High-resolution climate change projections and their adaptation planning implications for small basins in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and the Occupied Palestinian Territories

This report collates and synthesizes the findings from comprehensive climate baseline assessments and bias-corrected and statistically downscaled climate projections for four distinct areas: Ras Baalbeck in Lebanon, Abu Al-Matamir in Egypt, Wadi Al-Seer in Jordan, and Wadi Al-Faria’a in the West Ban...

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Main Authors: Bergaoui, Karim, Belhaj Fraj, Makram, Abeyrathna, Wasudha Prabodhani, Fragaszy, Stephen, Samarasekara, Vidhisha
Format: Informe técnico
Language:Inglés
Published: International Water Management Institute 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/173587
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author Bergaoui, Karim
Belhaj Fraj, Makram
Abeyrathna, Wasudha Prabodhani
Fragaszy, Stephen
Samarasekara, Vidhisha
author_browse Abeyrathna, Wasudha Prabodhani
Belhaj Fraj, Makram
Bergaoui, Karim
Fragaszy, Stephen
Samarasekara, Vidhisha
author_facet Bergaoui, Karim
Belhaj Fraj, Makram
Abeyrathna, Wasudha Prabodhani
Fragaszy, Stephen
Samarasekara, Vidhisha
author_sort Bergaoui, Karim
collection Repository of Agricultural Research Outputs (CGSpace)
description This report collates and synthesizes the findings from comprehensive climate baseline assessments and bias-corrected and statistically downscaled climate projections for four distinct areas: Ras Baalbeck in Lebanon, Abu Al-Matamir in Egypt, Wadi Al-Seer in Jordan, and Wadi Al-Faria’a in the West Bank of the Occupied Palestinian Territories (OPT). This study developed models to assess future projected climatological patterns, extreme events, and climate scenarios for these locations. Model outputs have a daily timestep and high spatial resolution (10x10 km). We developed the models using data from the Global Climate Monitoring Products and employing advanced techniques such as Bias Correction and Statistical Disaggregation (BCSD) of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) General Circulation Models (GCMs). Model outputs are available here: https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/SCNQWS The study focused on principal temperature and precipitation indicators of most immediate relevance for water and food security. The Al Murunah project is using the study’s outputs to inform implementation planning of resilient nature-based water solutions (RNBWS) in each area, as well as considerations for their application more widely.
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spelling CGSpace1735872025-11-07T07:58:16Z High-resolution climate change projections and their adaptation planning implications for small basins in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and the Occupied Palestinian Territories Bergaoui, Karim Belhaj Fraj, Makram Abeyrathna, Wasudha Prabodhani Fragaszy, Stephen Samarasekara, Vidhisha climate prediction projections climate change impacts climate change adaptation planning basins climate models extreme weather events temperature drought rainfall flooding This report collates and synthesizes the findings from comprehensive climate baseline assessments and bias-corrected and statistically downscaled climate projections for four distinct areas: Ras Baalbeck in Lebanon, Abu Al-Matamir in Egypt, Wadi Al-Seer in Jordan, and Wadi Al-Faria’a in the West Bank of the Occupied Palestinian Territories (OPT). This study developed models to assess future projected climatological patterns, extreme events, and climate scenarios for these locations. Model outputs have a daily timestep and high spatial resolution (10x10 km). We developed the models using data from the Global Climate Monitoring Products and employing advanced techniques such as Bias Correction and Statistical Disaggregation (BCSD) of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) General Circulation Models (GCMs). Model outputs are available here: https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/SCNQWS The study focused on principal temperature and precipitation indicators of most immediate relevance for water and food security. The Al Murunah project is using the study’s outputs to inform implementation planning of resilient nature-based water solutions (RNBWS) in each area, as well as considerations for their application more widely. 2024-12-30 2025-03-12T11:01:29Z 2025-03-12T11:01:29Z Report https://hdl.handle.net/10568/173587 en Open Access application/pdf International Water Management Institute Bergaoui, Karim; Belhaj Fraj, Makram; Abeyrathna, Wasudha Prabhodani; Fragaszy, Stephen Russell; Samarasekara, Vidhisha. 2024. High-resolution climate change projections and their adaptation planning implications for small basins in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and the Occupied Palestinian Territories. Report prepared by the Building Climate Resilience through Enhanced Water Security in MENA (Al Murunah) project. Colombo, Sri Lanka: International Water Management Institute (IWMI). 62p. [doi: https://doi.org/10.5337/2025.204]
spellingShingle climate prediction
projections
climate change impacts
climate change adaptation
planning
basins
climate models
extreme weather events
temperature
drought
rainfall
flooding
Bergaoui, Karim
Belhaj Fraj, Makram
Abeyrathna, Wasudha Prabodhani
Fragaszy, Stephen
Samarasekara, Vidhisha
High-resolution climate change projections and their adaptation planning implications for small basins in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and the Occupied Palestinian Territories
title High-resolution climate change projections and their adaptation planning implications for small basins in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and the Occupied Palestinian Territories
title_full High-resolution climate change projections and their adaptation planning implications for small basins in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and the Occupied Palestinian Territories
title_fullStr High-resolution climate change projections and their adaptation planning implications for small basins in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and the Occupied Palestinian Territories
title_full_unstemmed High-resolution climate change projections and their adaptation planning implications for small basins in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and the Occupied Palestinian Territories
title_short High-resolution climate change projections and their adaptation planning implications for small basins in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and the Occupied Palestinian Territories
title_sort high resolution climate change projections and their adaptation planning implications for small basins in egypt jordan lebanon and the occupied palestinian territories
topic climate prediction
projections
climate change impacts
climate change adaptation
planning
basins
climate models
extreme weather events
temperature
drought
rainfall
flooding
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/173587
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