate extremes often lead to disproportionately high levels of loss and damage. However, significant losses from single extreme events—sometimes exceeding those from compound events—cannot be overlooked. This highlights a critical limitation: traditional univariate analyses of extremes may underestimate the full extent of loss and damage. This Working Paper emphasizes the need for comprehensive risk assessments to improve the estimation of loss and damage and to strengthen the effectiveness of interventions. To support this, we introduce a novel, time-sensitive, modeling-based conceptual framework that distinguishes between avoided and unavoidable loss and damage. This framework also enables the evaluation of how coordinated interventions contribute to increasing the share of avoidable loss and damage. These roles of the framework and their effectiveness will enhance with further development of impact models. By integrating comprehensive risk analysis with this new framework, it becomes possible to more rigorously identify and assess loss and damage that might otherwise be underestimated. Furthermore, the approach proposed here contributes to promoting greater equity in decision-making processes related to the Loss and Damage Fund. Whenever possible, averting and minimizing loss and damage remains the most effective strategy. To this end, aiming to enhancing the effectiveness and efficiency of interventions that increase avoidable loss and damage, we suggest several policy recommendations: diversifying assessment to economic sectors such as livestock for addressing loss and damage of pastoral communities, minimizing trade-offs though harmonized interventions, accelerated project approval procedure, and data access and sharing. 2025-05-07 2025-05-09T07:20:55Z 2025-05-09T07:20:55Z Working Paper https://hdl.handle.net/10568/174493 en Open Access application/pdf Engdaw, M.M.; Ghosh, A.; Chilambe, P.A.; Ramirez Villegas, J.; Girvetz, E.; Steiner, Andrea K. (2025) Quantifying loss and damage from compound climate risk. 12 p.
spellingShingle climate change
climate change impacts
extreme weather events-climate extremes
damage
losses
Engdaw, Mastawesha Misganaw
Ghosh, Aniruddha
Chilambe, Pedro Anglaze
Ramirez Villegas, Julian
Girvetz, Evan
Steiner, Andrea K.
Quantifying loss and damage from compound climate risk
title Quantifying loss and damage from compound climate risk
title_full Quantifying loss and damage from compound climate risk
title_fullStr Quantifying loss and damage from compound climate risk
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying loss and damage from compound climate risk
title_short Quantifying loss and damage from compound climate risk
title_sort quantifying loss and damage from compound climate risk
topic climate change
climate change impacts
extreme weather events-climate extremes
damage
losses
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/174493
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