Assessing the projected impacts of alternative PSTA5 spending trajectories on the Rwandan economy
Data-driven and evidence-based approaches are critical for shaping public policy, investment, and expenditure decisions, ensuring that development plans are effective and well-informed. The RIAPA model, utilized in this study, has played a key role in informing policy discussions, including the iden...
| Autores principales: | , , , , |
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| Formato: | Brief |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
International Food Policy Research Institute
2025
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/173824 |
| _version_ | 1855517883475427328 |
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| author | Aragie, Emerta A. Ingabire, Chantal Knudsen, Mads Thurlow, James Warner, James |
| author_browse | Aragie, Emerta A. Ingabire, Chantal Knudsen, Mads Thurlow, James Warner, James |
| author_facet | Aragie, Emerta A. Ingabire, Chantal Knudsen, Mads Thurlow, James Warner, James |
| author_sort | Aragie, Emerta A. |
| collection | Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace) |
| description | Data-driven and evidence-based approaches are critical for shaping public policy, investment, and expenditure decisions, ensuring that development plans are effective and well-informed. The RIAPA model, utilized in this study, has played a key role in informing policy discussions, including the identification of national priorities and strategies, the mid-term assessment of the Rwanda’s fourth Strategic Plan for Agriculture Transformation (PSTA 4), and the post-COVID-19 recovery and relief efforts. This policy note employs a Rwanda-specific RIAPA model integrated with an investment module to analyze the expected benefits from agricultural investments outlined in the Fifth Strategic Plan for Agriculture Transformation (PSTA 5) for 2025-2029. Results show that, compared
to PSTA 4 spending trends, a moderate spending scenario under PSTA 5 could accelerate agricultural transformation and inclusive growth by 2.8 percentage points. A higher budget scenario, re quiring an average annual expenditure of $610 million, is projected to reach an ambitious eight percent agricultural growth target. Faster agricultural growth would further stimulate the off-farm components of the agri-food system, reinforcing agriculture's role as an economic growth engine. By 2029, PSTA 5 could reduce poverty and undernourishment by 1.6 million people, contingent on managing potentially significant climatic and external economic risks. |
| format | Brief |
| id | CGSpace173824 |
| institution | CGIAR Consortium |
| language | Inglés |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| publisherStr | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | CGSpace1738242025-11-06T05:29:56Z Assessing the projected impacts of alternative PSTA5 spending trajectories on the Rwandan economy Aragie, Emerta A. Ingabire, Chantal Knudsen, Mads Thurlow, James Warner, James modelling policies agriculture agrifood systems public expenditure Data-driven and evidence-based approaches are critical for shaping public policy, investment, and expenditure decisions, ensuring that development plans are effective and well-informed. The RIAPA model, utilized in this study, has played a key role in informing policy discussions, including the identification of national priorities and strategies, the mid-term assessment of the Rwanda’s fourth Strategic Plan for Agriculture Transformation (PSTA 4), and the post-COVID-19 recovery and relief efforts. This policy note employs a Rwanda-specific RIAPA model integrated with an investment module to analyze the expected benefits from agricultural investments outlined in the Fifth Strategic Plan for Agriculture Transformation (PSTA 5) for 2025-2029. Results show that, compared to PSTA 4 spending trends, a moderate spending scenario under PSTA 5 could accelerate agricultural transformation and inclusive growth by 2.8 percentage points. A higher budget scenario, re quiring an average annual expenditure of $610 million, is projected to reach an ambitious eight percent agricultural growth target. Faster agricultural growth would further stimulate the off-farm components of the agri-food system, reinforcing agriculture's role as an economic growth engine. By 2029, PSTA 5 could reduce poverty and undernourishment by 1.6 million people, contingent on managing potentially significant climatic and external economic risks. 2025-02 2025-03-24T17:27:57Z 2025-03-24T17:27:57Z Brief https://hdl.handle.net/10568/173824 en Open Access application/pdf International Food Policy Research Institute Aragie, Emerta A.; Ingabire, Chantal; Knudsen, Mads; Thurlow, James; and Warner, James. 2025. Assessing the projected impacts of alternative PSTA5 spending trajectories on the Rwandan economy. Rwanda SSP Policy Note 18. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/173824 |
| spellingShingle | modelling policies agriculture agrifood systems public expenditure Aragie, Emerta A. Ingabire, Chantal Knudsen, Mads Thurlow, James Warner, James Assessing the projected impacts of alternative PSTA5 spending trajectories on the Rwandan economy |
| title | Assessing the projected impacts of alternative PSTA5 spending trajectories on the Rwandan economy |
| title_full | Assessing the projected impacts of alternative PSTA5 spending trajectories on the Rwandan economy |
| title_fullStr | Assessing the projected impacts of alternative PSTA5 spending trajectories on the Rwandan economy |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing the projected impacts of alternative PSTA5 spending trajectories on the Rwandan economy |
| title_short | Assessing the projected impacts of alternative PSTA5 spending trajectories on the Rwandan economy |
| title_sort | assessing the projected impacts of alternative psta5 spending trajectories on the rwandan economy |
| topic | modelling policies agriculture agrifood systems public expenditure |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/173824 |
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